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Liga 1 · Clausura - 8 September 04, 2026 22:15 Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana
Alianza Atletico
#4 · 19 pts
3 – 2
Final score
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Atletico
Hernan Lupu (ast. Cristian Penilla) 2'
Cristian Penilla (ast. Guillermo Larios) 7'
Ariel Muñoz 90'+6
29' (ast. Luis Arce) Manuel Ganoza
59' (ast. David Camacho) Luis Arce
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Atletico a 81% win probability (draw 9%, UTC Cajamarca 9%). The final result was Alianza Atletico 3–2 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Atletico have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UTC Cajamarca.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
2
9
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Hernan Lupu · ast. Cristian Penilla
2'
⚽Cristian Penilla · ast. Guillermo Larios
7'
21'
Arquímedes Figuera
24'
29'
Joshua Cantt / Carlos Junior Huerto ↕
29'
ast. Luis Arce · Manuel Ganoza⚽
Jose Lujan
37'
37'
Manuel Ganoza
59'
ast. David Camacho · Luis Arce⚽
Guillermo Larios
63'
↕ José María Ingratti / Ariel Muñoz
65'
↕ Jairo Molina / Jorge del Castillo
65'
68'
Marlon de Jesús / David Camacho ↕
82'
Adolfo Muñoz / Abdiel Arroyo ↕
83'
David Dioses / Luis Arce ↕
84'
Jhosep Nunez / Marcos Lliuya ↕
↕ Guillermo Larios / Valentin Robaldo
84'
↕ Cristian Penilla / Franchesco Flores
89'
90'+2
Francesco Cavagna
Anthony Gordillo
90'+5
⚽Ariel Muñoz
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
81.11%
Alianza ←
9.69%
X
9.2%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Atletico) 81.11% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
4.02
—
—
UTC
1.12
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 10 22
2 Universitario Universitario 10 20
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 19
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 10 19
5 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 10 19
6 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 10 18
7 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 10 18
8 Sport Boys Sport Boys 10 18
9 Cusco Cusco 10 18
10 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 10 16
11 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 10 16
12 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 10 9
14 Cienciano Cienciano 9 7
15 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 10 7
16 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9 7
17 ADT ADT 10 5
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 10 2
Lineups
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
31 S. Rivadeneyra S. Rivadeneyra G 6.03
24 A. Gordillo A. Gordillo D 6.38
6 J. Luján J. Luján D 6.30
2 R. Suarez R. Suarez D 6.55
16 S. Fernández S. Fernández D 6.98
15 H. Lupú H. Lupú 1 ⚽ M 7.54
10 Germán Díaz Germán Díaz M 7.16
11 G. Larios G. Larios 1 👟 84' M 7.03
17 C. Penilla C. Penilla 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 9.00
29 J. Molina J. Molina 65' F 6.73
27 J. Ingratti J. Ingratti 65' F 6.38
Bench
23 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.35
95 D. Prieto D. Prieto G 0.00
8 F. Flores F. Flores 1' M 6.04
22 J. del Castillo J. del Castillo 25' M 6.16
37 J. Delgado J. Delgado M 0.00
20 Jimmy Pérez Jimmy Pérez M 0.00
19 J. Mendieta J. Mendieta D 0.00
9 V. Robaldo V. Robaldo 6' F 6.48
25 W. Guzmán W. Guzmán D 0.00
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 5-3-2
21 R. Bettocchi R. Bettocchi G 6.62
35 G. Paredes G. Paredes D 6.10
5 J. Huerto J. Huerto 29' D 5.92
6 F. Cavagna F. Cavagna D 5.72
3 M. Ganoza M. Ganoza 1 ⚽ D 7.01
17 L. Garro L. Garro D 5.73
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya 84' M 6.03
16 A. Figuera A. Figuera M 6.05
88 L. Arce L. Arce 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' M 7.64
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 82' F 6.34
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho 1 👟 68' F 6.55
Bench
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 0.00
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 8' F 6.48
8 D. Dioses D. Dioses 7' M 5.78
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro 61' M 5.57
7 J. Nunez J. Nunez 6' F 6.44
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 22' F 6.28
18 S. Gálvez S. Gálvez F 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Penilla
C. Penilla
F · Alianza
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
L. Arce
L. Arce
M · UTC
7.64
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 18 pass
H. Lupú
H. Lupú
M · Alianza
7.54
1 ⚽
4 shots · 18 pass
A. Muñoz
A. Muñoz
M · Alianza
7.35
1 ⚽
4 shots · 18 pass
Germán Díaz
Germán Díaz
M · Alianza
7.16
3 shots · 65 pass
G. Larios
G. Larios
M · Alianza
7.03
1 👟
4 shots · 12 pass
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Rivadeneyra G 90 6.03 — — 0 15 9% 0 — —
A. Gordillo D 90 6.38 — — 0 32 28% 2 1 —
J. Luján D 90 6.30 — — 0 27 25% 1 1 —
R. Suarez D 90 6.55 — — 0 35 30% 1 — —
S. Fernández D 90 6.98 — — 0 39 33% 1 — —
H. Lupú M 90 7.54 1 — 4 18 14% 1 — —
Germán Díaz M 90 7.16 — — 3 65 61% 3 — —
G. Larios M 84 7.03 — 1 4 12 10% 0 1 —
C. Penilla F 89 9.00 1 1 2 25 19% 0 — —
J. Molina F 65 6.73 — — 2 10 9% 0 — —
J. Ingratti F 65 6.38 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
A. Muñoz M 25 7.35 1 — 4 18 14% 0 — —
F. Flores M 1 6.04 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
J. del Castillo M 25 6.16 — — 2 13 11% 0 — —
V. Robaldo F 6 6.48 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bettocchi G 90 6.62 — — 0 24 16% 0 — —
G. Paredes D 90 6.10 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
J. Huerto D 29 5.92 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
F. Cavagna D 90 5.72 — — 0 29 23% 0 1 —
M. Ganoza D 90 7.01 1 — 1 23 22% 0 1 —
L. Garro D 90 5.73 — — 0 15 14% 2 — —
M. Lliuya M 84 6.03 — — 0 28 22% 3 — —
A. Figuera M 90 6.05 — — 0 34 29% 0 1 —
L. Arce M 83 7.64 1 1 2 18 10% 1 — —
A. Arroyo F 82 6.34 — — 2 12 11% 0 — —
D. Camacho F 68 6.55 — 1 0 20 17% 0 — —
A. Muñoz F 8 6.48 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
D. Dioses M 7 5.78 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Cerro M 61 5.57 — — 1 27 20% 1 — —
J. Nunez F 6 6.44 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
M. de Jesús F 22 6.28 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was Alianza Atletico 3–2 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 81% probability to a Alianza Atletico win, 9% to a draw, and 9% to an UTC Cajamarca win.