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Alianza FC - UMECIT

LPF July 26, 2026 01:15
Alianza FC
#2 · 27 pts
vs
UMECIT
#3 · 25 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.1%
Win
Alianza FC
26.87%
Draw
27.03%
Win
UMECIT
1.46
Expected xG
1.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.79%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 27%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 54%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 44%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alianza FC a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for UMECIT. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alianza FC and 1.1 for UMECIT (total 2.5), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.79% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Alianza FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for UMECIT.

Season Stats

Alianza FC
5W 9D 1L
UMECIT
4W 8D 3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
93%
47%
O 2.5
60%
73%
BTTS
80%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in LPF. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
85%
BTTS
Alianza FC
4W 6D 0L · at home
UMECIT
1W 5D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.4
1.5
Conceded
1.8
40%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
70%
50%
O 3.5
40%
80%
BTTS
90%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alianza FC UMECIT →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.4% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Alianza FC Alianza FC
L Plaza Amador 3–2
D Veraguas 1–1
D Veraguas 0–0
D Independiente de La Chorrera 2–2
W Sporting San Miguelito 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
UMECIT UMECIT
L Plaza Amador 3–0
D Plaza Amador 2–2
D Union Cocle 1–1
W Tauro FC 5–2
D Plaza Amador 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Alianza FC Alianza FC
Attack
38
Defence
62
Form
50
UMECIT UMECIT
Attack
41
Defence
55
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Alianza FC
1
Draw
0
UMECIT
5 Apr 2026 LPF 1–1
31 Jan 2026 LPF 2–1

East

# Team G Pts
1 Plaza Amador Plaza Amador 16 31
2 Alianza FC Alianza FC 16 27
3 UMECIT UMECIT 16 25
4 Tauro FC Tauro FC 16 21
5 CD Arabe Unido CD Arabe Unido 16 21
6 Sporting San Miguelito Sporting San Miguelito 16 18

What's at stake · East

Top 2 advance to the next round

Alianza FC UMECIT
Current #2 #3
→ Alianza FC #2 #3
→ Draw #2 #3
→ UMECIT #3 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alianza FC vs UMECIT?
The model gives Alianza FC a 46% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 27% for an UMECIT win.
How many goals are expected in Alianza FC vs UMECIT?
Expected goals: Alianza FC 1.5, UMECIT 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Alianza FC vs UMECIT?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.79%.