✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima
E. Castillo
(ast. J. Velez)
14'
W. Guzman
51'
(og)
J. Velez
(ast. A. Cantero)
79'
28'
J. Ingratti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Alianza Atletico 11%). The final result was Alianza Lima 3–1 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Lima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Castillo
· ast. J. Velez
14'
28'
J. Ingratti⚽
Paolo Guerrero
32'
40'
G. A. Larios Saavedra
R. Garces
45'
⚽W. Guzman
(og)
51'
57'
W. Guzman
66'
A. Munoz
/
J. del Castillo
Paolo Guerrero
/ A. Cantero
70'
73'
J. Molina
/
G. A. Larios Saavedra
⚽J. Velez
· ast. A. Cantero
79'
80'
A. Munoz
83'
F. Flores
/
C. Penilla
83'
J. Perez
/
J. Ingratti
83'
J. Lujan
/
G. Diaz
E. Castillo
/ J. Archimbaud
84'
F. Gaibor
/ J. Castillo
90'+1
R. Garces
/ N. Diaz
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
71.9%
Alianza ←
16.29%
X
11.81%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima)
71.9%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.44
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
1
Alejandro Duarte
G
Alejandro Duarte
G
13
Marco Huamán
D
Marco Huamán
D
3
Mateo Antoni
D
Mateo Antoni
D
6
Renzo Garcés
89'
D
Renzo Garcés
89'
D
17
L. Advíncula
D
L. Advíncula
D
5
Esteban Pavez
M
Esteban Pavez
M
99
Federico Girotti
M
Federico Girotti
M
20
J. Vélez
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
J. Vélez
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
Fernando Gaibor
89'
M
Fernando Gaibor
89'
M
34
Paolo Guerrero
70'
F
Paolo Guerrero
70'
F
8
Eryc Castillo
1 ⚽
84'
F
Eryc Castillo
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
11
Alan Cantero
1 👟
20'
F
Alan Cantero
1 👟
20'
F
12
Ángel de la Cruz
G
Ángel de la Cruz
G
22
Christian Neira
M
Christian Neira
M
25
Gaspar Gentile
F
Gaspar Gentile
F
30
Geray Motta
F
Geray Motta
F
4
Gianfranco Chávez
D
Gianfranco Chávez
D
29
Jean Pierre Archimbaud
6'
M
Jean Pierre Archimbaud
6'
M
15
Jesús Castillo
1'
M
Jesús Castillo
1'
M
2
Nicolás Díaz
1'
D
Nicolás Díaz
1'
D
31
Steven Rivadeneyra
G
Steven Rivadeneyra
G
24
Anthony Gordillo
D
Anthony Gordillo
D
25
Williams Guzmán
1 ⚽
57'
D
Williams Guzmán
1 ⚽
57'
D
2
Román Suárez
D
Román Suárez
D
21
Erick Perleche
D
Erick Perleche
D
10
German Diaz
83'
M
German Diaz
83'
M
15
Hernan Lupú
M
Hernan Lupú
M
17
Cristian Penilla
83'
M
Cristian Penilla
83'
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
66'
M
Jorge del Castillo
66'
M
11
Guillermo Larios
73'
M
Guillermo Larios
73'
M
27
José Ingratti
1 ⚽
83'
F
José Ingratti
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
23
Ariel Muñoz
24'
M
Ariel Muñoz
24'
M
77
Christian Valladolid
F
Christian Valladolid
F
95
Daniel Prieto
G
Daniel Prieto
G
8
Franchesco Flores
8'
M
Franchesco Flores
8'
M
29
Jairo Molina
17'
F
Jairo Molina
17'
F
19
Jesus Mendieta
D
Jesus Mendieta
D
20
Jimmy Pérez
8'
M
Jimmy Pérez
8'
M
6
José Luján
8'
D
José Luján
8'
D
16
Stefano Fernández
M
Stefano Fernández
M
Best on the pitch
Fernando Gaibor
M · Alianza
8.60
· 74 pass
Eryc Castillo
F · Alianza
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
J. Vélez
M · Alianza
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 36 pass
Esteban Pavez
M · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 75 pass
Alan Cantero
F · Alianza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
José Ingratti
F · Alianza
7.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 12 pass
Alianza Lima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Duarte | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Marco Huamán | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Antoni | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 83 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Renzo Garcés | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 69% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Advíncula | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Esteban Pavez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Federico Girotti | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Vélez | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando Gaibor | M | 89 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 74 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| Paolo Guerrero | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eryc Castillo | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alan Cantero | F | 20 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jean Pierre Archimbaud | M | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Díaz | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Rivadeneyra | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Gordillo | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Williams Guzmán | D | 57 | 4.90 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Román Suárez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Perleche | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| German Diaz | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Hernan Lupú | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Penilla | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge del Castillo | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Guillermo Larios | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Ingratti | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ariel Muñoz | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Franchesco Flores | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jairo Molina | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Pérez | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| José Luján | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Alianza Lima 3–1 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Alianza Atletico win.