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Liga 1 · Clausura - 3 August 02, 2026 03:30 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Alianza Lima
#1 · 56 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Alianza Atletico
#4 · 19 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima
E. Castillo (ast. J. Velez) 14'
W. Guzman 51' (og)
J. Velez (ast. A. Cantero) 79'
28' J. Ingratti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Alianza Atletico 11%). The final result was Alianza Lima 3–1 Alianza Atletico. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Lima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Atletico.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
3
75%
Possession
25%
8
Corners
3
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Castillo · ast. J. Velez
14'
28'
J. Ingratti⚽
Paolo Guerrero
32'
40'
G. A. Larios Saavedra
R. Garces
45'
⚽W. Guzman (og)
51'
57'
W. Guzman
66'
A. Munoz / J. del Castillo ↕
↕ Paolo Guerrero / A. Cantero
70'
73'
J. Molina / G. A. Larios Saavedra ↕
⚽J. Velez · ast. A. Cantero
79'
80'
A. Munoz
83'
F. Flores / C. Penilla ↕
83'
J. Perez / J. Ingratti ↕
83'
J. Lujan / G. Diaz ↕
↕ E. Castillo / J. Archimbaud
84'
↕ F. Gaibor / J. Castillo
90'+1
↕ R. Garces / N. Diaz
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
71.9%
Alianza ←
16.29%
X
11.81%
Alianza
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima) 71.9% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
2.44
—
—
Alianza
0.74
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 27 56
2 Universitario Universitario 27 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 27 48
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 27 46
5 Cusco Cusco 27 45
6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 26 41
7 Cienciano Cienciano 26 40
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 27 40
9 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 38
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 38
11 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 27 35
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 27 34
13 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 27 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 30
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 27 27
16 ADT ADT 27 25
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 27 25
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 15
Lineups
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
1 A. Duarte A. Duarte G 6.30
13 M. Huamán M. Huamán D 6.20
3 M. Antoni M. Antoni D 6.90
6 R. Garcés R. Garcés 89' D 6.90
17 L. Advíncula L. Advíncula D 7.20
5 E. Pavez E. Pavez M 7.30
99 F. Girotti F. Girotti M 6.70
20 J. Vélez J. Vélez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.60
7 F. Gaibor F. Gaibor 89' M 8.60
34 Paolo Guerrero Paolo Guerrero 70' F 6.70
8 E. Castillo E. Castillo 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.90
Bench
11 A. Cantero A. Cantero 1 👟 20' F 7.30
12 Ángel de la Cruz Ángel de la Cruz G
22 C. Neira C. Neira M
4 G. Chávez G. Chávez D
30 Geray Motta Geray Motta F
25 G. Gentile G. Gentile F
29 J. Archimbaud J. Archimbaud 6' M
15 J. Castillo J. Castillo 1' M
2 N. Díaz N. Díaz 1' D
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1
31 S. Rivadeneyra S. Rivadeneyra G 7.00
24 A. Gordillo A. Gordillo D 5.60
25 W. Guzmán W. Guzmán 1 ⚽ 57' D 4.90
2 R. Suarez R. Suarez D 7.20
21 Erick Perleche Erick Perleche D 6.50
10 Germán Díaz Germán Díaz 83' M 6.50
15 H. Lupú H. Lupú M 6.30
17 C. Penilla C. Penilla 83' M 6.90
22 J. del Castillo J. del Castillo 66' M 6.60
11 G. Larios G. Larios 73' M 6.20
27 J. Ingratti J. Ingratti 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.20
Bench
23 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 24' M 6.20
77 C. Valladolid C. Valladolid F
95 D. Prieto D. Prieto G
8 F. Flores F. Flores 8' M 6.70
20 Jimmy Pérez Jimmy Pérez 8' M 6.60
6 J. Luján J. Luján 8' D 6.60
19 J. Mendieta J. Mendieta D
29 J. Molina J. Molina 17' F 6.20
16 S. Fernández S. Fernández M
Best on the pitch
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
M · Alianza
8.60
· 74 pass
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
F · Alianza
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
J. Vélez
J. Vélez
M · Alianza
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 36 pass
E. Pavez
E. Pavez
M · Alianza
7.30
2 shots · 75 pass
A. Cantero
A. Cantero
F · Alianza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 11 pass
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
D · Alianza
7.20
1 shots · 54 pass
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Duarte G 90 6.30 — — — 30 29% — — —
M. Huamán D 90 6.20 — — — 33 32% 2 — —
M. Antoni D 90 6.90 — — — 83 75% — — —
R. Garcés D 89 6.90 — — 2 74 69% — 1 —
L. Advíncula D 90 7.20 — — 1 54 51% 1 — —
E. Pavez M 90 7.30 — — 2 75 71% 2 — —
F. Girotti M 90 6.70 — — 1 23 15% — — —
J. Vélez M 90 7.60 1 1 3 36 26% 1 — —
F. Gaibor M 89 8.60 — — — 74 64% 2 — —
Paolo Guerrero F 70 6.70 — — — 19 16% 1 1 —
E. Castillo F 84 7.90 1 — 3 13 11% — — —
A. Cantero F 20 7.30 — 1 1 11 10% — — —
J. Archimbaud M 6 — — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
J. Castillo M 1 — — — — 4 4% — — —
N. Díaz D 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Rivadeneyra G 90 7.00 — — — 19 8% — — —
A. Gordillo D 90 5.60 — — — 10 6% — — —
W. Guzmán D 57 4.90 1 — — 9 5% 3 — 1
R. Suarez D 90 7.20 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Erick Perleche D 90 6.50 — — — 19 13% 2 — —
Germán Díaz M 83 6.50 — — — 36 19% 4 — —
H. Lupú M 90 6.30 — — 1 13 6% 2 — —
C. Penilla M 83 6.90 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
J. del Castillo M 66 6.60 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
G. Larios M 73 6.20 — — — 7 3% 1 1 —
J. Ingratti F 83 7.20 1 — 4 12 9% — — —
A. Muñoz M 24 6.20 — — — 6 6% — 1 —
F. Flores M 8 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Jimmy Pérez M 8 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Luján D 8 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
J. Molina F 17 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
The final score was Alianza Lima 3–1 Alianza Atletico.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 16% to a draw, and 11% to an Alianza Atletico win.