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← Liga 1

Alianza Lima - Cienciano

Liga 1 October 31, 2026 22:00 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Alianza Lima
#1 · 65 pts
vs
Cienciano
#3 · 33 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 22.5°C 💨 12 km/h · Lima
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.98%
Win
Alianza Lima
21.67%
Draw
24.35%
Win
Cienciano
1.87
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.9%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.8% hit rate (53 picks)
1 54%
X 22%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 46%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alianza Lima a 53% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Cienciano. Expected goals are 1.9 for Alianza Lima and 1.2 for Cienciano (total 3.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Lima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cienciano.

Season Stats

Alianza Lima
7W 5D 3L
Cienciano
6W 2D 7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
5.1
Shots OT
5.3
5.7
Corners
5.7
58%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
47%
O 2.5
53%
73%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Alianza Lima
7W 1D 2L · at home
Cienciano
3W 2D 5L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.6
0.8
Conceded
2.0
70%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alianza Lima Cienciano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.6% 10.4% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
L Sporting Cristal 3–2
W UCV Moquegua 0–1
W Atletico Grau 3–1
W Cusco 1–2
W ADT 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Cienciano Cienciano
W Atletico Grau 3–0
L Comerciantes Unidos 3–1
W UTC Cajamarca 1–0
W UCV Moquegua 0–2
D Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Attack
43
Defence
68
Form
60
Cienciano Cienciano
Attack
49
Defence
67
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Alianza Lima
0
Draw
0
Cienciano
17 May 2026 Liga 1 1–0

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 31 65
2 Universitario Universitario 30 56
3 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 31 54
4 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 31 51
5 Cusco Cusco 31 51
6 Cienciano Cienciano 31 50
7 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 31 47
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 31 46
9 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 31 46
10 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 31 44
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 30 41
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 31 41
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 31 35
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 31 34
15 ADT ADT 31 30
16 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 31 28
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 31 28
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 31 18

What's at stake · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Top 2 advance to the next round

Alianza Lima Cienciano
Current #1 #1
→ Alianza Lima #1 #6
→ Draw #1 #5
→ Cienciano #1 #4

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
The model gives Alianza Lima a 53% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 24% for an Cienciano win.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
Expected goals: Alianza Lima 1.9, Cienciano 1.2 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Alianza Lima vs Cienciano?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.