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Liga 1 · Apertura - 11 April 19, 2026 03:00 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Alianza Lima
#1 · 56 pts
8 – 0
Final score
Cusco
#5 · 45 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima
F. Gaibor (ast. E. Castillo) 15'
E. Castillo (ast. F. Gaibor) 17'
F. Gaibor 33'
E. Castillo 45'
Paolo Guerrero (ast. E. Castillo) 47'
E. Castillo 56'
A. Cantero 59'
J. Velez (ast. L. Ramos) 79'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Cusco 18%). The final result was Alianza Lima 8–0 Cusco.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
4
13
Shots on target
0
0
Saves
5
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
1
9
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽F. Gaibor · ast. E. Castillo
15'
⚽E. Castillo · ast. F. Gaibor
17'
⚽F. Gaibor
33'
⚽E. Castillo
45'
46'
C. Gamarra / J. Bolivar ↕
46'
J. Tevez / G. Carabajal ↕
46'
C. Diez / O. Valenzuela ↕
46'
N. Silva / L. Colitto ↕
⚽Paolo Guerrero · ast. E. Castillo
47'
⚽E. Castillo
56'
⚽A. Cantero
59'
60'
J. Zevallos / Herrera Joel ↕
↕ M. Huaman / G. Chavez
61'
↕ E. Castillo / G. Gentile
69'
↕ Paolo Guerrero / L. Ramos
69'
70'
J. Zevallos
R. Garces
73'
⚽J. Velez · ast. L. Ramos
79'
↕ J. Velez / G. Motta
84'
↕ F. Gaibor / J. Archimbaud
84'
Pre-match prediction
60.0%
Alianza ←
21.45%
X
18.56%
Cusco
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima) 60.0% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
2.89
—
—
Cusco
0.80
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 27 56
2 Universitario Universitario 27 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 27 48
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 27 46
5 Cusco Cusco 27 45
6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 27 42
7 Cienciano Cienciano 27 41
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 27 40
9 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 38
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 38
11 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 27 35
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 27 34
13 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 27 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 30
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 27 27
16 ADT ADT 27 25
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 27 25
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 15
Lineups
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
13 Marco Huamán Marco Huamán 61' D 7.50
3 M. Antoni M. Antoni D 7.30
6 Renzo Garcés Renzo Garcés D 7.00
17 L. Advíncula L. Advíncula D 6.60
7 F. Gaibor F. Gaibor 2 ⚽ 1 👟 84' M 10.00
5
M 7.00
8 E. Castillo E. Castillo 3 ⚽ 2 👟 69' M 10.00
11 A. Cantero A. Cantero 1 ⚽ M 8.20
20 Jairo Vélez Jairo Vélez 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.60
34 Paolo Guerrero Paolo Guerrero 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.70
Bench
25 G. Gentile G. Gentile 21' F 6.90
15 J. Castillo J. Castillo M
27 K. Quevedo K. Quevedo F
9 L. Ramos L. Ramos 1 👟 21' F 7.20
Cusco Cusco 4-4-2
28 P. Díaz P. Díaz G 5.60
15 J. Bolívar J. Bolívar 45' D 6.20
6
D 5.60
8 A. Fuentes A. Fuentes D 4.90
24 M. Ruidías M. Ruidías D 4.20
77 J. Herrera J. Herrera 60' M 5.90
16 O. Valenzuela O. Valenzuela 45' M 6.30
88 D. Soto D. Soto M 5.90
22 L. Colitto L. Colitto 45' M 6.20
9 F. Callejo F. Callejo F 6.50
27 Gabriel Carabajal Gabriel Carabajal 45' F 7.20
Bench
14 C. Diez C. Diez 45' M 6.20
10 I. Colman I. Colman M
11 J. Tévez J. Tévez 45' F 6.50
21 J. Zevallos J. Zevallos 30' D 6.20
5
M. Aucca M
26 N. Silva N. Silva 45' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
M · Alianza
10.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 61 pass
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
M · Alianza
10.00
3 ⚽ 2 👟
7 shots · 33 pass
Jairo Vélez
Jairo Vélez
M · Alianza
8.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
A. Cantero
A. Cantero
M · Alianza
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 48 pass
Paolo Guerrero
Paolo Guerrero
F · Alianza
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Marco Huamán
Marco Huamán
D · Alianza
7.50
1 shots · 22 pass
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 18 17% — — —
Marco Huamán D 61 7.50 — — 1 22 20% 3 — —
M. Antoni D 90 7.30 — — 1 58 55% 2 — —
Renzo Garcés D 90 7.00 — — — 46 42% — 1 —
L. Advíncula D 90 6.60 — — — 34 31% — — —
F. Gaibor M 84 10.00 2 1 4 61 52% 1 — —
M 90 7.00 — — 2 51 48% — — —
E. Castillo M 69 10.00 3 2 7 33 29% — — —
A. Cantero M 90 8.20 1 — 2 48 43% 1 — —
Jairo Vélez M 84 8.60 1 — 2 56 51% 1 — —
Paolo Guerrero F 69 7.70 1 — 2 9 7% — — —
G. Gentile F 21 6.90 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
L. Ramos F 21 7.20 — 1 2 3 3% — — —
Cusco Cusco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Díaz G 90 5.60 — — — 25 18% — — —
J. Bolívar D 45 6.20 — — — 29 28% 1 — —
D 90 5.60 — — — 35 34% 2 — —
A. Fuentes D 90 4.90 — — — 18 18% 1 — —
M. Ruidías D 90 4.20 — — — 50 37% — — —
J. Herrera M 60 5.90 — — 2 20 15% — — —
O. Valenzuela M 45 6.30 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
D. Soto M 90 5.90 — — — 36 31% — — —
L. Colitto M 45 6.20 — — — 20 19% — — —
F. Callejo F 90 6.50 — — 2 21 16% — — —
Gabriel Carabajal F 45 7.20 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
C. Diez M 45 6.20 — — — 17 15% — — —
J. Tévez F 45 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Zevallos D 30 6.20 — — — 13 8% — 1 —
N. Silva F 45 6.20 — — — 16 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
The final score was Alianza Lima 8–0 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Cusco?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Cusco win.