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Liga 1 · Clausura - 7 August 30, 2026 02:30 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Alianza Lima
#1 · 40 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Deportivo Garcilaso
#4 · 55 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Alianza Lima, result Deportivo Garcilaso wins
(pen.) 29' B. Da Silva
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Deportivo Garcilaso 19%). The final result was Alianza Lima 0–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Lima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
8
Corners
2
19
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
29'
(pen.) B. Da Silva⚽
41'
F. Castelli
J. Velez
45'+1
↕ Paolo Guerrero / F. Girotti
46'
↕ A. Cantero / C. Neira
46'
63'
C. Olivares / F. Castelli ↕
72'
A. Salazar
↕ M. Antoni / C. Carbajal
75'
↕ L. Advincula / A. Burlamaqui
75'
↕ J. Velez / L. Ramos
75'
R. Garces
81'
82'
A. Ascues / F. Arancibia ↕
88'
S. Ramirez / B. Da Silva ↕
90'+3
A. Gomez
N. Diaz
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.04%
Alianza
20.24%
X
19.72%
Deportivo ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Garcilaso) 19.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
2.09
—
—
Deportivo
1.21
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
1 A. Duarte A. Duarte G 6.90
2 N. Díaz N. Díaz D 7.50
3 M. Antoni M. Antoni 75' D 6.90
6 R. Garcés R. Garcés D 7.30
17 L. Advíncula L. Advíncula 75' D 8.20
5 E. Pavez E. Pavez M 8.00
20 J. Vélez J. Vélez 75' M 7.90
11 A. Cantero A. Cantero 45' M 6.90
7 F. Gaibor F. Gaibor M 7.70
8 E. Castillo E. Castillo F 7.00
34 Paolo Guerrero Paolo Guerrero 45' F 6.90
Bench
18 A. Burlamaqui A. Burlamaqui 16' M 6.50
12 Ángel de la Cruz Ángel de la Cruz G
31 C. Carbajal C. Carbajal 16' D 6.30
22 C. Neira C. Neira 46' M 6.30
99 F. Girotti F. Girotti 46' F 6.70
4 G. Chávez G. Chávez D
25 G. Gentile G. Gentile F
29 J. Archimbaud J. Archimbaud M
9 L. Ramos L. Ramos 16' F 6.70
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
1 P. Zubczuk P. Zubczuk G 8.50
23 X. Moreno X. Moreno D 6.50
19 A. Gómez A. Gómez D 6.90
2 A. Salazar A. Salazar D 6.50
55 E. Canales E. Canales D 6.30
8 A. González A. González M 7.20
18 C. Ramos C. Ramos M 6.90
30 L. da Silva L. da Silva 88' M 7.50
10 Kevin Sandoval Kevin Sandoval M 6.90
11 F. Arancibia F. Arancibia 82' M 7.20
9 F. Castelli F. Castelli 63' F 6.20
Bench
27 A. Ascues A. Ascues 9' M 6.50
20 A. Rosell A. Rosell D
6 C. M. Flores C. M. Flores M
24 C. Olivares C. Olivares 28' F 6.50
31 J. Barbieri J. Barbieri G
35 J. Mendoza J. Mendoza M
22 J. Portales J. Portales D
17 S. Ramírez S. Ramírez 3' F
33 S. Villacorta S. Villacorta D
Best on the pitch
P. Zubczuk
P. Zubczuk
G · Deportivo
8.50
· 32 pass
L. Advíncula
L. Advíncula
D · Alianza
8.20
· 23 pass
E. Pavez
E. Pavez
M · Alianza
8.00
· 88 pass
J. Vélez
J. Vélez
M · Alianza
7.90
3 shots · 36 pass
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
M · Alianza
7.70
2 shots · 49 pass
N. Díaz
N. Díaz
D · Alianza
7.50
· 53 pass
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Duarte G 91 6.90 — — — 23 23% — — —
N. Díaz D 91 7.50 — — — 53 45% 2 — —
M. Antoni D 75 6.90 — — — 45 40% 3 — —
R. Garcés D 91 7.30 — — 2 58 52% 3 1 —
L. Advíncula D 75 8.20 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
E. Pavez M 91 8.00 — — — 88 81% — — —
J. Vélez M 75 7.90 — — 3 36 32% 3 1 —
A. Cantero M 45 6.90 — — 4 13 6% 1 — —
F. Gaibor M 91 7.70 — — 2 49 43% 3 — —
E. Castillo F 91 7.00 — — 4 27 18% 2 — —
Paolo Guerrero F 45 6.90 — — 1 9 7% — — —
A. Burlamaqui M 16 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
C. Carbajal D 16 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
C. Neira M 46 6.30 — — 1 18 14% — — —
F. Girotti F 46 6.70 — — 3 8 6% — — —
L. Ramos F 16 6.70 — — 1 3 1% — — —
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Zubczuk G 91 8.50 — — — 32 14% 1 — —
X. Moreno D 91 6.50 — — — 15 11% 2 — —
A. Gómez D 91 6.90 — — 1 12 8% 2 — —
A. Salazar D 91 6.50 — — — 6 4% 2 1 —
E. Canales D 91 6.30 — — — 17 7% 2 — —
A. González M 91 7.20 — — 1 23 16% 6 — —
C. Ramos M 91 6.90 — — 1 23 13% 1 — —
L. da Silva M 88 7.50 — — 2 18 15% 1 — —
Kevin Sandoval M 91 6.90 — — 1 17 13% 2 — —
F. Arancibia M 82 7.20 — — — 9 5% — — —
F. Castelli F 63 6.20 — — — 12 5% — 1 —
A. Ascues M 9 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
C. Olivares F 28 6.50 — — 1 5 4% — — —
S. Ramírez F 3 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The final score was Alianza Lima 0–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Deportivo Garcilaso win.