✗Model wrong — prediction Alianza Lima, result Draw
E. Pavez
(ast. J. Castillo)
90'+3
72'
(ast. M. Castro)
G. Cazonatti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Sporting Cristal 15%). The final result was Alianza Lima 1–1 Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
1
Corners
2
25
Tackles
31
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Antoni
16'
37'
L. Iberico
40'
R. Lutiger
M. Antoni
/ C. Carbajal
46'
L. Ramos
/ F. Girotti
58'
G. Gentile
/ Paolo Guerrero
58'
63'
I. Avila
/
F. Vizeu
63'
Gabriel
/
J. Gonzalez
F. Gaibor
/ J. Castillo
69'
69'
G. Cazonatti
72'
ast. M. Castro ·
G. Cazonatti⚽
G. Chavez
75'
J. Velez
/ K. Quevedo
76'
87'
C. Cabellos
/
L. Iberico
90'+1
M. Tavara
/
Y. Yotun
⚽E. Pavez
· ast. J. Castillo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
68.15%
Alianza
16.18%
X ←
15.67%
Sporting
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.89
—
—
0.87
—
—
Lineups
1
Alejandro Duarte
G
Alejandro Duarte
G
3
Mateo Antoni
45'
D
Mateo Antoni
45'
D
4
Gianfranco Chávez
D
Gianfranco Chávez
D
6
Renzo Garcés
D
Renzo Garcés
D
13
Marco Huamán
D
Marco Huamán
D
5
Esteban Pavez
1 ⚽
M
Esteban Pavez
1 ⚽
M
20
Jairo Vélez
76'
M
Jairo Vélez
76'
M
7
Fernando Gaibor
68'
M
Fernando Gaibor
68'
M
25
Gaspar Gentile
59'
M
Gaspar Gentile
59'
M
8
Eryc Castillo
F
Eryc Castillo
F
9
Luis Ramos
59'
F
Luis Ramos
59'
F
Bench
18
Alessandro Burlamaqui
M
Alessandro Burlamaqui
M
31
Cristian Carbajal
51'
D
Cristian Carbajal
51'
D
99
Federico Girotti
37'
F
Federico Girotti
37'
F
23
Guillermo Viscarra
G
Guillermo Viscarra
G
29
Jean Pierre Archimbaud
M
Jean Pierre Archimbaud
M
15
Jesús Castillo
1 👟
28'
M
Jesús Castillo
1 👟
28'
M
77
Josué Estrada
D
Josué Estrada
D
27
Kevin Quevedo
20'
F
Kevin Quevedo
20'
F
34
Paolo Guerrero
37'
F
Paolo Guerrero
37'
F
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
90
Cristiano
D
Cristiano
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
Rafael Lutiger
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
8
Leandro Sosa
D
Leandro Sosa
D
23
Maxloren Castro
1 👟
M
Maxloren Castro
1 👟
M
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
1 ⚽
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
1 ⚽
M
18
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
63'
M
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
63'
M
16
Luis Iberico
87'
F
Luis Iberico
87'
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
63'
F
Felipe Vizeu
63'
F
Bench
21
Catriel Cabellos
9'
M
Catriel Cabellos
9'
M
33
César Bautista
G
César Bautista
G
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
28
Diego Otoya
F
Diego Otoya
F
27
Gabriel Santana
33'
M
Gabriel Santana
33'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
11
Irven Ávila
33'
F
Irven Ávila
33'
F
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
25
Martín Távara
5'
M
Martín Távara
5'
M
Best on the pitch
Esteban Pavez
M · Alianza
9.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 71 pass
Gustavo Cazonatti
M · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.90
· 50 pass
Cristiano
D · Sporting
7.90
· 31 pass
Renzo Garcés
D · Alianza
7.60
· 69 pass
Kevin Quevedo
F · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 18 pass
Alianza Lima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Duarte | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Antoni | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Gianfranco Chávez | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Renzo Garcés | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Huamán | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Esteban Pavez | M | 96 | 9.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 71 | 64% | 5 | — | — |
| Jairo Vélez | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Fernando Gaibor | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaspar Gentile | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Eryc Castillo | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Luis Ramos | F | 59 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Carbajal | D | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Girotti | F | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Quevedo | F | 20 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paolo Guerrero | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Rafael Lutiger | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Maxloren Castro | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 5 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Cruz Gonzalez | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Luis Iberico | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Santana | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Martín Távara | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Alianza Lima 1–1 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting Cristal win.