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Liga 1 · Apertura - 14 May 10, 2026 03:00 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Alianza Lima
#1 · 56 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sporting Cristal
#3 · 19 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Alianza Lima, result Draw
E. Pavez (ast. J. Castillo) 90'+3
72' (ast. M. Castro) G. Cazonatti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Sporting Cristal 15%). The final result was Alianza Lima 1–1 Sporting Cristal.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
1
Corners
2
25
Tackles
31
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Antoni
16'
37'
L. Iberico
40'
R. Lutiger
↕ M. Antoni / C. Carbajal
46'
↕ L. Ramos / F. Girotti
58'
↕ G. Gentile / Paolo Guerrero
58'
63'
I. Avila / F. Vizeu ↕
63'
Gabriel / J. Gonzalez ↕
↕ F. Gaibor / J. Castillo
69'
69'
G. Cazonatti
72'
ast. M. Castro · G. Cazonatti⚽
G. Chavez
75'
↕ J. Velez / K. Quevedo
76'
87'
C. Cabellos / L. Iberico ↕
90'+1
M. Tavara / Y. Yotun ↕
⚽E. Pavez · ast. J. Castillo
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
68.15%
Alianza
16.18%
X ←
15.67%
Sporting
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alianza
2.89
—
—
Sporting
0.87
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 27 56
2 Universitario Universitario 27 49
3 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 27 48
4 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 27 46
5 Cusco Cusco 27 45
6 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 27 42
7 Cienciano Cienciano 27 41
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 27 40
9 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 38
10 Sport Boys Sport Boys 27 38
11 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 27 35
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 27 34
13 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 27 32
14 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 27 30
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 27 27
16 ADT ADT 27 25
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 27 25
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 27 15
Lineups
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
1 A. Duarte A. Duarte G 6.60
3 M. Antoni M. Antoni 45' D 6.90
4 G. Chávez G. Chávez D 7.00
6 Renzo Garcés Renzo Garcés D 7.60
13 Marco Huamán Marco Huamán D 7.00
5 E. Pavez E. Pavez 1 ⚽ M 9.50
20 Jairo Vélez Jairo Vélez 76' M 7.20
7 F. Gaibor F. Gaibor 68' M 6.90
25 G. Gentile G. Gentile 59' M 6.70
8 E. Castillo E. Castillo F 6.90
9 L. Ramos L. Ramos 59' F 5.90
Bench
18 A. Burlamaqui A. Burlamaqui M
31 C. Carbajal C. Carbajal 51' D 6.30
99 F. Girotti F. Girotti 37' F 6.50
23
Guillermo Viscarra G
29 J. Archimbaud J. Archimbaud M
15 J. Castillo J. Castillo 1 👟 28' M 6.70
77 J. Estrada J. Estrada D
27 K. Quevedo K. Quevedo 20' F 7.30
34 Paolo Guerrero Paolo Guerrero 37' F 6.90
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-4-2
1 D. Enríquez D. Enríquez G 6.90
90 Cris Silva Cris Silva D 7.90
5 R. Lutiger R. Lutiger D 6.30
20 Miguel Araujo Miguel Araujo D 6.90
8 L. Sosa L. Sosa D 7.20
23 M. Castro M. Castro 1 👟 M 6.50
19 Yoshimar Yotún Yoshimar Yotún M 7.90
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti 1 ⚽ M 8.20
18 J. González J. González 63' M 7.20
16 L. Iberico L. Iberico 87' F 6.00
9 Felipe Vizeu Felipe Vizeu 63' F 6.50
Bench
33 C. Bautista C. Bautista G
21 C. Cabellos C. Cabellos 9' M 6.30
14 Cristian Benavente Cristian Benavente F
28 Diego Otoya Diego Otoya F
27 Gabriel Gabriel 33' M 6.70
25 G. Távara G. Távara 5' M
26 Ian Wisdom Ian Wisdom M
11 I. Ávila I. Ávila 33' F 6.30
96 L. Abram L. Abram D
Best on the pitch
E. Pavez
E. Pavez
M · Alianza
9.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 71 pass
Gustavo Cazonatti
Gustavo Cazonatti
M · Sporting
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.90
· 50 pass
Cris Silva
Cris Silva
D · Sporting
7.90
· 31 pass
Renzo Garcés
Renzo Garcés
D · Alianza
7.60
· 69 pass
K. Quevedo
K. Quevedo
F · Alianza
7.30
2 shots · 18 pass
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Duarte G 96 6.60 — — — 18 18% — — —
M. Antoni D 45 6.90 — — — 22 18% 4 1 —
G. Chávez D 96 7.00 — — — 55 46% 2 1 —
Renzo Garcés D 96 7.60 — — — 69 59% 1 — —
Marco Huamán D 96 7.00 — — — 52 47% 1 — —
E. Pavez M 96 9.50 1 — 2 71 64% 5 — —
Jairo Vélez M 76 7.20 — — — 35 29% 5 — —
F. Gaibor M 68 6.90 — — 1 32 23% 1 — —
G. Gentile M 59 6.70 — — 1 8 4% 1 — —
E. Castillo F 96 6.90 — — 2 18 14% 3 — —
L. Ramos F 59 5.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
C. Carbajal D 51 6.30 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
F. Girotti F 37 6.50 — — 2 9 6% — — —
J. Castillo M 28 6.70 — 1 1 8 8% 1 — —
K. Quevedo F 20 7.30 — — 2 18 13% — — —
Paolo Guerrero F 37 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Enríquez G 96 6.90 — — — 31 23% — — —
Cris Silva D 96 7.90 — — — 31 26% 4 — —
R. Lutiger D 96 6.30 — — 1 35 30% 1 1 —
Miguel Araujo D 96 6.90 — — — 24 22% 4 — —
L. Sosa D 96 7.20 — — — 38 30% 2 — —
M. Castro M 96 6.50 — 1 2 21 16% 3 — —
Yoshimar Yotún M 91 7.90 — — — 50 39% 5 — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 96 8.20 1 — 1 33 22% 2 1 —
J. González M 63 7.20 — — — 25 21% 4 — —
L. Iberico F 87 6.00 — — 1 25 19% 2 1 —
Felipe Vizeu F 63 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
C. Cabellos M 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Gabriel M 33 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
G. Távara M 5 — — — — 5 5% — — —
I. Ávila F 33 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was Alianza Lima 1–1 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 16% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting Cristal win.