Liga 1
· Regular Season - 13
May 03, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima
E. Castillo
(ast. L. Ramos)
37'
F. Girotti
76'
80'
E. Lastre
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 71% win probability (draw 15%, UCV Moquegua 12%). The final result was Alianza Lima 2–1 UCV Moquegua.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
1
Corners
0
10
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Castillo
· ast. L. Ramos
37'
40'
Y. Zapata
L. Advincula
59'
60'
E. Lastre
61'
A. Davila
/
Y. Zapata
61'
C. Ramirez
/
N. Chavez
L. Ramos
/ F. Girotti
70'
G. Gentile
/ J. Castillo
70'
⚽F. Girotti
76'
78'
M. Negron
/
J. Collazos
80'
E. Lastre⚽
R. Garces
86'
88'
D. Ramirez
/
C. Mejia
88'
E. Montenegro
/
A. Perleche
F. Gaibor
/ A. Burlamaqui
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
71.96%
Alianza ←
15.56%
X
12.48%
UCV
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima)
71.96%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.97
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
1
G
13
Marco Huamán
D
Marco Huamán
D
3
Mateo Antoni
D
Mateo Antoni
D
6
Renzo Garcés
D
Renzo Garcés
D
17
L. Advíncula
D
L. Advíncula
D
5
M
25
Gaspar Gentile
70'
M
Gaspar Gentile
70'
M
7
Fernando Gaibor
M
Fernando Gaibor
M
20
J. Vélez
M
J. Vélez
M
9
Luis Ramos
1 👟
70'
F
Luis Ramos
1 👟
70'
F
8
Eryc Castillo
1 ⚽
F
Eryc Castillo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
99
Federico Girotti
1 ⚽
23'
F
Federico Girotti
1 ⚽
23'
F
15
Jesús Castillo
23'
M
Jesús Castillo
23'
M
27
Kevin Quevedo
F
Kevin Quevedo
F
1
G
15
Nicolas Amasifuen
D
Nicolas Amasifuen
D
3
Cristian Enciso
D
Cristian Enciso
D
30
D
4
Aldair Perleche
88'
D
Aldair Perleche
88'
D
25
Ricardo Chipao
M
Ricardo Chipao
M
10
Nicolas Chavez
61'
M
Nicolas Chavez
61'
M
17
Yorman Zapata
61'
M
Yorman Zapata
61'
M
8
Cristian Mejia
88'
M
Cristian Mejia
88'
M
7
Edgar Lastre
1 ⚽
M
Edgar Lastre
1 ⚽
M
90
Jeferson Collazos
78'
F
Jeferson Collazos
78'
F
Bench
16
Allonso Davila
32'
F
Allonso Davila
32'
F
22
Eros Montenegro
5'
D
Eros Montenegro
5'
D
24
K. Moreno
D
Best on the pitch
Federico Girotti
F · Alianza
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Fernando Gaibor
M · Alianza
7.60
1 shots
· 73 pass
Eryc Castillo
F · Alianza
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M · Alianza
7.50
· 73 pass
Edgar Lastre
M · UCV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Mateo Antoni
D · Alianza
7.20
· 89 pass
Alianza Lima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Marco Huamán | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Antoni | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 89 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Renzo Garcés | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Advíncula | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 63% | — | — | — | |
| Gaspar Gentile | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Gaibor | M | 92 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vélez | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Ramos | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Eryc Castillo | F | 93 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Girotti | F | 23 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
UCV Moquegua — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolas Amasifuen | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Cristian Enciso | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| Aldair Perleche | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Ricardo Chipao | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Chavez | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Yorman Zapata | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Mejia | M | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Edgar Lastre | M | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jeferson Collazos | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Allonso Davila | F | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Eros Montenegro | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?
The final score was Alianza Lima 2–1 UCV Moquegua.
What did the model predict before Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Alianza Lima win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an UCV Moquegua win.