Liga 1 · Clausura - 5 August 16, 2026 02:30 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima

Alianza Lima

#1 · 56 pts

1 – 0

Final score

UTC Cajamarca

#13 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Alianza Lima

F. Gaibor (ast. J. Castillo) 45'+2

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Lima a 73% win probability (draw 18%, UTC Cajamarca 7%). The final result was Alianza Lima 1–0 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Lima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for UTC Cajamarca.

Match statistics

Match Events

M. Antoni

4'

⚽F. Gaibor · ast. J. Castillo

45'+2

46'

A. Arroyo / J. Huerto ↕

56'

A. Munoz

↕ F. Girotti / Paolo Guerrero

65'

↕ E. Castillo / A. Cantero

65'

66'

D. Dioses / M. Lliuya ↕

66'

M. de Jesus / D. Camacho ↕

77'

F. Cavagna / D. Caro ↕

↕ J. Velez / G. Gentile

77'

↕ R. Garces / G. Chavez

81'

↕ F. Gaibor / J. Archimbaud

81'

82'

J. Nunez / J. Cantt ↕

Pre-match prediction

73.92%

Alianza ←

18.17%

X

7.92%

UTC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Lima) 73.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Alianza

1.90

—

—

UTC

0.35

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	27	56
2	Universitario	27	49
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	27	48
4	FBC Melgar	27	46
5	Cusco	27	45
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	26	41
7	Cienciano	26	40
8	Alianza Atletico	27	40
9	Sporting Cristal	27	38
10	Sport Boys	27	38
11	Sport Huancayo	27	35
12	Juan Pablo II College	27	34
13	Atletico Grau	27	32
14	Comerciantes Unidos	27	30
15	FC Cajamarca	27	27
16	ADT	27	25
17	UCV Moquegua	27	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	27	15