C. Vergara
(ast. D. Quinones)
28'
M. Martinez
81'
5'
(ast. E. Batalla)
F. Charrupi
34'
(ast. F. Sambueza)
L. Pons
90'
(ast. B. Caicedo)
E. Batalla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Valledupar a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Bucaramanga 32%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 2–3 Bucaramanga. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Valledupar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bucaramanga.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
3
0.20
Actual xG
0.97
2
Saves
1
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
0
15
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
5'
ast. E. Batalla ·
F. Charrupi⚽
⚽C. Vergara
· ast. D. Quinones
28'
34'
ast. F. Sambueza ·
L. Pons⚽
37'
F. Sambueza
47'
F. Hinestroza
63'
A. Zarate
/
L. Flores
C. Esparragoza
/ F. Cantillo
67'
69'
A. Murrilo
/
F. Hinestroza
F. Pardo
69'
69'
Fabry
/
F. Charrupi
F. Pardo
/ I. Alba
75'
D. Quinones
/ M. Martinez
75'
76'
B. Caicedo
/
L. Pons
76'
A. Gutierrez
/
N. Castrillon
⚽M. Martinez
81'
86'
J. Garcia
J. Munoz
/ L. Palacios
86'
90'+3
E. Batalla
90'
ast. B. Caicedo ·
E. Batalla⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.99%
Alianza
30.03%
X
32.98%
Bucaramanga ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bucaramanga)
32.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.20
-0.81
0.94
0.97
+0.03
Bucaramanga dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Wallens
G
J. Wallens
G
33
Jhildrey Lasso
D
Jhildrey Lasso
D
5
Pedro Franco
D
Pedro Franco
D
32
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
60
Yilson Rosales
D
Yilson Rosales
D
7
Jair Castillo
M
Jair Castillo
M
15
C. Esparragoza
67'
M
C. Esparragoza
67'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
86'
M
Jesús Muñoz
86'
M
10
Déinner Quiñones
1 👟
75'
M
Déinner Quiñones
1 👟
75'
M
17
Felipe Pardo
75'
M
Felipe Pardo
75'
M
18
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
1 ⚽
F
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Charly Villegas
F
Charly Villegas
F
40
Eduar Beltrán
G
Eduar Beltrán
G
24
Fabián Cantillo
29'
M
Fabián Cantillo
29'
M
23
Israel Alba
21'
D
Israel Alba
21'
D
29
Jean Rojas
M
Jean Rojas
M
22
Jesús Figueroa
D
Jesús Figueroa
D
4
J. Mosquera
D
J. Mosquera
D
88
Leyner Palacios
10'
M
Leyner Palacios
10'
M
77
Misael Martínez
1 ⚽
21'
F
Misael Martínez
1 ⚽
21'
F
25
Cristopher Fiermarín
G
Cristopher Fiermarín
G
4
José García
D
José García
D
23
Carlos Romaña
D
Carlos Romaña
D
24
José Ortiz
D
José Ortiz
D
6
Nilson Castrillón
76'
D
Nilson Castrillón
76'
D
8
Freddy Hinestroza
69'
M
Freddy Hinestroza
69'
M
28
Leonardo Flores
63'
M
Leonardo Flores
63'
M
21
Felix Charrupí
1 ⚽
69'
M
Felix Charrupí
1 ⚽
69'
M
17
Emerson Batalla
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Emerson Batalla
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
27
Luciano Pons
1 ⚽
76'
F
Luciano Pons
1 ⚽
76'
F
10
Fabián Sambueza
1 👟
F
Fabián Sambueza
1 👟
F
Bench
5
Adrián Murillo
27'
F
Adrián Murillo
27'
F
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
20'
D
Aldair Gutiérrez
20'
D
20
Aldair Zárate
33'
F
Aldair Zárate
33'
F
9
Brandon Caicedo
1 👟
20'
F
Brandon Caicedo
1 👟
20'
F
12
Diego Novoa
G
Diego Novoa
G
22
Fabry Castro
27'
M
Fabry Castro
27'
M
11
Fredy Salazar
F
Fredy Salazar
F
Best on the pitch
Emerson Batalla
F · Bucaramanga
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 40 pass
Déinner Quiñones
M · Alianza
7.70
1 👟
· 38 pass
Felix Charrupí
M · Bucaramanga
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
F · Alianza
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Aldair Gutiérrez
D · Bucaramanga
7.30
· 8 pass
Misael Martínez
F · Alianza
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallens | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jhildrey Lasso | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Franco | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | M | 75 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas | F | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Israel Alba | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leyner Palacios | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 21 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Bucaramanga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Fiermarín | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| José García | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Romaña | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| José Ortiz | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Freddy Hinestroza | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Leonardo Flores | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Felix Charrupí | M | 69 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Batalla | F | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luciano Pons | F | 76 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Sambueza | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Murillo | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Aldair Gutiérrez | D | 20 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Aldair Zárate | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Caicedo | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Fabry Castro | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 2–3 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Bucaramanga win.