F. Pardo
(ast. J. Lasso)
9'
(pen.)
37'
L. Sandoval
90'+3
(ast. A. Parra Osorio)
J. Hurtado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Valledupar a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 33%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 1–2 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Valledupar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.50
Actual xG
1.27
3
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽F. Pardo
· ast. J. Lasso
9'
J. Wallens
35'
37'
(pen.)
L. Sandoval⚽
F. Cantillo
42'
53'
J. Angulo
C. Esparragoza
/ E. W. Meza Mercado
60'
F. Pardo
/ Y. Londono
60'
J. Munoz
/ D. Quinones
61'
62'
J. Hurtado
/
K. Florez
62'
A. Parra Osorio
/
E. Lopez
73'
J. Valencia
/
L. Sanchez
73'
C. Arrieta
/
J. Hernandez
C. Vergara
/ M. Martinez
74'
80'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
J. Castillo
/ J. Mosquera
80'
86'
E. Valencia
/
L. Sandoval
88'
E. Valencia
90'+3
ast. A. Parra Osorio ·
J. Hurtado⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.28%
Alianza
31.69%
X
33.03%
Deportes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
33.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.50
+0.62
0.89
1.27
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Wallens
G
J. Wallens
G
33
Jhildrey Lasso
1 👟
D
Jhildrey Lasso
1 👟
D
5
Pedro Franco
D
Pedro Franco
D
22
Jesús Figueroa
D
Jesús Figueroa
D
60
Yilson Rosales
D
Yilson Rosales
D
7
Jair Castillo
80'
M
Jair Castillo
80'
M
24
Fabián Cantillo
M
Fabián Cantillo
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
60'
M
Jesús Muñoz
60'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
60'
M
C. Esparragoza
60'
M
17
Felipe Pardo
1 ⚽
60'
M
Felipe Pardo
1 ⚽
60'
M
18
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
73'
F
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
73'
F
Bench
10
Déinner Quiñones
33'
F
Déinner Quiñones
33'
F
40
Eduar Beltrán
G
Eduar Beltrán
G
6
Ever Meza
33'
M
Ever Meza
33'
M
23
Israel Alba
D
Israel Alba
D
29
Jean Rojas
M
Jean Rojas
M
4
J. Mosquera
13'
D
J. Mosquera
13'
D
32
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
77
Misael Martínez
20'
F
Misael Martínez
20'
F
27
Yeiner Londoño
33'
M
Yeiner Londoño
33'
M
13
Miguel Ortega
G
Miguel Ortega
G
20
Junior Hernández
73'
D
Junior Hernández
73'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
14
Homer Martinez
M
Homer Martinez
M
32
S. Guzmán
M
S. Guzmán
M
18
K. Flórez
62'
M
K. Flórez
62'
M
10
Luis Sánchez
73'
M
Luis Sánchez
73'
M
28
Edwar López
62'
M
Edwar López
62'
M
9
Luis Sandoval
1 ⚽
86'
F
Luis Sandoval
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
24
Adrián Parra
1 👟
31'
F
Adrián Parra
1 👟
31'
F
17
C. Arrieta
20'
D
C. Arrieta
20'
D
8
Ever Valencia
7'
F
Ever Valencia
7'
F
23
G. Balanta
G
G. Balanta
G
11
Jader Valencia
20'
F
Jader Valencia
20'
F
7
Jorge Hurtado
1 ⚽
31'
F
Jorge Hurtado
1 ⚽
31'
F
19
Joven Santiago
F
Joven Santiago
F
16
V. Reyes
M
V. Reyes
M
71
Yordan Osorio
D
Yordan Osorio
D
Best on the pitch
Felipe Pardo
M · Alianza
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Jhildrey Lasso
D · Alianza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
Homer Martinez
M · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 89 pass
Jair Castillo
M · Alianza
7.00
· 29 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.00
3 shots
· 104 pass
Jader Valencia
F · Deportes
6.90
· 6 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallens | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhildrey Lasso | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Franco | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Figueroa | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 60 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ever Meza | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mosquera | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Ortega | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Junior Hernández | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 79% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 104 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwar López | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 86 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 31 | 6.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Hurtado | F | 31 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 1–2 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Deportes Tolima win.