F. Pardo
(ast. J. Lasso)
9'
(pen.)
37'
L. Sandoval
90'+3
(ast. A. Parra Osorio)
J. Hurtado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alianza Valledupar a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 33%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 1–2 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Alianza Valledupar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.50
Actual xG
1.27
3
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽F. Pardo
· ast. J. Lasso
9'
J. Wallens
35'
37'
(pen.)
L. Sandoval⚽
F. Cantillo
42'
53'
J. Angulo
C. Esparragoza
/ E. W. Meza Mercado
60'
F. Pardo
/ Y. Londono
60'
J. Munoz
/ D. Quinones
61'
62'
J. Hurtado
/
K. Florez
62'
A. Parra Osorio
/
E. Lopez
73'
J. Valencia
/
L. Sanchez
73'
C. Arrieta
/
J. Hernandez
C. Vergara
/ M. Martinez
74'
80'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
J. Castillo
/ J. Mosquera
80'
86'
E. Valencia
/
L. Sandoval
88'
E. Valencia
90'+3
ast. A. Parra Osorio ·
J. Hurtado⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.28%
Alianza
31.69%
X
33.03%
Deportes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
33.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
1.50
+0.62
0.89
1.27
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.50 – 1.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Wallens
G
J. Wallens
G
33
J. Lasso
1 👟
D
J. Lasso
1 👟
D
5
P. Franco
D
P. Franco
D
22
J. Figueroa
D
J. Figueroa
D
60
Y. Rosales
D
Y. Rosales
D
7
J. Castillo
80'
M
J. Castillo
80'
M
24
Fabián Cantillo
M
Fabián Cantillo
M
8
J. Muñoz
60'
M
J. Muñoz
60'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
60'
M
C. Esparragoza
60'
M
17
F. Pardo
1 ⚽
60'
M
F. Pardo
1 ⚽
60'
M
18
C. Vergara
73'
F
C. Vergara
73'
F
Bench
10
Déinner Quiñones
33'
F
Déinner Quiñones
33'
F
40
Eduar Beltrán
G
Eduar Beltrán
G
6
E. Meza
33'
M
E. Meza
33'
M
23
Israel Alba
D
Israel Alba
D
29
Jean Rojas
M
Jean Rojas
M
4
J. Mosquera
13'
D
J. Mosquera
13'
D
32
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
77
M. Martínez
20'
F
M. Martínez
20'
F
27
Yeiner Londoño
33'
M
Yeiner Londoño
33'
M
13
M. Ortega
G
M. Ortega
G
20
J. Hernández
73'
D
J. Hernández
73'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
3
J. Angulo
D
J. Angulo
D
33
J. Mosquera
D
J. Mosquera
D
14
H. Martínez
M
H. Martínez
M
32
S. Guzmán
M
S. Guzmán
M
18
K. Flórez
62'
M
K. Flórez
62'
M
10
L. Sánchez
73'
M
L. Sánchez
73'
M
28
E. López
62'
M
E. López
62'
M
9
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
86'
F
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
24
A. Parra
1 👟
31'
F
A. Parra
1 👟
31'
F
17
C. Arrieta
20'
D
C. Arrieta
20'
D
8
E. Valencia
7'
F
E. Valencia
7'
F
23
Gali Balanta
G
Gali Balanta
G
7
J. Cabezas
1 ⚽
31'
F
J. Cabezas
1 ⚽
31'
F
19
Joven Santiago
F
Joven Santiago
F
11
J. Valencia
20'
F
J. Valencia
20'
F
16
V. Reyes
M
V. Reyes
M
71
Yordan Osorio
D
Yordan Osorio
D
Best on the pitch
F. Pardo
M · Alianza
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
J. Lasso
D · Alianza
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
H. Martínez
M · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 89 pass
J. Castillo
M · Alianza
7.00
· 29 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.00
3 shots
· 104 pass
J. Valencia
F · Deportes
6.90
· 6 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wallens | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lasso | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Franco | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Figueroa | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Rosales | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Muñoz | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pardo | M | 60 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Vergara | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Meza | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mosquera | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Martínez | F | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ortega | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Hernández | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Angulo | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Mosquera | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Martínez | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 89 | 79% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 104 | 96% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sánchez | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| E. López | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 86 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| A. Parra | F | 31 | 6.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cabezas | F | 31 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 1–2 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Deportes Tolima win.