The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 36% win probability (draw 36%, Alianza Valledupar 27%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
0.77
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
5
10
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
Geovanni Banguera
Fabián Cantillo
28'
C. Lucumi
/ M. Martinez
38'
59'
M. Garavito
/
M. S. Jimenez
59'
Y. Goez
/
H. Mancilla
W. Fernandez
/ C. Esparragoza
65'
J. Lasso
/ E. Banguero
65'
F. Pardo
/ J. Munoz
65'
Yilson Rosales
74'
75'
M. Gil
/
J. Perlaza
75'
D. Chavez
/
H. Goyes
Jair Castillo
77'
F. Cantillo
/ Y. Londono
78'
Jair Castillo
82'
Jair Castillo
82'
85'
Matías Pisano
88'
P. Preciado
/
E. C. Serje Orozco
90'+3
Mateo Garavito
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Alianza
36.09%
X ←
36.23%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.64
-0.17
1.06
0.77
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
23
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
22
D
5
P. Franco
D
P. Franco
D
33
J. Lasso
65'
M
J. Lasso
65'
M
21
Fabián Cantillo
78'
M
Fabián Cantillo
78'
M
7
J. Castillo
82'
M
J. Castillo
82'
M
16
Y. Rosales
M
Y. Rosales
M
17
F. Pardo
65'
F
F. Pardo
65'
F
29
C. Lucumi
38'
F
C. Lucumi
38'
F
10
W. Fernández
65'
F
W. Fernández
65'
F
Bench
15
C. Esparragoza
25'
M
C. Esparragoza
25'
M
24
E. Banguero
25'
D
8
J. Muñoz
25'
M
J. Muñoz
25'
M
3
K. Moreno
D
K. Moreno
D
26
M. Martínez
52'
F
M. Martínez
52'
F
27
Yeiner Londoño
12'
M
Yeiner Londoño
12'
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
21
D
5
N. Gil
D
N. Gil
D
2
F. Torijano
D
3
S. Jiménez
59'
D
S. Jiménez
59'
D
27
Hervin Goyes
75'
M
Hervin Goyes
75'
M
8
E. Serje
88'
M
E. Serje
88'
M
15
H. Mancilla
59'
M
H. Mancilla
59'
M
11
A. Estupiñán
F
A. Estupiñán
F
7
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
32
M. Pisano
F
M. Pisano
F
Bench
10
D. Chávez
15'
M
D. Chávez
15'
M
33
M. Garavito
31'
D
M. Garavito
31'
D
16
M. Gil
15'
M
M. Gil
15'
M
23
Y. Góez
31'
M
Y. Góez
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Alianza
7.90
· 16 pass
J. Lasso
M · Alianza
7.30
· 35 pass
W. Fernández
F · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 21 pass
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 45 pass
D · Alianza
7.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
Juan Viveros
D · Alianza
7.00
2 shots
· 48 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| P. Franco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Lasso | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Y. Rosales | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Pardo | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Lucumi | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| W. Fernández | F | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Banguero | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Muñoz | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Martínez | F | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Gil | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Torijano | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Jiménez | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Serje | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mancilla | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pisano | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Chávez | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garavito | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Gil | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Y. Góez | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 36% to a draw, and 36% to an Deportivo Pasto win.