The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 36% win probability (draw 36%, Alianza Valledupar 27%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.64
Actual xG
0.77
5
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
5
10
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
Geovanni Banguera
Fabián Cantillo
28'
C. Lucumi
/ M. Martinez
38'
59'
M. Garavito
/
M. S. Jimenez
59'
Y. Goez
/
H. Mancilla
W. Fernandez
/ C. Esparragoza
65'
J. Lasso
/ E. Banguero
65'
F. Pardo
/ J. Munoz
65'
Yilson Rosales
74'
75'
M. Gil
/
J. Perlaza
75'
D. Chavez
/
H. Goyes
Jair Castillo
77'
F. Cantillo
/ Y. Londono
78'
Jair Castillo
82'
Jair Castillo
82'
85'
Matías Pisano
88'
P. Preciado
/
E. C. Serje Orozco
90'+3
Mateo Garavito
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Alianza
36.09%
X ←
36.23%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.64
-0.17
1.06
0.77
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
23
Juan Viveros
D
22
D
5
Pedro Franco
D
Pedro Franco
D
33
Jhildrey Lasso
65'
M
Jhildrey Lasso
65'
M
21
Fabián Cantillo
78'
M
7
Jair Castillo
82'
M
Jair Castillo
82'
M
16
Yilson Rosales
M
Yilson Rosales
M
17
Felipe Pardo
65'
F
Felipe Pardo
65'
F
29
C. Lucumi
38'
F
10
Wiston Fernández
65'
F
Wiston Fernández
65'
F
Bench
15
Carlos Esparragoza
25'
M
Carlos Esparragoza
25'
M
24
E. Banguero
25'
D
8
Jesús Muñoz
25'
M
Jesús Muñoz
25'
M
3
Kevin Moreno
D
26
Misael Martínez
52'
F
27
Yeiner Londoño
12'
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
21
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
2
F. Torijano
D
3
Santiago Jiménez
59'
D
Santiago Jiménez
59'
D
27
Hervin Goyes
75'
M
Hervin Goyes
75'
M
8
Enrique Serje
88'
M
Enrique Serje
88'
M
15
Harrinson Mancilla
59'
M
Harrinson Mancilla
59'
M
11
A. Estupiñán
F
A. Estupiñán
F
7
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
75'
F
32
Matías Pisano
F
Matías Pisano
F
Bench
10
Diego Chávez
15'
M
Diego Chávez
15'
M
33
Mateo Garavito
31'
D
Mateo Garavito
31'
D
16
Mayer Gil
15'
M
Mayer Gil
15'
M
23
Yeiler Góez
31'
M
Yeiler Góez
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Alianza
7.90
· 16 pass
Jhildrey Lasso
M · Alianza
7.30
· 35 pass
Wiston Fernández
F · Alianza
7.30
2 shots
· 21 pass
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 45 pass
D · Alianza
7.20
2 shots
· 28 pass
Juan Viveros
D · Alianza
7.00
2 shots
· 48 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| Pedro Franco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Jhildrey Lasso | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Yilson Rosales | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Pardo | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Lucumi | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wiston Fernández | F | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Esparragoza | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| E. Banguero | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | — | — | — |
| F. Torijano | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Jiménez | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Harrinson Mancilla | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Pisano | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Chávez | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 36% to a draw, and 36% to an Deportivo Pasto win.