Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 03, 2026 22:30
Y. Londono
(ast. F. Pardo)
45'
P. Franco
55'
58'
(ast. L. Castro)
R. Contreras
90'
(ast. L. Castro)
R. Contreras
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Alianza Valledupar 30%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
9
1.44
Actual xG
2.80
7
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
8
6
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Y. Rosales
19'
J. Lasso
20'
41'
A. Llinas
⚽Y. Londono
· ast. F. Pardo
45'
46'
D. Banguero
/
E. Elizalde
J. Osorio
/ M. Martinez
54'
54'
J. Angulo
/
C. Sarabia
54'
B. D. Castro Espinosa
/
M. Garcia
⚽P. Franco
55'
58'
ast. L. Castro ·
R. Contreras⚽
J. Lasso
/ E. Banguero
59'
F. Pardo
/ J. Figueroa
60'
63'
C. Esparragoza
66'
C. Esparragoza
/ F. Cantillo
70'
W. Fernandez
/ J. Castillo
70'
75'
A. Castro
/
S. Viveros
75'
S. Vega
/
D. Silva
F. Cantillo
83'
J. Castillo
90'+2
E. Banguero
90'+2
90'+5
R. Urena
90'+8
B. D. Castro Espinosa
90'
ast. L. Castro ·
R. Contreras⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.27%
Alianza
30.5%
X ←
39.23%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.44
+0.62
1.02
2.80
+1.78
Millonarios dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
J. Lasso
59'
D
23
Juan Viveros
D
5
P. Franco
1 ⚽
D
16
Yilson Rosales
D
10
W. Fernandez
70'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
70'
M
C. Esparragoza
70'
M
27
Yeiner Londoño
1 ⚽
M
17
Felipe Pardo
1 👟
60'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
M
28
J. Osorio
54'
F
Bench
14
C. Villegas
F
24
E. Banguero
31'
D
21
Fabián Cantillo
20'
M
7
J. Castillo
20'
M
J. Castillo
20'
M
26
Misael Martínez
36'
F
1
G. De Amores
G
4
Edgar Elizalde
45'
D
17
J. Arias
D
26
A. Llinas
D
2
Carlos Sarabia
54'
D
14
David Macalister Silva
75'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. Garcia
54'
M
30
75'
M
23
L. Castro
2 👟
F
L. Castro
2 👟
F
27
R. Contreras
2 ⚽
F
R. Contreras
2 ⚽
F
Bench
29
A. F. Moreno Paz
D
11
B. Castro
36'
F
B. Castro
36'
F
20
D. Banguero
45'
D
3
M. Samuel
D
Best on the pitch
G · Alianza
8.50
· 21 pass
R. Contreras
F · Millonarios
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
P. Franco
D · Alianza
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
L. Castro
F · Millonarios
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots
· 73 pass
C. Esparragoza
M · Alianza
7.30
· 39 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| J. Lasso | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Franco | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Fernandez | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Osorio | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Banguero | D | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. De Amores | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Llinas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Sarabia | D | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Millonarios win.