Y. Londono
(ast. F. Pardo)
45'
P. Franco
55'
58'
(ast. L. Castro)
R. Contreras
90'
(ast. L. Castro)
R. Contreras
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Alianza Valledupar 30%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
9
1.44
Actual xG
2.80
7
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
8
6
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Y. Rosales
19'
J. Lasso
20'
41'
A. Llinas
⚽Y. Londono
· ast. F. Pardo
45'
46'
D. Banguero
/
E. Elizalde
J. Osorio
/ M. Martinez
54'
54'
J. Angulo
/
C. Sarabia
54'
B. D. Castro Espinosa
/
M. Garcia
⚽P. Franco
55'
58'
ast. L. Castro ·
R. Contreras⚽
J. Lasso
/ E. Banguero
59'
F. Pardo
/ J. Figueroa
60'
63'
C. Esparragoza
66'
C. Esparragoza
/ F. Cantillo
70'
W. Fernandez
/ J. Castillo
70'
75'
A. Castro
/
S. Viveros
75'
S. Vega
/
D. Silva
F. Cantillo
83'
J. Castillo
90'+2
E. Banguero
90'+2
90'+5
R. Urena
90'+8
B. D. Castro Espinosa
90'
ast. L. Castro ·
R. Contreras⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.27%
Alianza
30.5%
X ←
39.23%
Millonarios
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.44
+0.62
1.02
2.80
+1.78
Millonarios dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
Jhildrey Lasso
59'
D
Jhildrey Lasso
59'
D
23
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
5
Pedro Franco
1 ⚽
D
Pedro Franco
1 ⚽
D
16
Yilson Rosales
D
Yilson Rosales
D
10
Wiston Fernández
70'
M
Wiston Fernández
70'
M
15
C. Esparragoza
70'
M
C. Esparragoza
70'
M
27
Yeiner Londoño
1 ⚽
M
Yeiner Londoño
1 ⚽
M
17
Felipe Pardo
1 👟
60'
M
Felipe Pardo
1 👟
60'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
M
Jesús Muñoz
M
28
J. Osorio
54'
F
Bench
14
Charly Villegas
F
Charly Villegas
F
24
E. Banguero
31'
D
21
Fabián Cantillo
20'
M
Fabián Cantillo
20'
M
7
Jair Castillo
20'
M
Jair Castillo
20'
M
26
Misael Martínez
36'
F
Misael Martínez
36'
F
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
4
E. Elizalde
45'
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
26
Andrés Llinás
D
Andrés Llinás
D
2
C. Sarabia
54'
D
C. Sarabia
54'
D
14
David Macalister Silva
75'
M
David Macalister Silva
75'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
54'
M
M. García
54'
M
30
75'
M
23
L. Castro
2 👟
F
L. Castro
2 👟
F
27
R. Contreras
2 ⚽
F
R. Contreras
2 ⚽
F
Bench
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
11
B. Castro
36'
F
B. Castro
36'
F
20
Danovis Banguero
45'
D
Danovis Banguero
45'
D
3
Samuel Martín
D
Samuel Martín
D
Best on the pitch
G · Alianza
8.50
· 21 pass
R. Contreras
F · Millonarios
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
Pedro Franco
D · Alianza
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
L. Castro
F · Millonarios
7.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots
· 73 pass
C. Esparragoza
M · Alianza
7.30
· 39 pass
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Jhildrey Lasso | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Franco | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Wiston Fernández | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Osorio | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Banguero | D | 31 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo De Amores | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Elizalde | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 63 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Llinás | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Sarabia | D | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. García | M | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Danovis Banguero | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?
The final score was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Millonarios win.