Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — May 03, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

#17 · 2 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Millonarios

#5 · 13 pts

Y. Londono (ast. F. Pardo) 45'

P. Franco 55'

58' (ast. L. Castro) R. Contreras

90' (ast. L. Castro) R. Contreras

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Alianza Valledupar 30%). The final result was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.44

Actual xG

2.80

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Y. Rosales

19'

J. Lasso

20'

41'

A. Llinas

⚽Y. Londono · ast. F. Pardo

45'

46'

D. Banguero / E. Elizalde ↕

↕ J. Osorio / M. Martinez

54'

J. Angulo / C. Sarabia ↕

54'

B. D. Castro Espinosa / M. Garcia ↕

⚽P. Franco

55'

58'

ast. L. Castro · R. Contreras⚽

↕ J. Lasso / E. Banguero

59'

↕ F. Pardo / J. Figueroa

60'

63'

C. Esparragoza

66'

↕ C. Esparragoza / F. Cantillo

70'

↕ W. Fernandez / J. Castillo

70'

75'

A. Castro / S. Viveros ↕

75'

S. Vega / D. Silva ↕

F. Cantillo

83'

J. Castillo

90'+2

E. Banguero

90'+2

90'+5

R. Urena

90'+8

B. D. Castro Espinosa

90'

ast. L. Castro · R. Contreras⚽

Pre-match prediction

30.27%

Alianza

30.5%

X ←

39.23%

Millonarios

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.5% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Alianza

0.82

1.44

+0.62

Millonarios

1.02

2.80

+1.78

Millonarios dominated by xG (2.80 vs 1.44). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	America de Cali	5	13
2	Llaneros	5	11
3	Deportes Tolima	5	10
4	Independiente Medellin	4	9
5	Bucaramanga	5	9
6	Águilas Doradas	4	8
7	Deportivo Cali	4	7
8	Millonarios	4	7
9	Once Caldas	5	6
10	Atletico Nacional	3	6
11	Santa Fe	4	5
12	Fortaleza FC	5	5
13	Internacional de Bogota	5	5
14	Cucuta	5	5
15	Jaguares	5	4
16	Deportivo Pereira	3	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	2
18	Junior	3	1
19	Deportivo Pasto	5	0
20	Chico	3	0

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1

G 8.50

J. Lasso 59' D 6.30

Juan Viveros D 5.90

P. Franco 1 ⚽ D 7.60

Y. Rosales D 6.30

W. Fernández 70' M 7.20

C. Esparragoza 70' M 7.30

Yeiner Londoño 1 ⚽ M 7.30

F. Pardo 1 👟 60' M 6.90

J. Muñoz M 6.20

J. Osorio 54' F 6.30

Bench

C. Villegas F

E. Banguero 31' D 6.00

Fabián Cantillo 20' M 6.20

J. Castillo 20' M 6.20

M. Martínez 36' F 6.50

Millonarios 4-4-2

Guillermo De Amores G 6.30

Edgar Elizalde 45' D 6.60

Jorge Arias D 7.00

A. Llinás D 7.20

Carlos Sarabia 54' D 6.30

D. Silva 75' M 6.20

R. Ureña M 7.30

M. García 54' M 6.50

75' M 6.20

L. Castro 2 👟 F 7.30

R. Contreras 2 ⚽ F 8.30

Bench

Alex Moreno D

B. Castro 36' F 6.70

D. Banguero 45' D 6.20

M. Diaz Samuel D

Best on the pitch

G · Alianza

8.50

· 21 pass

R. Contreras

F · Millonarios

8.30

2 ⚽

5 shots · 10 pass

P. Franco

D · Alianza

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 36 pass

L. Castro

F · Millonarios

7.30

2 👟

1 shots · 20 pass

R. Ureña

M · Millonarios

7.30

1 shots · 73 pass

C. Esparragoza

M · Alianza

7.30

· 39 pass

Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.50	—	—	—	21	13%	—	—	—
J. Lasso	D	59	6.30	—	—	—	16	14%	1	1	—
Juan Viveros	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	21	15%	1	—	—
P. Franco	D	90	7.60	1	—	1	36	26%	—	—	—
Y. Rosales	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	28	19%	2	1	—
W. Fernández	M	70	7.20	—	—	—	41	35%	—	—	—
C. Esparragoza	M	70	7.30	—	—	—	39	37%	2	1	—
Yeiner Londoño	M	90	7.30	1	—	2	19	16%	—	—	—
F. Pardo	M	60	6.90	—	1	—	20	18%	—	—	—
J. Muñoz	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	26	21%	—	—	—
J. Osorio	F	54	6.30	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
E. Banguero	D	31	6.00	—	—	—	12	6%	—	1	—
Fabián Cantillo	M	20	6.20	—	—	—	4	1%	—	1	—
J. Castillo	M	20	6.20	—	—	1	7	4%	—	1	—
M. Martínez	F	36	6.50	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—

Millonarios — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Guillermo De Amores	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
Edgar Elizalde	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	22	12%	1	—	—
Jorge Arias	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	63	47%	1	—	—
A. Llinás	D	90	7.20	—	—	3	35	34%	3	1	—
Carlos Sarabia	D	54	6.30	—	—	—	19	16%	3	—	—
D. Silva	M	75	6.20	—	—	1	28	21%	1	—	—
R. Ureña	M	90	7.30	—	—	1	73	60%	2	1	—
M. García	M	54	6.50	—	—	—	26	21%	1	—	—
	M	75	6.20	—	—	2	20	9%	—	—	—
L. Castro	F	90	7.30	—	2	1	20	15%	2	—	—
R. Contreras	F	90	8.30	2	—	5	10	4%	1	—	—
B. Castro	F	36	6.70	—	—	—	5	4%	—	1	—
D. Banguero	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

The final score was Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.

What did the model predict before Alianza Valledupar vs Millonarios?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Alianza Valledupar win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Millonarios win.