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Almere City FC - De Graafschap

Eerste Divisie May 06, 2026 18:45 Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Almere City FC
#9 · 1 pts
vs
De Graafschap
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.73%
Win
Almere City FC
25.7%
Draw
33.57%
Win
De Graafschap
1.7
Expected xG
1.58

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.1%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 26%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 59%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almere City FC a 40% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 33% for De Graafschap. Expected goals are 1.7 for Almere City FC and 1.6 for De Graafschap (total 3.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.1% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Almere City FC have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for De Graafschap.

Season Stats

Almere City FC
8W 1D 6L
De Graafschap
7W 5D 3L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
2.0
1.6
Conceded
1.3
5.8
Shots OT
7.8
6.8
Corners
5.8
56%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
67%
73%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Eerste Divisie. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Almere City FC
6W 1D 3L · at home
De Graafschap
4W 4D 2L · away
2.1
gls/g
1.8
1.2
Conceded
1.6
60%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
80%
70%
O 2.5
60%
40%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Almere City FC De Graafschap →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Almere City FC Almere City FC
D Den Bosch 1–1
L Willem II 2–0
L Willem II 0–1
D De Graafschap 2–2
W De Graafschap 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
De Graafschap De Graafschap
D Helmond Sport 1–1
D Almere City FC 2–2
L Almere City FC 3–1
L Emmen 1–0
W Cambuur 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Almere City FC Almere City FC
Attack
26
Defence
31
Form
28
De Graafschap De Graafschap
Attack
25
Defence
34
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

3
Almere City FC
1
Draw
1
De Graafschap
9 May 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–2
6 May 2026 Eerste Divisie 3–1
6 May 2026 Eredivisie 3–1
18 Jan 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–0
29 Sep 2025 Eerste Divisie 2–3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
The model gives Almere City FC a 40% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an De Graafschap win.
How many goals are expected in Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
Expected goals: Almere City FC 1.7, De Graafschap 1.6 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.