← Eerste Divisie

Almere City FC - De Graafschap

Eerste Divisie May 06, 2026 18:45
Almere City FC
#5 · 58 pts
vs
De Graafschap
#4 · 63 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.73%
Win
Almere City FC
25.7%
Draw
33.57%
Win
De Graafschap
1.7
Expected xG
1.58

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almere City FC a 40% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 33% for De Graafschap. Expected goals are 1.7 for Almere City FC and 1.6 for De Graafschap (total 3.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.1% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Almere City FC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for De Graafschap.

Score Matrix
↕ Almere City FC De Graafschap →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
Recent form
Almere City FC Almere City FC
L Willem II 0–1
D De Graafschap 2–2
L VVV Venlo 3–1
W Dordrecht 4–1
L Willem II 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
De Graafschap De Graafschap
D Almere City FC 2–2
L Emmen 1–0
W Cambuur 3–1
D VVV Venlo 3–3
W Jong AZ 5–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Almere City FC Almere City FC
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
48
De Graafschap De Graafschap
Attack
50
Defence
68
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
2
Almere City FC
1
Draw
1
De Graafschap
D 9 May 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–2
W 6 May 2026 Eredivisie 3–1
W 18 Jan 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–0
L 29 Sep 2025 Eerste Divisie 2–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 38 89
2 Cambuur Cambuur 38 78
3 Willem II Willem II 38 68
4 De Graafschap De Graafschap 38 63
5 Almere City FC Almere City FC 38 58
6 Waalwijk Waalwijk 38 58
7 Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21 38 56
8 Roda Roda 38 55
9 Den Bosch Den Bosch 38 51
10 Dordrecht Dordrecht 38 47
11 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 38 47
12 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht 38 46
13 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 38 45
14 Emmen Emmen 38 45
15 Vitesse Vitesse 38 44
16 FC OSS FC OSS 38 44
17 Jong AZ Jong AZ 38 40
18 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 38 39
19 MVV MVV 38 38
20 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax 38 35
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
The model gives Almere City FC a 40% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 33% for an De Graafschap win.
How many goals are expected in Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
Expected goals: Almere City FC 1.7, De Graafschap 1.6 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Almere City FC vs De Graafschap?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.1%.