Segunda División
· Regular Season - 34
April 05, 2026 18:30
✓Model correct — prediction Almeria
S. Arribas
(ast. A. Munoz)
31'
N. Melamed
(ast. D. Lopy)
90'
13'
(ast. Marvel)
G. Melero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Almeria a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Leganes 16%). The final result was Almeria 2–1 Leganes. In 2 previous meetings, Almeria have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Leganes.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
6
Corners
1
20
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
ast. Marvel ·
G. Melero⚽
21'
Sebastián Figueredo
29'
Duk
/
L. Asue
⚽S. Arribas
· ast. A. Munoz
31'
43'
Seydouba Cisse
46'
J. Cruz
/
D. Rodriguez
A. Embarba
/ Leo Baptistao
63'
A. Puigmal
/ J. Morcillo
63'
Rodrigo Ely
65'
I. Baba
/ S. Dzodic
67'
67'
A. Millan
/
D. Garcia
77'
M. Leiva
/
S. Figueredo
M. de la Fuente
/ Thalys
78'
S. Arribas
/ N. Melamed
78'
78'
C. Guirao
/
G. Melero
Léo Baptistão
82'
Nicolás Melamed
90'+3
⚽N. Melamed
· ast. D. Lopy
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.32%
Almeria ←
19.09%
X
16.59%
Leganes
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Almeria)
64.32%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
—
—
0.91
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
1 👟
D
18
Federico Bonini
D
5
Rodrigo Ely
D
16
Marcos Luna
D
17
D. Lopy
1 👟
M
D. Lopy
1 👟
M
14
I. Baba
67'
M
I. Baba
67'
M
23
Adri Embarba
63'
M
Adri Embarba
63'
M
11
Sergio Arribas
1 ⚽
78'
M
Sergio Arribas
1 ⚽
78'
M
2
Arnau Puigmal
63'
M
Arnau Puigmal
63'
M
24
Miguel de la Fuente
78'
F
Miguel de la Fuente
78'
F
Bench
6
A. Horta
M
22
Daijiro Chirino
D
12
Léo Baptistão
33'
F
Léo Baptistão
33'
F
4
Nélson Monte
D
10
Nico Melamed
1 ⚽
18'
M
Nico Melamed
1 ⚽
18'
M
19
P. Soko
F
29
S. Džodić
29'
M
S. Džodić
29'
M
9
Thalys
18'
F
1
G
2
Marvel
1 👟
D
Marvel
1 👟
D
5
Ignasi Miquel
D
24
D
17
M
8
S. Cissé
M
S. Cissé
M
16
G. Melero
1 ⚽
78'
M
22
Sebastián Figueredo
77'
M
Sebastián Figueredo
77'
M
9
D. Rodriguez
45'
F
19
Diego García
67'
F
Diego García
67'
F
12
Luís Asué
29'
F
Luís Asué
29'
F
Bench
23
A. Millan
29'
F
26
Carlos Guirao
18'
M
10
Juan Cruz
51'
M
Juan Cruz
51'
M
36
M. Leiva
19'
M
20
O. Plano
F
Best on the pitch
Sergio Arribas
M · Almeria
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 45 pass
Nico Melamed
M · Almeria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Federico Bonini
D · Almeria
7.70
· 79 pass
D. Lopy
M · Almeria
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 48 pass
D · Almeria
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 53 pass
I. Baba
M · Almeria
7.20
1 shots
· 39 pass
Almeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| Federico Bonini | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 79 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ely | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 68% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Luna | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Lopy | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Baba | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Adri Embarba | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergio Arribas | M | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Arnau Puigmal | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel de la Fuente | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Baptistão | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Nico Melamed | M | 18 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Džodić | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Thalys | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Leganes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Marvel | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignasi Miquel | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | 4 | — | — | |
| S. Cissé | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Melero | M | 78 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Figueredo | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rodriguez | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego García | F | 67 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luís Asué | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Millan | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Guirao | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Cruz | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Leiva | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Almeria vs Leganes?
The final score was Almeria 2–1 Leganes.
What did the model predict before Almeria vs Leganes?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Almeria win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an Leganes win.