← Segunda División
Segunda División · Regular Season - 36 April 19, 2026 23:00
Almeria
#3 · 71 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Malaga
#4 · 66 pts
A. Embarba (ast. M. de la Fuente) 50'
A. Embarba (ast. A. Munoz) 63'
Leo Baptistao (ast. J. Morcillo) 90'+1
67' (ast. A. Ochoa) A. Nino
84' (ast. A. Nino) H. Abaida

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Almeria a 40% win probability (draw 21%, Malaga 37%). The final result was Almeria 3–2 Malaga. In 1 previous meetings, Almeria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Malaga.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Horta
8'
24'
R. Rodriguez
36'
J. Montero
⚽A. Embarba · ast. M. de la Fuente
50'
⚽A. Embarba · ast. A. Munoz
63'
64'
A. Nino / R. Rodriguez ↕
64'
A. Ochoa / J. Dorrio ↕
67'
ast. A. Ochoa · A. Nino⚽
↕ A. Horta / Gui Guedes
72'
↕ A. Puigmal / Leo Baptistao
72'
↕ M. de la Fuente / Thalys
78'
82'
E. Galilea / J. Montero ↕
82'
H. Abaida / J. Munoz ↕
84'
ast. A. Nino · H. Abaida⚽
↕ A. Embarba / J. Morcillo
87'
⚽Leo Baptistao · ast. J. Morcillo
90'+1
90'+2
R. Enriquez / C. Dotor ↕
90'+2
C. Puga
Thalys
90'+7
D. Chirino
90'+9
90'+9
R. Enriquez
Pre-match prediction
40.81%
Almeria ←
21.95%
X
37.24%
Malaga
we assigned to the actual result (Almeria) 40.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Almeria
1.91
—
—
Malaga
1.94
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Racing Santander Racing Santander 39 75
2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 39 71
3 Almeria Almeria 39 71
4 Malaga Malaga 39 66
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas 39 66
6 Castellón Castellón 39 65
7 Eibar Eibar 39 64
8 Burgos Burgos 39 63
9 Cordoba Cordoba 39 60
10 FC Andorra FC Andorra 39 58
11 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 39 55
12 Albacete Albacete 39 53
13 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 39 52
14 Granada CF Granada CF 39 48
15 Valladolid Valladolid 39 46
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 39 45
17 Leganes Leganes 39 42
18 Cadiz Cadiz 39 39
19 Huesca Huesca 39 36
20 Mirandes Mirandes 39 36
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza 39 35
22 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 39 33
Lineups
Almeria Almeria 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
3
1 👟 D 7.00
18
Federico Bonini D 6.30
5
Rodrigo Ely D 7.70
22
Daijiro Chirino D 6.30
6
A. Horta 72' M 6.70
29
S. Dzodic M 6.70
23
A. Embarba 2 ⚽ 87' M 8.90
11
S. Arribas M 7.20
2
A. Puigmal 72' M 6.60
24
M. de la Fuente 1 👟 78' F 7.90
Bench
12
Leo Baptistao 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.50
16
Marcos Luna D
4
Nélson Monte D
19
P. Soko F
9
Thalys 12' F 6.20
Malaga Malaga 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
31
Rafita D 6.00
20
J. Montero 82' D 6.30
16
Diego Murillo D 6.90
3
Carlos Puga D 6.60
37
R. Rodriguez 64' M 6.70
23
I. Merino M 6.20
11
J. Munoz 82' M 7.00
12
C. Dotor 89' M 6.20
25
J. Dorrio 64' M 6.20
9
F 6.70
Bench
21
A. Nino 1 ⚽ 1 👟 26' F 7.70
35
A. Ochoa 1 👟 26' M 6.70
17
E. Jauregi F
7
H. Abaida 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.60
24
J. Lobete F
2
Jokin Gabilondo D
6
R. Enriquez 1' M
Best on the pitch
A. Embarba
M · Almeria
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
M. de la Fuente
F · Almeria
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 8 pass
Rodrigo Ely
D · Almeria
7.70
1 shots · 53 pass
A. Nino
F · Malaga
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
H. Abaida
F · Malaga
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Leo Baptistao
F · Almeria
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Almeria Almeria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 22 17% — — —
D 90 7.00 — 1 — 38 35% — — —
Federico Bonini D 90 6.30 — — — 27 26% — — —
Rodrigo Ely D 90 7.70 — — 1 53 44% 4 — —
Daijiro Chirino D 90 6.30 — — — 51 39% — — —
A. Horta M 72 6.70 — — — 31 28% 2 1 —
S. Dzodic M 90 6.70 — — 1 46 38% — — —
A. Embarba M 87 8.90 2 — 3 27 19% 1 — —
S. Arribas M 90 7.20 — — 3 44 36% — — —
A. Puigmal M 72 6.60 — — 2 31 29% 1 — —
M. de la Fuente F 78 7.90 — 1 2 8 6% 1 — —
Leo Baptistao F 18 7.50 1 — 2 7 5% — — —
Thalys F 12 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Malaga Malaga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 46 31% — — —
Rafita D 90 6.00 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
J. Montero D 82 6.30 — — — 63 54% — 1 —
Diego Murillo D 90 6.90 — — 1 67 60% — — —
Carlos Puga D 90 6.60 — — — 35 30% 3 1 —
R. Rodriguez M 64 6.70 — — 1 37 32% 1 1 —
I. Merino M 90 6.20 — — — 49 41% — — —
J. Munoz M 82 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
C. Dotor M 89 6.20 — — 2 55 45% 2 — —
J. Dorrio M 64 6.20 — — 1 7 6% — — —
F 90 6.70 — — 1 13 6% — — —
A. Nino F 26 7.70 1 1 2 6 4% — — —
A. Ochoa M 26 6.70 — 1 — 18 14% 1 — —
H. Abaida F 8 7.60 1 — 1 5 4% — — —
R. Enriquez M 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Almeria vs Malaga?
The final score was Almeria 3–2 Malaga.
What did the model predict before Almeria vs Malaga?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Almeria win, 21% to a draw, and 37% to an Malaga win.