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← Segunda División
Segunda División · Regular Season - 36 April 19, 2026 21:00
Almeria
#3 · 74 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Malaga
#4 · 73 pts
A. Embarba (ast. M. de la Fuente) 50'
A. Embarba (ast. A. Munoz) 63'
Leo Baptistao (ast. J. Morcillo) 90'+1
67' (ast. A. Ochoa) A. Nino
84' (ast. A. Nino) H. Abaida
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Almeria a 40% win probability (draw 21%, Malaga 37%). The final result was Almeria 3–2 Malaga. In 3 previous meetings, Almeria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Malaga.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Horta
8'
24'
R. Rodriguez
36'
J. Montero
⚽A. Embarba · ast. M. de la Fuente
50'
⚽A. Embarba · ast. A. Munoz
63'
64'
A. Nino / R. Rodriguez ↕
64'
A. Ochoa / J. Dorrio ↕
67'
ast. A. Ochoa · A. Nino⚽
↕ A. Horta / Gui Guedes
72'
↕ A. Puigmal / Leo Baptistao
72'
↕ M. de la Fuente / Thalys
78'
82'
E. Galilea / J. Montero ↕
82'
H. Abaida / J. Munoz ↕
84'
ast. A. Nino · H. Abaida⚽
↕ A. Embarba / J. Morcillo
87'
⚽Leo Baptistao · ast. J. Morcillo
90'+1
90'+2
R. Enriquez / C. Dotor ↕
90'+2
C. Puga
Thalys
90'+7
D. Chirino
90'+9
90'+9
R. Enriquez
Pre-match prediction
40.81%
Almeria ←
21.95%
X
37.24%
Malaga
we assigned to the actual result (Almeria) 40.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Almeria
1.91
—
—
Malaga
1.94
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Racing Santander Racing Santander 42 82
2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 42 77
3 Almeria Almeria 42 74
4 Malaga Malaga 42 73
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas 42 73
6 Castellón Castellón 42 72
7 Burgos Burgos 42 72
8 Eibar Eibar 42 67
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba Cordoba 42 61
11 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 42 61
12 Albacete Albacete 42 59
13 FC Andorra FC Andorra 42 58
14 Granada CF Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 42 47
16 Leganes Leganes 42 46
17 Valladolid Valladolid 42 46
18 Cadiz Cadiz 42 43
19 Mirandes Mirandes 42 40
20 Huesca Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 42 37
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza 42 36
Lineups
Almeria Almeria 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.50
3
1 👟 D 7.00
18
Federico Bonini D 6.30
5
Rodrigo Ely D 7.70
22
Daijiro Chirino D 6.30
6
A. Horta 72' M 6.70
29
S. Dzodic M 6.70
23 Adri Embarba Adri Embarba 2 ⚽ 87' M 8.90
11 Sergio Arribas Sergio Arribas M 7.20
2
A. Puigmal 72' M 6.60
24
M. de la Fuente 1 👟 78' F 7.90
Bench
12
Leo Baptistao 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.50
16
Marcos Luna D
4
Nélson Monte D
19
P. Soko F
9
Thalys 12' F 6.20
Malaga Malaga 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.90
31
Rafita D 6.00
20
J. Montero 82' D 6.30
16 Diego Murillo Diego Murillo D 6.90
3
Carlos Puga D 6.60
37
R. Rodriguez 64' M 6.70
23
I. Merino M 6.20
11 Joaquín Muñoz Joaquín Muñoz 82' M 7.00
12
C. Dotor 89' M 6.20
25
J. Dorrio 64' M 6.20
9
F 6.70
Bench
21 Adrián Niño Heredia Adrián Niño Heredia 1 ⚽ 1 👟 26' F 7.70
35
A. Ochoa 1 👟 26' M 6.70
17
E. Jauregi F
7
H. Abaida 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.60
24
J. Lobete F
2
Jokin Gabilondo D
6
R. Enriquez 1' M
Best on the pitch
Adri Embarba
Adri Embarba
M · Almeria
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
M. de la Fuente
F · Almeria
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 8 pass
Rodrigo Ely
D · Almeria
7.70
1 shots · 53 pass
Adrián Niño Heredia
Adrián Niño Heredia
F · Malaga
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
H. Abaida
F · Malaga
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Leo Baptistao
F · Almeria
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Almeria Almeria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 22 17% — — —
D 90 7.00 — 1 — 38 35% — — —
Federico Bonini D 90 6.30 — — — 27 26% — — —
Rodrigo Ely D 90 7.70 — — 1 53 44% 4 — —
Daijiro Chirino D 90 6.30 — — — 51 39% — — —
A. Horta M 72 6.70 — — — 31 28% 2 1 —
S. Dzodic M 90 6.70 — — 1 46 38% — — —
Adri Embarba M 87 8.90 2 — 3 27 19% 1 — —
Sergio Arribas M 90 7.20 — — 3 44 36% — — —
A. Puigmal M 72 6.60 — — 2 31 29% 1 — —
M. de la Fuente F 78 7.90 — 1 2 8 6% 1 — —
Leo Baptistao F 18 7.50 1 — 2 7 5% — — —
Thalys F 12 6.20 — — 1 3 2% — 1 —
Malaga Malaga — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 46 31% — — —
Rafita D 90 6.00 — — — 32 30% 2 — —
J. Montero D 82 6.30 — — — 63 54% — 1 —
Diego Murillo D 90 6.90 — — 1 67 60% — — —
Carlos Puga D 90 6.60 — — — 35 30% 3 1 —
R. Rodriguez M 64 6.70 — — 1 37 32% 1 1 —
I. Merino M 90 6.20 — — — 49 41% — — —
Joaquín Muñoz M 82 7.00 — — 1 28 23% 2 — —
C. Dotor M 89 6.20 — — 2 55 45% 2 — —
J. Dorrio M 64 6.20 — — 1 7 6% — — —
F 90 6.70 — — 1 13 6% — — —
Adrián Niño Heredia F 26 7.70 1 1 2 6 4% — — —
A. Ochoa M 26 6.70 — 1 — 18 14% 1 — —
H. Abaida F 8 7.60 1 — 1 5 4% — — —
R. Enriquez M 1 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Almeria vs Malaga?
The final score was Almeria 3–2 Malaga.
What did the model predict before Almeria vs Malaga?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Almeria win, 21% to a draw, and 37% to an Malaga win.