Segunda División
· Regular Season - 36
April 19, 2026 21:00
A. Embarba
(ast. M. de la Fuente)
50'
A. Embarba
(ast. A. Munoz)
63'
Leo Baptistao
(ast. J. Morcillo)
90'+1
67'
(ast. A. Ochoa)
A. Nino
84'
(ast. A. Nino)
H. Abaida
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Almeria a 40% win probability (draw 21%, Malaga 37%). The final result was Almeria 3–2 Malaga. In 3 previous meetings, Almeria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Malaga.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
3
Corners
5
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Horta
8'
24'
R. Rodriguez
36'
J. Montero
⚽A. Embarba
· ast. M. de la Fuente
50'
⚽A. Embarba
· ast. A. Munoz
63'
64'
A. Nino
/
R. Rodriguez
64'
A. Ochoa
/
J. Dorrio
67'
ast. A. Ochoa ·
A. Nino⚽
A. Horta
/ Gui Guedes
72'
A. Puigmal
/ Leo Baptistao
72'
M. de la Fuente
/ Thalys
78'
82'
E. Galilea
/
J. Montero
82'
H. Abaida
/
J. Munoz
84'
ast. A. Nino ·
H. Abaida⚽
A. Embarba
/ J. Morcillo
87'
⚽Leo Baptistao
· ast. J. Morcillo
90'+1
90'+2
R. Enriquez
/
C. Dotor
90'+2
C. Puga
Thalys
90'+7
D. Chirino
90'+9
90'+9
R. Enriquez
Pre-match prediction
40.81%
Almeria ←
21.95%
X
37.24%
Malaga
we assigned to the actual result (Almeria)
40.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
—
—
1.94
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
1 👟
D
18
Federico Bonini
D
5
Rodrigo Ely
D
22
Daijiro Chirino
D
6
A. Horta
72'
M
29
S. Dzodic
M
23
Adri Embarba
2 ⚽
87'
M
Adri Embarba
2 ⚽
87'
M
11
Sergio Arribas
M
Sergio Arribas
M
2
A. Puigmal
72'
M
24
M. de la Fuente
1 👟
78'
F
Bench
12
Leo Baptistao
1 ⚽
18'
F
16
Marcos Luna
D
4
Nélson Monte
D
19
P. Soko
F
9
Thalys
12'
F
1
G
31
Rafita
D
20
J. Montero
82'
D
16
Diego Murillo
D
Diego Murillo
D
3
Carlos Puga
D
37
R. Rodriguez
64'
M
23
I. Merino
M
11
Joaquín Muñoz
82'
M
Joaquín Muñoz
82'
M
12
C. Dotor
89'
M
25
J. Dorrio
64'
M
9
F
Bench
21
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
1 👟
26'
F
Adrián Niño Heredia
1 ⚽
1 👟
26'
F
35
A. Ochoa
1 👟
26'
M
17
E. Jauregi
F
7
H. Abaida
1 ⚽
8'
F
24
J. Lobete
F
2
Jokin Gabilondo
D
6
R. Enriquez
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Adri Embarba
M · Almeria
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
M. de la Fuente
F · Almeria
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 8 pass
Rodrigo Ely
D · Almeria
7.70
1 shots
· 53 pass
Adrián Niño Heredia
F · Malaga
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 6 pass
H. Abaida
F · Malaga
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Leo Baptistao
F · Almeria
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Almeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Federico Bonini | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ely | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| Daijiro Chirino | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| A. Horta | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Dzodic | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Adri Embarba | M | 87 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Arribas | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| A. Puigmal | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. de la Fuente | F | 78 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Leo Baptistao | F | 18 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Thalys | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Malaga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| Rafita | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Montero | D | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Murillo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Puga | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Rodriguez | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Merino | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Dotor | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Dorrio | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Adrián Niño Heredia | F | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Ochoa | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abaida | F | 8 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Enriquez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Almeria vs Malaga?
The final score was Almeria 3–2 Malaga.
What did the model predict before Almeria vs Malaga?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Almeria win, 21% to a draw, and 37% to an Malaga win.