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← Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar

Primera Nacional August 08, 2026 20:00
Almirante Brown
#4 · 35 pts
vs
Ciudad de Bolívar
#6 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.11%
Win
Almirante Brown
24.82%
Draw
17.07%
Win
Ciudad de Bolívar
1.57
Expected xG
0.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.4%)
1X2 Result
1 58%
X 25%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 42%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 32%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almirante Brown a 58% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Ciudad de Bolívar. Expected goals are 1.6 for Almirante Brown and 0.7 for Ciudad de Bolívar (total 2.2), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Almirante Brown have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ciudad de Bolívar.

Season Stats

Almirante Brown
7W 6D 2L
Ciudad de Bolívar
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.1
0.3
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
27%
O 1.5
53%
7%
O 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
47%
67%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Almirante Brown
6W 3D 1L · at home
Ciudad de Bolívar
5W 4D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.9
0.4
Conceded
0.5
60%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
90%
40%
O 1.5
40%
10%
O 2.5
20%
10%
O 3.5
10%
20%
BTTS
30%
70%
Clean Sht
70%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Almirante Brown Ciudad de Bolívar →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 7.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 16.8% 11.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% —
2 13.2% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 6.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
W Racing Cordoba 2–0
D Atletico Mitre 0–0
D CA Estudiantes 0–0
D All Boys 1–1
W Los Andes 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 57%
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
L Atletico Mitre 0–2
W CA Estudiantes 1–2
D All Boys 0–0
L Los Andes 3–1
W Godoy Cruz 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 51%

Playing profile

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
Attack
25
Defence
91
Form
63
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
Attack
25
Defence
65
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Almirante Brown
1
Draw
0
Ciudad de Bolívar
21 Mar 2026 Primera Nacional 0–0

Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 23 43
2 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 22 38
3 Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 23 36
4 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 23 35
5 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 22 34
6 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 23 34
7 Los Andes Los Andes 22 33
8 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 22 33
9 CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 23 32
10 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 23 27
11 San Miguel San Miguel 22 26
12 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 22 25
13 Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 23 25
14 San Telmo San Telmo 22 23
15 All Boys All Boys 23 23
16 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 22 22
17 Central Norte Central Norte 22 22
18 Acassuso Acassuso 22 21

What's at stake · Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

Almirante Brown Ciudad de Bolívar
Current #4 #6
→ Almirante Brown #3 #6
→ Draw #4 #5
→ Ciudad de Bolívar #5 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
The model gives Almirante Brown a 58% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 17% for an Ciudad de Bolívar win.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Expected goals: Almirante Brown 1.6, Ciudad de Bolívar 0.7 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.4%.