← Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown - San Telmo

Primera Nacional May 16, 2026 20:30
Almirante Brown
#8 · 18 pts
vs
San Telmo
#13 · 14 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.8%
Win
Almirante Brown
44.77%
Draw
27.42%
Win
San Telmo
0.51
Expected xG
0.56

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almirante Brown a 27% win probability, against 44% for a draw and 27% for San Telmo. Expected goals are 0.5 for Almirante Brown and 0.6 for San Telmo (total 1.1), with a 57% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 34.3% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Almirante Brown San Telmo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 34.3% 19.2% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% —
1 17.5% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 4.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — — —
4 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
D Acassuso 0–0
W Chaco For Ever 1–0
W Ferro Carril Oeste 0–1
W Central Norte 1–0
L Deportivo Madryn 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
San Telmo San Telmo
D Atletico Mitre 0–0
D CA Estudiantes 1–1
W All Boys 1–0
D Los Andes 0–0
W Godoy Cruz 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
Attack
13
Defence
85
Form
51
San Telmo San Telmo
Attack
21
Defence
83
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 12 22
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 12 23
2 Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 12 22
2 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 12 21
3 Atlanta Atlanta 12 20
3 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 12 19
4 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 12 19
4 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 12 20
5 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 12 19
5 Midland Midland 12 19
6 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 12 19
6 Los Andes Los Andes 12 18
7 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 12 17
7 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 12 18
8 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 12 18
8 Temperley Temperley 12 16
9 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 12 15
9 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 12 15
10 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 12 15
10 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 12 15
11 San Miguel San Miguel 12 15
11 Agropecuario Agropecuario 12 15
12 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 12 14
12 CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 12 15
13 Patronato Patronato 12 14
13 San Telmo San Telmo 12 14
14 Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 12 13
14 Quilmes Quilmes 12 13
15 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 12 13
15 All Boys All Boys 12 11
16 Acassuso Acassuso 12 11
16 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 12 12
17 Central Norte Central Norte 12 10
17 Colegiales Colegiales 12 12
18 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 12 7
18 Almagro Almagro 12 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Almirante Brown vs San Telmo?
The model gives Almirante Brown a 27% win probability, 44% for a draw, and 27% for an San Telmo win.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs San Telmo?
Expected goals: Almirante Brown 0.5, San Telmo 0.6 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 57%.
What is the most likely score in Almirante Brown vs San Telmo?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 34.3%.