Alpendorada - Mação
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.59%
Win
Alpendorada
32.15%
Draw
34.26%
Win
Mação
4.05
4.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.3%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mação a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Alpendorada. Expected goals are 4.0 for Alpendorada and 4.5 for Mação (total 8.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.3% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
5.0
1.8
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Alpendorada
Mação →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
Playing profile
Alpendorada
Attack
50
Defence
51
Form
54
Mação
Attack
100
Defence
100
Form
87
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alpendorada vs Mação?
The model gives Alpendorada a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Mação win.
How many goals are expected in Alpendorada vs Mação?
Expected goals: Alpendorada 4.0, Mação 4.5 (total 8.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Alpendorada vs Mação?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.3%.