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Altrincham - Notts County

FA Cup November 07, 2026 18:30
Altrincham
vs
Notts County
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.06%
Win
Altrincham
25.77%
Draw
14.17%
Win
Notts County
1.49
Expected xG
0.4
Most likely outcome
Altrincham
60.06%
Probability
87.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.49%)
1X2 Result
1 60%
X 26%
2 14%
Double Chance
1X 86%
X2 40%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Altrincham a 60% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Notts County. Expected goals are 1.5 for Altrincham and 0.4 for Notts County (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.49% probability.

Season Stats

Altrincham
2W 2D 1L
Notts County
0W 1D 0L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
2.0
1.2
Conceded
2.0
9.5
Shots OT
4.0
7.5
Corners
6.0
70%
Poss.
60%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Altrincham
0W 2D 0L · at home
Notts County
0W 1D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Altrincham Notts County →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% — —
1 22.5% 9.0% 1.8% 0.2% — —
2 16.8% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% — —
3 8.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% — —
4 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% — — —
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Altrincham Altrincham
W United of Manchester 2–6
D United of Manchester 0–0
L Slough Town 2–1
W Harborough Town 0–3
D Harborough Town 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Notts County Notts County
D Brackley Town 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Altrincham Altrincham
Attack
50
Defence
77
Form
66
Notts County Notts County
Attack
23
Defence
63
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?
The model gives Altrincham a 60% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 14% for an Notts County win.
How many goals are expected in Altrincham vs Notts County?
Expected goals: Altrincham 1.5, Notts County 0.4 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Altrincham vs Notts County?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.49%.