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Aluminij - Celje

1. SNL July 25, 2026 18:00
Aluminij
#9 · 1 pts
vs
Celje
#8 · 2 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.16%
Win
Aluminij
30.54%
Draw
40.3%
Win
Celje
0.3
Expected xG
1.25

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.87%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 31%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 71%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Aluminij. Expected goals are 0.3 for Aluminij and 1.3 for Celje (total 1.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.87% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Aluminij have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Celje.

Season Stats

Aluminij
3W 3D 9L
Celje
9W 1D 5L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
2.3
1.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
67%
47%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Aluminij
2W 4D 4L · at home
Celje
5W 1D 4L · away
0.9
gls/g
1.8
1.2
Conceded
1.2
20%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
60%
10%
O 3.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Aluminij Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.1% 26.5% 16.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5%
1 6.3% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Aluminij Aluminij
L Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0
D Maribor 0–0
L Maribor 3–0
D Primorje 0–0
L Koper 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Celje Celje
D Maribor 1–1
D Mura 2–2
W Primorje 0–4
L Koper 1–2
L Bravo 2–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Aluminij Aluminij
Attack
7
Defence
36
Form
17
Celje Celje
Attack
35
Defence
47
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Aluminij
0
Draw
3
Celje
26 Apr 2026 1. SNL 0–5
5 Mar 2026 1. SNL 2–1
1 Nov 2025 1. SNL 1–2
17 Aug 2025 1. SNL 2–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nafta Nafta 3 6
2 Bravo Bravo 3 6
3 Maribor Maribor 3 5
4 Koper Koper 3 5
5 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 3 4
6 Mura Mura 3 4
7 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3 3
8 Celje Celje 2 2
9 Aluminij Aluminij 2 1
10 Radomlje Radomlje 3 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aluminij vs Celje?
The model gives Aluminij a 29% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 40% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in Aluminij vs Celje?
Expected goals: Aluminij 0.3, Celje 1.3 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Aluminij vs Celje?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.87%.