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Alverca - Academica

Friendlies Clubs July 29, 2026 14:00
Alverca
vs
Academica
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.24%
Win
Alverca
31.2%
Draw
29.56%
Win
Academica
1.47
Expected xG
0.55

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.0%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Alverca a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Academica. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alverca and 0.6 for Academica (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.0% probability.

Season Stats

Alverca
3W 0D 1L
Academica
2W 0D 3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
80%
25%
O 2.5
60%
25%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Alverca
2W 0D 0L · at home
Academica
2W 0D 3L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
100%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Alverca Academica →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 7.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 19.5% 10.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 14.3% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 7.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% — —
4 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Alverca Alverca
L Mafra 1–0
W Estoril 2–0
W CF Os Belenenses 2–1
W União de Leiria 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Academica Academica
W FC Porto B 1–3
L Tondela 2–1
L Guimaraes 2–0
L Torreense 5–0
W Maritimo 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Alverca Alverca
Attack
31
Defence
87
Form
70
Academica Academica
Attack
26
Defence
55
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Alverca vs Academica?
The model gives Alverca a 39% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 29% for an Academica win.
How many goals are expected in Alverca vs Academica?
Expected goals: Alverca 1.5, Academica 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Alverca vs Academica?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.0%.