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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:30
Alverca
#11 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Estoril
#9 · 39 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Alverca, result Pareggio
Figueiredo (ast. N. Touaizi) 12'
47' (ast. G. Costa) A. Lacximicant

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alverca a 50% win probability (draw 28%, Estoril 20%). The final result was Alverca 1–1 Estoril. In 1 previous meetings, Alverca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estoril.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Figueiredo · ast. N. Touaizi
12'
45'+3
A. Tsoungui
Rhaldney
45'+3
46'
G. Costa / Ferro ↕
46'
A. Lacximicant / P. Amaral ↕
47'
ast. G. Costa · A. Lacximicant⚽
B. Meupiyou
56'
↕ D. Spencer / I. Julian
66'
72'
K. Boma / Xeka ↕
↕ Rhaldney / V. Moreira
74'
↕ Sandro Lima / Felipe Lima
74'
80'
P. Carvalho / R. Sanchez ↕
80'
Peixinho / R. Guitane ↕
↕ B. Meupiyou / S. Baseya
88'
↕ D. Gui / C. Nuozzi
88'
90'+4
P. Carvalho
Naves
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
50.55%
Alverca
28.72%
X ←
20.73%
Estoril
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Alverca
1.24
1.27
+0.03
Estoril
0.51
0.90
+0.39
Alverca dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.90). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Alverca Alverca 3-4-2-1
31 Matheus Mendes Matheus Mendes G 6.20
33 Bastien Meupiyou Bastien Meupiyou 88' D 6.30
5 Sergi Gómez Sergi Gómez D 6.30
4 Kaiky Naves Kaiky Naves D 6.50
82 Diogo Spencer Diogo Spencer 66' M 6.60
6 Davy Gui Davy Gui 88' M 6.90
18 Lincoln Lincoln M 7.60
2 Nabil Touaizi Nabil Touaizi 1 👟 M 6.90
20 Figueiredo Figueiredo 1 ⚽ F 8.20
26 Rhaldney Rhaldney 74' F 6.20
91 Sandro Lima Sandro Lima 74' F 6.60
Bench
11 Cédric Nuozzi Cédric Nuozzi 8' F 6.20
77 Felipe Lima Felipe Lima 16' F 6.30
37 Kauan Gomes Kauan Gomes D
1 Mateus Oliveira Mateus Oliveira G
25 Stéphane Diarra Stéphane Diarra F
14 Steven Baseya Steven Baseya 8' D 6.60
17 Vasco Moreira Vasco Moreira 16' M 6.70
35 Zakaria Kassary Zakaria Kassary M
Estoril Estoril 3-4-2-1
1 Joel Robles Joel Robles G 6.60
5 Antef Tsoungui Antef Tsoungui D 7.20
4 Ferro Ferro 45' D 6.90
25 Felix Bacher Felix Bacher D 6.90
24 Pedro Amaral Pedro Amaral 45' M 6.20
10 J. Holsgrove J. Holsgrove M 6.60
8 Xeka Xeka 72' M 6.30
2 Ricard Sánchez Ricard Sánchez 80' M 7.00
12 João Carvalho João Carvalho F 6.60
99 R. Guitane R. Guitane 80' F 6.90
14 Y. Begraoui Y. Begraoui F 6.20
Bench
9 Alejandro Marqués Alejandro Marqués F
19 André Lacximicant André Lacximicant 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.60
31 Diogo Dias Diogo Dias G
20 Gonçalo Costa Gonçalo Costa 1 👟 45' D 6.90
44 Kévin Boma Kévin Boma 18' D 7.20
7 Nodar Lominadze Nodar Lominadze M
22 Pedro Carvalho Pedro Carvalho 10' D 6.60
70 Peixinho Peixinho 10' F 6.30
21 Pizzi Pizzi M
Best on the pitch
Figueiredo
Figueiredo
F · Alverca
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
André Lacximicant
André Lacximicant
F · Estoril
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Lincoln
Lincoln
M · Alverca
7.60
· 54 pass
Kévin Boma
Kévin Boma
D · Estoril
7.20
· 9 pass
Antef Tsoungui
Antef Tsoungui
D · Estoril
7.20
1 shots · 51 pass
Ricard Sánchez
Ricard Sánchez
M · Estoril
7.00
1 shots · 31 pass
Alverca Alverca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Matheus Mendes G 90 6.20 — — — 21 9% — — —
Bastien Meupiyou D 88 6.30 — — — 37 30% 1 1 —
Sergi Gómez D 90 6.30 — — — 11 10% — — —
Kaiky Naves D 90 6.50 — — 1 57 47% — 1 —
Diogo Spencer M 66 6.60 — — — 22 17% 3 — —
Davy Gui M 88 6.90 — — — 31 26% 3 — —
Lincoln M 90 7.60 — — — 54 44% 2 — —
Nabil Touaizi M 90 6.90 — 1 1 34 26% 1 — —
Figueiredo F 90 8.20 1 — 1 34 28% 4 — —
Rhaldney F 74 6.20 — — — 22 22% — 1 —
Sandro Lima F 74 6.60 — — 1 19 17% 1 — —
Cédric Nuozzi F 8 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
Felipe Lima F 16 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Steven Baseya D 8 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Vasco Moreira M 16 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Estoril Estoril — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Robles G 90 6.60 — — — 20 15% — — —
Antef Tsoungui D 90 7.20 — — 1 51 46% 3 1 —
Ferro D 45 6.90 — — — 27 26% 2 — —
Felix Bacher D 90 6.90 — — — 70 67% 1 — —
Pedro Amaral M 45 6.20 — — — 13 10% — — —
J. Holsgrove M 90 6.60 — — 1 92 78% 1 — —
Xeka M 72 6.30 — — — 51 46% — — —
Ricard Sánchez M 80 7.00 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
João Carvalho F 90 6.60 — — 1 37 27% 2 — —
R. Guitane F 80 6.90 — — 2 35 30% 1 — —
Y. Begraoui F 90 6.20 — — 1 23 20% — — —
André Lacximicant F 45 7.60 1 — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Gonçalo Costa D 45 6.90 — 1 1 14 10% — — —
Kévin Boma D 18 7.20 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Pedro Carvalho D 10 6.60 — — 1 7 7% — 1 —
Peixinho F 10 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alverca vs Estoril?
The final score was Alverca 1–1 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Alverca vs Estoril?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Alverca win, 28% to a draw, and 20% to an Estoril win.