Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 04, 2026 00:45
✓Model correct — prediction America de Cali
A. Ramos
(ast. C. Sierra)
36'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 63% win probability (draw 23%, Deportivo Pereira 12%). The final result was America de Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.14
Actual xG
0.44
0
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Ramos
· ast. C. Sierra
36'
46'
S. Alzate
/
M. Diaz
B. Correa
50'
N. Hernandez
/ D. Mina
55'
C. Tovar
56'
C. Amu
/ J. Lucumi
71'
D. Machis
/ J. A. Camacho Anchico
71'
71'
F. Delgado
/
M. Aguirre
A. Ramos
/ K. Angulo
80'
J. Romero
/ D. Borrero
80'
86'
L. Moreno
/
N. Rengifo
86'
M. Palacios
/
S. Acosta
J. Palacios
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
63.64%
America ←
23.61%
X
12.74%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
63.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.14
-0.39
0.48
0.44
-0.03
America de Cali dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
22
Nicolás Hernández
55'
D
Nicolás Hernández
55'
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
29
C. Amu
70'
M
19
Tilman Palacios
M
Tilman Palacios
M
23
1 👟
M
25
Joel Romero
80'
M
Joel Romero
80'
M
11
Darwin Machís
71'
M
Darwin Machís
71'
M
20
Adrián Ramos
1 ⚽
80'
F
Adrián Ramos
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
17
Jan Lucumí
20'
F
Jan Lucumí
20'
F
9
J. Valencia
F
J. Valencia
F
35
Kevin Angulo
10'
F
Kevin Angulo
10'
F
33
G
30
D
29
Richard Rentería
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
5
Jorge Bermúdez
M
3
Nicolas Rengifo
86'
M
19
M. Aguirre
71'
M
10
S. Acosta
86'
M
20
Jordy Monroy
M
31
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
45'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
Best on the pitch
M · America
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Tilman Palacios
M · America
7.60
3 shots
· 19 pass
Joel Romero
M · America
7.50
2 shots
· 30 pass
Adrián Ramos
F · America
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Nicolás Hernández
D · America
7.20
· 37 pass
Andrés Mosquera
D · America
7.20
· 55 pass
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soto | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Hernández | D | 55 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Amu | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| Joel Romero | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Machís | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jan Lucumí | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Angulo | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Richard Rentería | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 81 | 74% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Rengifo | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Monroy | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was America de Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 63% probability to a America de Cali win, 23% to a draw, and 12% to an Deportivo Pereira win.