Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 04, 2026 00:45
✓Model correct — prediction America de Cali
A. Ramos
(ast. C. Sierra)
36'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 63% win probability (draw 23%, Deportivo Pereira 12%). The final result was America de Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.14
Actual xG
0.44
0
Saves
5
43%
Possession
57%
7
Corners
1
14
Tackles
5
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Ramos
· ast. C. Sierra
36'
46'
S. Alzate
/
M. Diaz
B. Correa
50'
N. Hernandez
/ D. Mina
55'
C. Tovar
56'
C. Amu
/ J. Lucumi
71'
D. Machis
/ J. A. Camacho Anchico
71'
71'
F. Delgado
/
M. Aguirre
A. Ramos
/ K. Angulo
80'
J. Romero
/ D. Borrero
80'
86'
L. Moreno
/
N. Rengifo
86'
M. Palacios
/
S. Acosta
J. Palacios
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
63.64%
America ←
23.61%
X
12.74%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (America de Cali)
63.64%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
1.14
-0.39
0.48
0.44
-0.03
America de Cali dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
24
C. Tovar
D
C. Tovar
D
22
N. Hernández
55'
D
N. Hernández
55'
D
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
29
Camilo Amu
70'
M
Camilo Amu
70'
M
19
Tilman Palacios
M
Tilman Palacios
M
23
1 👟
M
25
Joel Romero
80'
M
11
D. Machís
71'
M
20
Adrián Ramos
1 ⚽
80'
F
Adrián Ramos
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
17
J. Lucumí
20'
F
J. Lucumí
20'
F
9
J. Valencia
F
J. Valencia
F
35
Kevin Angulo
10'
F
Kevin Angulo
10'
F
33
G
30
D
29
R. Rentería
D
R. Rentería
D
2
S. Urrea
D
S. Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
5
J. Bermúdez
M
J. Bermúdez
M
3
N. Rengifo
86'
M
N. Rengifo
86'
M
19
M. Aguirre
71'
M
M. Aguirre
71'
M
10
S. Acosta
86'
M
S. Acosta
86'
M
20
J. Monroy
M
J. Monroy
M
31
M. Diaz
45'
F
M. Diaz
45'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
Best on the pitch
M · America
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Tilman Palacios
M · America
7.60
3 shots
· 19 pass
Joel Romero
M · America
7.50
2 shots
· 30 pass
Adrián Ramos
F · America
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
N. Hernández
D · America
7.20
· 37 pass
A. Mosquera
D · America
7.20
· 55 pass
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Soto | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Tovar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Hernández | D | 55 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Camilo Amu | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| Joel Romero | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Machís | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 80 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Lucumí | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Angulo | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| R. Rentería | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 57% | — | — | — |
| S. Urrea | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 81 | 74% | — | — | — |
| J. Bermúdez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Rengifo | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Monroy | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| M. Diaz | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was America de Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 63% probability to a America de Cali win, 23% to a draw, and 12% to an Deportivo Pereira win.