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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 14 October 12, 2026 03:15 Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
America de Cali
#2 · 34 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Independiente Medellin
#8 · 23 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction America de Cali, result Independiente Medellin wins
Luis Quiñones (ast. Yeison Guzmán) 7'
24' (ast. Daniel Cataño) Luis Escorcia
84' (ast. Frank Fabra) Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Independiente Medellin 20%). The final result was America de Cali 1–2 Independiente Medellin. In 1 previous meetings, America de Cali have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente Medellin.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
3
Shots on target
4
0.64
Actual xG
0.96
2
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
7
9
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Luis Quiñones · ast. Yeison Guzmán
7'
11'
24'
ast. Daniel Cataño · Luis Escorcia⚽
↕ Mateo Castillo / Yani Quintero
37'
Dany Rosero
42'
Dany Rosero
45'+2
↕ Jhon Palacios / Marlon Torres
45'
52'
Rafael Carrascal
52'
64'
Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz
66'
John Montano / Yony González ↕
70'
Keiner David Klinger Vasquez / Daniel Cataño ↕
70'
Baldomero Perlaza / Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz ↕
↕ Tomás Ángel / Jan Lucumi
72'
80'
John Montano
↕ Yeison Guzmán / Daniel Valencia
81'
84'
ast. Frank Fabra · Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez⚽
85'
Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargo / Luis Escorcia ↕
85'
Enzo Miguel·Larrosa Martinez / Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez ↕
87'
Baldomero Perlaza
Pre-match prediction
60.91%
America
18.47%
X
20.62%
Independiente ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Medellin) 20.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
America
2.53
0.64
-1.89
Independiente
1.40
0.96
-0.44
Independiente Medellin dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 16 35
2 America de Cali America de Cali 16 34
3 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 16 30
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 16 28
5 Millonarios Millonarios 16 26
6 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 15 25
7 Once Caldas Once Caldas 17 24
8 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 16 23
9 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 16 22
10 Cucuta Cucuta 16 21
11 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 16 20
12 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 17 20
13 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 16 18
14 Llaneros Llaneros 16 17
15 Junior Junior 16 16
16 Chico Chico 16 16
17 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 15 14
18 Jaguares Jaguares 15 13
19 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 16 12
20 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 15 12
Lineups
America de Cali America de Cali 4-2-3-1
1 Jean Fernandes Jean Fernandes G 5.81
14 Marcos Mina Marcos Mina D 6.23
3 Dany Rosero Dany Rosero 45' D 5.38
24 Cristian Tovar Cristian Tovar D 6.57
13 Mateo Castillo Márquez Mateo Castillo Márquez 37' D 6.08
5 Josen Escobar Josen Escobar M 6.23
15 Rafael Carrascal Rafael Carrascal M 6.26
88 Tilman Palacios Tilman Palacios 45' M 6.07
10 Yeison Guzmán Yeison Guzmán 1 👟 81' M 7.01
23 Luis Quiñones Luis Quiñones 1 ⚽ M 8.20
21 Tomás Ángel Tomás Ángel 72' F 6.48
Bench
29 Camilo Amu Camilo Amu M 0.00
9 Daniel Valencia Daniel Valencia 9' F 6.54
77 Edson Tortolero Edson Tortolero M 0.00
17 Jan Lucumí Jan Lucumí 18' F 6.36
12 Juan Montoya Juan Montoya G 0.00
2 Marlon Torres Marlon Torres 45' D 6.42
30 Omar Bertel Omar Bertel D 0.00
18 Yani Quintero Yani Quintero 53' M 5.91
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 4-4-2
25 Eder Chaux Eder Chaux G 6.92
18 Frank Fabra Frank Fabra 1 👟 D 7.96
5 Joaquin Varela Joaquin Varela D 6.67
39 Luis Escorcia Luis Escorcia 1 ⚽ 85' D 7.24
26 Esneyder Mena Esneyder Mena D 6.31
11 Yony González Yony González 66' M 6.43
6 Didier Moreno Didier Moreno M 6.86
16 Halam Loboa Halam Loboa 70' M 6.06
30 H. Palacios H. Palacios M 6.63
32 Carlos Lucumi Carlos Lucumi 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.99
10 Daniel Cataño Daniel Cataño 1 👟 70' F 6.84
Bench
19 Alfonso Simarra Alfonso Simarra D 0.00
14 Baldomero Perlaza Baldomero Perlaza 20' M 6.16
31 Diego Moreno Diego Moreno M 0.00
90 E. Larrosa E. Larrosa 5' F 6.50
20 John Edwin Montaño John Edwin Montaño 24' F 6.05
34 Keiner Klinger Keiner Klinger 20' M 6.45
4 Kevin Mantilla Kevin Mantilla 5' D 6.31
24 Nivaldo Erazo Nivaldo Erazo M 0.00
1 Salvador Ichazo Salvador Ichazo G 0.00
Best on the pitch
Luis Quiñones
Luis Quiñones
M · America
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 42 pass
Carlos Lucumi
Carlos Lucumi
F · Independiente
7.99
1 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
Frank Fabra
Frank Fabra
D · Independiente
7.96
1 👟
1 shots · 44 pass
Luis Escorcia
Luis Escorcia
D · Independiente
7.24
1 ⚽
2 shots · 50 pass
Yeison Guzmán
Yeison Guzmán
M · America
7.01
1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
Eder Chaux
Eder Chaux
G · Independiente
6.92
· 20 pass
America de Cali America de Cali — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jean Fernandes G 90 5.81 — — 0 29 20% 0 — —
Marcos Mina D 90 6.23 — — 1 34 26% 1 — —
Dany Rosero D 45 5.38 — — 0 20 18% 0 — 1
Cristian Tovar D 90 6.57 — — 0 42 40% 1 — —
Mateo Castillo Márquez D 37 6.08 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
Josen Escobar M 90 6.23 — — 1 50 43% 0 — —
Rafael Carrascal M 90 6.26 — — 1 65 53% 3 1 —
Tilman Palacios M 45 6.07 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
Yeison Guzmán M 81 7.01 — 1 1 18 17% 0 — —
Luis Quiñones M 90 8.20 1 — 3 42 38% 2 — —
Tomás Ángel F 72 6.48 — — 3 14 13% 0 — —
Daniel Valencia F 9 6.54 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Jan Lucumí F 18 6.36 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Marlon Torres D 45 6.42 — — 0 25 21% 0 — —
Yani Quintero M 53 5.91 — — 0 33 24% 1 — —
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Eder Chaux G 90 6.92 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
Frank Fabra D 90 7.96 — 1 1 44 39% 1 — —
Joaquin Varela D 90 6.67 — — 1 44 39% 0 — —
Luis Escorcia D 85 7.24 1 — 2 50 42% 1 — —
Esneyder Mena D 90 6.31 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
Yony González M 66 6.43 — — 2 15 13% 1 — —
Didier Moreno M 90 6.86 — — 1 39 34% 2 — —
Halam Loboa M 70 6.06 — — 0 33 32% 1 1 —
H. Palacios M 90 6.63 — — 1 26 23% 2 — —
Carlos Lucumi F 85 7.99 1 — 3 13 10% 0 — —
Daniel Cataño F 70 6.84 — 1 1 35 30% 0 — —
Baldomero Perlaza M 20 6.16 — — 0 18 14% 0 1 —
E. Larrosa F 5 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
John Edwin Montaño F 24 6.05 — — 0 11 11% 0 1 —
Keiner Klinger M 20 6.45 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
Kevin Mantilla D 5 6.31 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?
The final score was America de Cali 1–2 Independiente Medellin.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?
The model assigned 60% probability to a America de Cali win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an Independiente Medellin win.