Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 04:00
✗Model wrong — prediction America de Cali, result Draw
T. Angel
(ast. A. Ramos)
54'
11'
(ast. M. Garay)
D. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 55% win probability (draw 27%, Tigre 17%). The final result was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, America de Cali have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.56
0
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
ast. M. Garay ·
D. Romero⚽
R. Carrascal
28'
R. Carrascal
/ J. Cavadia
46'
49'
I. Russo
51'
V. Moreno
⚽T. Angel
· ast. A. Ramos
54'
65'
S. Lopez
/
V. Moreno
D. Mina
72'
J. Palacios
/ D. Valencia
73'
J. Escobar
77'
J. Romero
/ L. M. Mina
79'
J. Lucumi
80'
83'
A. Oviedo
/
I. Russo
85'
B. Leyes
J. Cavadia
87'
90'+2
J. Laso
/
R. Arias
90'
R. Arias
Pre-match prediction
55.84%
America
27.12%
X ←
17.05%
Tigre
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.86
-0.51
0.55
0.56
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jean
G
Jean
G
14
M. Mina
D
M. Mina
D
3
Dany Rosero
D
Dany Rosero
D
24
C. Tovar
D
C. Tovar
D
25
Joel Romero
79'
D
5
J. Escobar
M
J. Escobar
M
19
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
15
R. Carrascal
45'
M
R. Carrascal
45'
M
17
J. Lucumí
M
J. Lucumí
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
20
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Bench
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
29
Camilo Amu
M
Camilo Amu
M
23
Carlos Sierra
M
Carlos Sierra
M
11
D. Machís
F
6
José Cavadia
50'
M
José Cavadia
50'
M
12
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
9
J. Valencia
22'
F
J. Valencia
22'
F
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
Luis Mina
16'
D
Luis Mina
16'
D
30
O. Bertel
D
O. Bertel
D
18
Y. Garcés
F
Y. Garcés
F
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
A. Barrionuevo
D
4
V. Moreno
65'
D
V. Moreno
65'
D
10
J. Saralegui
M
J. Saralegui
M
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
30
J. Elías
M
J. Elías
M
8
M. Garay
1 👟
M
M. Garay
1 👟
M
29
I. Russo
83'
F
I. Russo
83'
F
9
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
12'
F
Alfio Oviedo
12'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
23
G. Piñeiro
M
G. Piñeiro
M
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
55
J. Mosqueira
M
J. Mosqueira
M
2
Joaquín Laso
3'
D
Joaquín Laso
3'
D
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
18
Manuel Fernandez
F
Manuel Fernandez
F
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
28
P. Martínez
M
P. Martínez
M
22
S. López
30'
F
S. López
30'
F
26
Tomás Sultani
G
Tomás Sultani
G
Best on the pitch
Dany Rosero
D · America
7.50
· 63 pass
T. Ángel
F · America
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
D. Romero
F · Tigre
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
J. Saralegui
M · Tigre
6.90
· 18 pass
C. Tovar
D · America
6.90
1 shots
· 52 pass
Ramón Arias
D · Tigre
6.90
· 15 pass
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Mina | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dany Rosero | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Tovar | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Carrascal | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lucumí | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramón Arias | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Elías | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Romero | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alfio Oviedo | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. López | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Tigre?
The final score was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Tigre?
The model assigned 55% probability to a America de Cali win, 27% to a draw, and 17% to an Tigre win.