Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 04:00
✗Model wrong — prediction America de Cali, result Draw
T. Angel
(ast. A. Ramos)
54'
11'
(ast. M. Garay)
D. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 55% win probability (draw 27%, Tigre 17%). The final result was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, America de Cali have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.56
0
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
ast. M. Garay ·
D. Romero⚽
R. Carrascal
28'
R. Carrascal
/ J. Cavadia
46'
49'
I. Russo
51'
V. Moreno
⚽T. Angel
· ast. A. Ramos
54'
65'
S. Lopez
/
V. Moreno
D. Mina
72'
J. Palacios
/ D. Valencia
73'
J. Escobar
77'
J. Romero
/ L. M. Mina
79'
J. Lucumi
80'
83'
A. Oviedo
/
I. Russo
85'
B. Leyes
J. Cavadia
87'
90'+2
J. Laso
/
R. Arias
90'
R. Arias
Pre-match prediction
55.84%
America
27.12%
X ←
17.05%
Tigre
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.86
-0.51
0.55
0.56
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
14
Marcos Mina
D
Marcos Mina
D
3
Dany Rosero
D
Dany Rosero
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
25
Joel Romero
79'
D
5
J. Escobar
M
J. Escobar
M
19
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
15
Rafael Carrascal
45'
M
Rafael Carrascal
45'
M
17
Jan Lucumí
M
Jan Lucumí
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
20
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Bench
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
29
Camilo Amu
M
Camilo Amu
M
23
Carlos Sierra
M
Carlos Sierra
M
9
Daniel Valencia
22'
F
Daniel Valencia
22'
F
11
D. Machís
F
D. Machís
F
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
6
José Cavadia
50'
M
José Cavadia
50'
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
L. Mina
16'
D
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
18
Y. Garcés
F
Y. Garcés
F
12
F. Zenobio
G
F. Zenobio
G
24
F. Álvarez
D
F. Álvarez
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
20
A. Barrionuevo
D
A. Barrionuevo
D
4
V. Moreno
65'
D
V. Moreno
65'
D
10
J. Saralegui
M
J. Saralegui
M
5
B. Leyes
M
B. Leyes
M
30
J. Elías
M
J. Elías
M
8
M. Garay
1 👟
M
M. Garay
1 👟
M
29
I. Russo
83'
F
I. Russo
83'
F
9
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Oviedo
12'
F
A. Oviedo
12'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
23
G. Piñeiro
M
G. Piñeiro
M
17
G. Soto
D
G. Soto
D
2
J. Laso
3'
D
J. Laso
3'
D
55
J. Mosqueira
M
J. Mosqueira
M
32
J. Villalba
D
J. Villalba
D
18
M. Fernández
F
M. Fernández
F
3
N. Banegas
D
N. Banegas
D
28
P. Martínez
M
P. Martínez
M
22
S. López
30'
F
S. López
30'
F
26
Tomás Sultani
G
Tomás Sultani
G
Best on the pitch
Dany Rosero
D · America
7.50
· 63 pass
T. Ángel
F · America
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
D. Romero
F · Tigre
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
J. Saralegui
M · Tigre
6.90
· 18 pass
Cristian Tovar
D · America
6.90
1 shots
· 52 pass
Ramón Arias
D · Tigre
6.90
· 15 pass
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Fernandes | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Mina | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dany Rosero | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Escobar | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Carrascal | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Jan Lucumí | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Valencia | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Mina | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Zenobio | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramón Arias | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Barrionuevo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Elías | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garay | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Russo | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Romero | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Oviedo | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Laso | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. López | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Tigre?
The final score was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Tigre?
The model assigned 55% probability to a America de Cali win, 27% to a draw, and 17% to an Tigre win.