Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 04:00
✗Model wrong — prediction America de Cali, result Draw
T. Angel
(ast. A. Ramos)
54'
11'
(ast. M. Garay)
D. Romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America de Cali a 55% win probability (draw 27%, Tigre 17%). The final result was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre. In 1 previous meetings, America de Cali have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.56
0
Saves
1
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
1
10
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
11'
ast. M. Garay ·
D. Romero⚽
R. Carrascal
28'
R. Carrascal
/ J. Cavadia
46'
49'
I. Russo
51'
V. Moreno
⚽T. Angel
· ast. A. Ramos
54'
65'
S. Lopez
/
V. Moreno
D. Mina
72'
J. Palacios
/ D. Valencia
73'
J. Escobar
77'
J. Romero
/ L. M. Mina
79'
J. Lucumi
80'
83'
A. Oviedo
/
I. Russo
85'
B. Leyes
J. Cavadia
87'
90'+2
J. Laso
/
R. Arias
90'
R. Arias
Pre-match prediction
55.84%
America
27.12%
X ←
17.05%
Tigre
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.86
-0.51
0.55
0.56
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
14
Marcos Mina
D
Marcos Mina
D
3
Dany Rosero
D
Dany Rosero
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
25
Joel Romero
79'
D
Joel Romero
79'
D
5
Josen Escobar
M
Josen Escobar
M
19
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
Tilman Palacios
73'
M
15
Rafael Carrascal
45'
M
Rafael Carrascal
45'
M
17
J. Lucumí
M
J. Lucumí
M
21
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
T. Ángel
1 ⚽
F
20
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Adrián Ramos
1 👟
F
Bench
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
16
Brayan Correa
D
Brayan Correa
D
29
Camilo Amu
M
Camilo Amu
M
23
Carlos Sierra
M
Carlos Sierra
M
9
Daniel Valencia
22'
F
Daniel Valencia
22'
F
11
D. Machís
F
D. Machís
F
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
6
José Cavadia
50'
M
José Cavadia
50'
M
35
Kevin Angulo
F
Kevin Angulo
F
28
Luis Mina
16'
D
Luis Mina
16'
D
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
18
Yojan Garcés
F
Yojan Garcés
F
12
Felipe Zenobio
G
Felipe Zenobio
G
24
Federico Álvarez
D
Federico Álvarez
D
42
Ramón Arias
D
Ramón Arias
D
20
Alan Barrionuevo
D
Alan Barrionuevo
D
4
Valentín Moreno
65'
D
Valentín Moreno
65'
D
10
Jabes Saralegui
M
Jabes Saralegui
M
5
Bruno Leyes
M
Bruno Leyes
M
30
Jalil Elias
M
Jalil Elias
M
8
Martín Garay
1 👟
M
Martín Garay
1 👟
M
29
Ignacio Russo
83'
F
Ignacio Russo
83'
F
9
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
D. Romero
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Alfio Oviedo
12'
F
Alfio Oviedo
12'
F
33
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
28
Gonzalo Martínez
M
Gonzalo Martínez
M
23
Gonzalo Piñeiro
M
Gonzalo Piñeiro
M
17
Guillermo Soto
D
Guillermo Soto
D
2
Joaquín Laso
3'
D
Joaquín Laso
3'
D
55
Joaquin Mosqueira
M
Joaquin Mosqueira
M
32
Juan Villalba
D
Juan Villalba
D
18
Manuel Fernandez
F
Manuel Fernandez
F
3
Nahuel Banegas
D
Nahuel Banegas
D
22
Santiago López
30'
F
Santiago López
30'
F
26
Tomás Sultani
G
Tomás Sultani
G
Best on the pitch
Dany Rosero
D · America
7.50
· 63 pass
T. Ángel
F · America
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
D. Romero
F · Tigre
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 8 pass
Jabes Saralegui
M · Tigre
6.90
· 18 pass
Cristian Tovar
D · America
6.90
1 shots
· 52 pass
Ramón Arias
D · Tigre
6.90
· 15 pass
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Fernandes | G | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Mina | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 56 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dany Rosero | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Tovar | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Joel Romero | D | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Josen Escobar | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tilman Palacios | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Carrascal | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lucumí | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ángel | F | 95 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Valencia | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| José Cavadia | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Zenobio | G | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Federico Álvarez | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramón Arias | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alan Barrionuevo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Moreno | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jabes Saralegui | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Leyes | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jalil Elias | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Garay | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Ignacio Russo | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Romero | F | 95 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alfio Oviedo | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Laso | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Santiago López | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Tigre?
The final score was America de Cali 1–1 Tigre.
What did the model predict before America de Cali vs Tigre?
The model assigned 55% probability to a America de Cali win, 27% to a draw, and 17% to an Tigre win.