Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 18
July 18, 2026 00:00
M. Segovia
(ast. Paulo Victor)
67'
89'
Vina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America Mineiro a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Ceara 23%). The final result was America Mineiro 1–1 Ceara.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
3
1.30
Actual xG
0.67
2
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
5
13
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
46'
Giovanni Pavani
/
Richardson
47'
Eder
Ricardo Silva
/ Rafa Barcelos
56'
65'
R. Lopez
/
Lucca
⚽M. Segovia
· ast. Paulo Victor
67'
69'
Vina
/
Joao Gabriel
69'
Enzo Lodovico
/
Melk
71'
Bryan Borges
Gustavo
73'
Yago Souza
/ Jorge Jimenez
79'
80'
Juan Alano
/
Lucas Mugni
Paulo Victor
/ Gonzalo Mastriani
80'
Rafa Barcelos
88'
89'
Vina⚽
Guilherme Parede
/ G. Italo
90'+2
M. Segovia
/ Julio Cesar
90'+2
90'+5
R. Lopez
Alex Silva
90'
Pre-match prediction
45.04%
America
31.93%
X ←
23.04%
Ceara
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.30
+0.24
0.58
0.67
+0.09
America Mineiro dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
29
Dalbert
D
Dalbert
D
26
Manoel
D
Manoel
D
45
Ricardo Silva
56'
D
Ricardo Silva
56'
D
15
Alex Silva
D
Alex Silva
D
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
11
Gabriel Barros
M
Gabriel Barros
M
10
Yago Santana
79'
M
Yago Santana
79'
M
20
Paulo Victor
1 👟
79'
M
Paulo Victor
1 👟
79'
M
77
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
89'
M
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
89'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
89'
F
Guilherme Parede
89'
F
Bench
5
F. Elizari
M
F. Elizari
M
6
Gabriel Domingos
M
Gabriel Domingos
M
61
Gabriel Oliveira
D
Gabriel Oliveira
D
39
G. Italo
1'
F
G. Italo
1'
F
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
11'
F
Gonzalo Mastriani
11'
F
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
93
J. Jiménez
11'
M
J. Jiménez
11'
M
30
L. Montes
D
L. Montes
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
34'
D
Rafael Barcelos
34'
D
19
William
G
William
G
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
12
Sanchez
D
Sanchez
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
31
Bryan
D
Bryan
D
26
Richardson
45'
M
Richardson
45'
M
11
L. Mugni
80'
M
L. Mugni
80'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
69'
M
Joao Gabriel
69'
M
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
99
Lucca
65'
F
Lucca
65'
F
40
Melk
69'
F
Melk
69'
F
Bench
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
60
Enzo
21'
F
Enzo
21'
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
Gabriel Rocha
M
21
Giovanni Pavani
45'
M
Giovanni Pavani
45'
M
88
José Wilson Neto
M
José Wilson Neto
M
10
Juan Alano
10'
F
Juan Alano
10'
F
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
8
Matheus Araújo
M
Matheus Araújo
M
7
R. López
25'
F
R. López
25'
F
6
Sávio
D
Sávio
D
29
Vina
1 ⚽
21'
M
Vina
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
Vina
M · Ceara
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Ricardo Silva
D · America
8.00
· 57 pass
M. Segovia
M · America
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
Júlio
D · Ceara
7.50
· 39 pass
Manoel
D · America
7.30
· 80 pass
Gabriel Barros
M · America
7.30
2 shots
· 43 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Dalbert | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Manoel | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 56 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Silva | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barros | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Yago Santana | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Parede | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Italo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Mastriani | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Jiménez | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Júlio | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Richardson | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Giulio | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Melk | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Alano | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. López | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Vina | M | 21 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Ceara?
The final score was America Mineiro 1–1 Ceara.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Ceara?
The model assigned 45% probability to a America Mineiro win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Ceara win.