Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 24, 2026 01:00
31'
(ast. Gui Lobo)
Cesar Martins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 38% win probability (draw 29%, America Mineiro 32%). The final result was America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.83
Actual xG
1.08
51%
Possession
49%
1
Corners
7
Match Events
Dalbert
21'
31'
ast. Gui Lobo ·
Cesar Martins⚽
41'
Waguininho
51'
Cesar Martins
54'
Bruno Alves
/
Cesar Martins
Jorge Jimenez
/ Felipe Amaral
57'
Gabriel Barros
/ Yago Souza
58'
63'
Caue Santos
/
Waguininho
63'
Jhonata Robert
/
R. Otero
M. Segovia
/ Paulo Victor
64'
Gonzalo Mastriani
/ Willian Bigode
64'
Manoel
/ G. Italo
79'
84'
Marcinho
/
Willean Lepo
85'
Diego Goncalves
/
Eduardo
89'
Gui Lobo
Paulo Victor
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.44%
America
29.29%
X
38.26%
Criciuma ←
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
38.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.83
-0.16
1.21
1.08
-0.13
xG dominance was balanced (0.83 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
The final score was America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
The model assigned 32% probability to a America Mineiro win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Criciuma win.