Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 35
October 26, 2026 23:30
Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta
Matías Segovia
(ast. Guilherme Parede)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 40% win probability (draw 31%, America Mineiro 27%). The final result was America Mineiro 1–0 Cuiaba. In 1 previous meetings, America Mineiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cuiaba.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
24
2
Shots on target
6
0.46
Actual xG
1.72
6
Saves
1
44%
Possession
56%
2
Corners
12
7
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Luca Sosa
/ Emerson Raymundo Santos Moreno
4'
45'
Lorenzo Silva Martins
/
Weverson Rodrigues Vicente Do Nascimento
⚽Matías Segovia
· ast. Guilherme Parede
58'
60'
Jean Dias da Costa
/
Eliel Chrystian
60'
David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo
/
Luiz Otavio
64'
Luis Henrique Fonseca Soares
Emerson Raymundo Santos Moreno
/ Otavio Goncalves
67'
Felipe
/ Eduardo Person
68'
68'
Guilherme De Almeida Mansano
/
Eric Almeida de Melo
68'
Calebe
/
João Basso
Ricardo Silva
86'
Barreto
87'
Willian
/ Fernando Elizari
90'
Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus
/ Luidy Montes Carneiro
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.41%
America ←
31.79%
X
40.81%
Cuiaba
we assigned to the actual result (America Mineiro)
27.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
0.46
-0.27
0.99
1.72
+0.73
Cuiaba dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
91
Bruno Brígido
G
Bruno Brígido
G
25
T. Ostchega
D
T. Ostchega
D
3
L. Sosa
4'
D
L. Sosa
4'
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
Ricardo Silva
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
8
Felipe Amaral
68'
M
Felipe Amaral
68'
M
88
Barreto
M
Barreto
M
7
Guilherme Parede
1 👟
M
Guilherme Parede
1 👟
M
77
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
M
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
M
20
Paulo Victor
89'
M
Paulo Victor
89'
M
9
Willian
89'
F
Willian
89'
F
Bench
37
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
M
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
M
21
Eduardo Person
22'
M
Eduardo Person
22'
M
2
Emerson Santos
63'
D
Emerson Santos
63'
D
5
F. Elizari
1'
M
F. Elizari
1'
M
30
L. Montes
1'
D
L. Montes
1'
D
26
Manoel
D
Manoel
D
99
Marcelo Macola
F
Marcelo Macola
F
19
William
G
William
G
1
João Carlos
G
João Carlos
G
14
Eric
68'
D
Eric
68'
D
91
Luisão
D
Luisão
D
13
João Basso
68'
D
João Basso
68'
D
53
Weverson
45'
M
Weverson
45'
M
97
Luiz Otávio
60'
M
Luiz Otávio
60'
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
2
Igor Inocêncio
M
Igor Inocêncio
M
41
Kauan
M
Kauan
M
11
Eliel
60'
M
Eliel
60'
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
F
Vinicius Peixoto
F
Bench
12
Busatto
G
Busatto
G
5
Calebe
22'
M
Calebe
22'
M
20
David Miguel
30'
M
David Miguel
30'
M
39
Guilherme Mansano
22'
F
Guilherme Mansano
22'
F
77
Jean Dias
30'
F
Jean Dias
30'
F
36
Lorenzo
45'
D
Lorenzo
45'
D
23
Marcos Júnior
M
Marcos Júnior
M
4
Vitor Mendes
D
Vitor Mendes
D
Best on the pitch
M. Segovia
M · America
8.11
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Rafael Barcelos
D · America
7.86
1 shots
· 54 pass
Bruno Brígido
G · America
7.80
· 29 pass
T. Ostchega
D · America
7.32
1 shots
· 36 pass
João Basso
D · Cuiaba
7.30
1 shots
· 49 pass
Emerson Santos
D · America
7.28
· 42 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido | G | 90 | 7.80 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Ostchega | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 4 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 90 | 7.22 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 44% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 7.86 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 68 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Barreto | M | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Parede | M | 90 | 6.75 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 90 | 8.11 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | M | 89 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian | F | 89 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Person | M | 22 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Emerson Santos | D | 63 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Elizari | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Montes | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Carlos | G | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Eric | D | 68 | 7.22 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Luisão | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 0 | 1 | — |
| João Basso | D | 68 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Weverson | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | M | 60 | 6.79 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Raul | M | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Inocêncio | M | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauan | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Eliel | M | 60 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Vinicius Peixoto | F | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Calebe | M | 22 | 6.55 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| David Miguel | M | 30 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Mansano | F | 22 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Jean Dias | F | 30 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Lorenzo | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
The final score was America Mineiro 1–0 Cuiaba.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Cuiaba?
The model assigned 27% probability to a America Mineiro win, 31% to a draw, and 40% to an Cuiaba win.