Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 17
July 14, 2026 00:00
M. Segovia
(ast. Dalbert)
45'+2
57'
(ast. Joao Vitor)
Yago Lincoln
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America Mineiro a 42% win probability (draw 27%, Londrina 29%). The final result was America Mineiro 1–1 Londrina.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.10
Actual xG
1.75
1
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
7
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Segovia
· ast. Dalbert
45'+2
50'
Tarik
55'
Gilberto
/
Paulinho Moccelin
55'
Artur
/
Heron
55'
Thalis
/
Tarik
57'
ast. Joao Vitor ·
Yago Lincoln⚽
62'
Thalis
70'
Nino Paraiba
/
Vitinho Mota
Gabriel Barros
/ Willian Bigode
70'
74'
Joao Vitor
Paulo Victor
/ G. Italo
81'
Yago Souza
/ Gabriel Domingos
81'
85'
Wallace
/
Kaue Leonardo
Willian Bigode
85'
89'
Felipe Amaral
/ Gonzalo Mastriani
90'+2
Guilherme Parede
/ F. Elizari
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
42.84%
America
27.65%
X ←
29.51%
Londrina
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
2.10
+0.9
1.02
1.75
+0.73
America Mineiro dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
29
Dalbert
1 👟
D
Dalbert
1 👟
D
26
Manoel
D
Manoel
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
Ricardo Silva
D
15
Alex Silva
D
Alex Silva
D
10
Yago Santana
81'
M
Yago Santana
81'
M
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
77
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
M
M. Segovia
1 ⚽
M
11
Gabriel Barros
70'
F
Gabriel Barros
70'
F
20
Paulo Victor
81'
F
Paulo Victor
81'
F
7
Guilherme Parede
F
Guilherme Parede
F
Bench
2
Emerson Santos
D
Emerson Santos
D
5
F. Elizari
6'
M
F. Elizari
6'
M
32
Filipe
D
Filipe
D
6
Gabriel Domingos
17'
M
Gabriel Domingos
17'
M
39
G. Italo
17'
F
G. Italo
17'
F
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
6'
F
Gonzalo Mastriani
6'
F
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
93
J. Jiménez
M
J. Jiménez
M
30
L. Montes
D
L. Montes
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
19
William
G
William
G
9
Willian
28'
F
Willian
28'
F
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
34
Heron
55'
D
Heron
55'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
Gabriel Lacerda
D
3
Yago Lincoln
1 ⚽
D
Yago Lincoln
1 ⚽
D
75
Kauê Leonardo
85'
D
Kauê Leonardo
85'
D
5
Tárik
55'
M
Tárik
55'
M
19
Pablo Dyego
M
Pablo Dyego
M
20
João Vitor
1 👟
M
João Vitor
1 👟
M
32
João Vitor
M
João Vitor
M
7
Victor Hugo
70'
M
Victor Hugo
70'
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
55'
F
Paulinho Moccelin
55'
F
Bench
17
André Cardoso
M
André Cardoso
M
22
Artur
43'
D
Artur
43'
D
55
Caio Rafael
F
Caio Rafael
F
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
Caio Rodrigues
D
9
Gilberto
43'
F
Gilberto
43'
F
33
Kevyn
D
Kevyn
D
1
Luan
G
Luan
G
2
Nino Paraíba
28'
D
Nino Paraíba
28'
D
6
Rafael Monteiro
D
Rafael Monteiro
D
96
Thalis
43'
M
Thalis
43'
M
4
Wallace
13'
D
Wallace
13'
D
Best on the pitch
Yago Santana
M · America
8.20
1 shots
· 46 pass
João Vitor
M · Londrina
8.00
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
M. Segovia
M · America
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Heron
D · Londrina
7.90
· 9 pass
Dalbert
D · America
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 52 pass
Manoel
D · America
7.50
· 80 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo | G | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Dalbert | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Manoel | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 80 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Silva | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Yago Santana | M | 81 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barros | F | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Parede | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Elizari | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Domingos | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Italo | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Mastriani | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Willian | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Londrina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Kozlinski | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Heron | D | 55 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Lacerda | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Yago Lincoln | D | 98 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 41 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Kauê Leonardo | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Tárik | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Dyego | M | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | 98 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| João Vitor | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulinho Moccelin | F | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Artur | D | 43 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gilberto | F | 43 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nino Paraíba | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Thalis | M | 43 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Londrina?
The final score was America Mineiro 1–1 Londrina.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Londrina?
The model assigned 42% probability to a America Mineiro win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an Londrina win.