Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 4
April 13, 2026 01:00
71'
(ast. Juninho)
Diego Galo
74'
Sander
90'
(ast. Juninho)
Tavinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America Mineiro a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Novorizontino 32%). The final result was America Mineiro 0–3 Novorizontino.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
8
0.24
Actual xG
1.93
5
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Emerson Santos
/ Nathan Pelae
27'
Dalbert
52'
53'
Dantas
62'
Patrick
/
Dantas
62'
Tavinho
/
Vinicius Paiva
65'
Juninho
/
Romulo
Val Soares
/ M. Segovia
69'
Willian Bigode
/ Yago Souza
69'
70'
Matheus Bianqui
71'
ast. Juninho ·
Diego Galo⚽
74'
Sander⚽
76'
Diego Galo
Everton Brito
/ Thauan
77'
Ale
/ Eduardo Person
77'
87'
Leo Naldi
/
Diego Galo
87'
Carlao
/
Robson
90'
ast. Juninho ·
Tavinho⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.32%
America
33.44%
X
32.24%
Novorizontino ←
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
32.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.24
-0.83
0.83
1.93
+1.1
Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Dalbert
D
Dalbert
D
2
Emerson Santos
27'
D
Emerson Santos
27'
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
16
Alê
77'
M
Alê
77'
M
9
Willian
69'
M
Willian
69'
M
97
Val Soares
69'
M
Val Soares
69'
M
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
23
Éverton Brito
77'
M
Éverton Brito
77'
M
17
G. Mastriani
F
G. Mastriani
F
Bench
21
Eduardo Person
13'
M
Eduardo Person
13'
M
77
M. Segovia
21'
F
M. Segovia
21'
F
3
Nathan Cardoso
63'
D
Nathan Cardoso
63'
D
6
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
31
G
3
D
25
Dantas
62'
D
22
A. Alvariño
D
A. Alvariño
D
5
Sander
1 ⚽
M
Sander
1 ⚽
M
6
Luis Oyama
M
Luis Oyama
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
M
Matheus Bianqui
M
19
Diego Galo
1 ⚽
87'
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
62'
M
Vinicius Paiva
62'
M
11
Robson
87'
F
Robson
87'
F
10
Romulo
65'
F
Romulo
65'
F
Bench
9
Carlão
8'
F
Carlão
8'
F
8
C. Ortíz
F
C. Ortíz
F
77
Hélio Borges
F
Hélio Borges
F
24
Jhilmar Lora
D
50
Juninho
2 👟
25'
M
Juninho
2 👟
25'
M
18
Léo Naldi
8'
M
Léo Naldi
8'
M
20
N. Castrillón
D
N. Castrillón
D
4
Patrick
28'
D
Patrick
28'
D
15
Tavinho
1 ⚽
28'
F
Best on the pitch
Tavinho
F · Novorizontino
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Sander
M · Novorizontino
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
G · Novorizontino
7.70
· 12 pass
Felipe Amaral
M · America
7.70
· 28 pass
G · America
7.50
· 40 pass
Juninho
M · Novorizontino
7.30
2 👟
3 shots
· 13 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Dalbert | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emerson Santos | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Jhonny | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Alê | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Val Soares | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Éverton Brito | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Mastriani | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Person | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Cardoso | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Dantas | D | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Alvariño | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Sander | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Oyama | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Bianqui | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Diego Galo | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vinicius Paiva | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Robson | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Romulo | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Carlão | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 25 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Léo Naldi | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tavinho | F | 28 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?
The final score was America Mineiro 0–3 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 34% probability to a America Mineiro win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Novorizontino win.