Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 21:00
Willian Bigode
(ast. F. Elizari)
47'
R. Pineiro
(ast. T. Ostchega)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave America Mineiro a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Ponte Preta 22%). The final result was America Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, America Mineiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
27
Total shots
3
12
Shots on target
2
3.05
Actual xG
0.53
2
Saves
10
79%
Possession
21%
12
Corners
2
11
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Guilherme Parede
/ R. Pineiro
46'
Otavio Goncalves
/ F. Elizari
46'
⚽Willian Bigode
· ast. F. Elizari
47'
⚽R. Pineiro
· ast. T. Ostchega
59'
64'
C. Coelho
/
Miguel Morais
64'
Thevyn
/
R. Andrade
68'
C. Vinicius
/
Nicolas Araujo
Paulo Victor
/ Marcelo Macola
71'
Julio Cesar
/ G. Italo
79'
79'
G. Cicala
/
Juan Rodrigues
Gustavo Barreto
/ Jorge Jimenez
84'
90'+7
G. Cicala
Pre-match prediction
53.06%
America ←
24.07%
X
22.86%
Ponte
we assigned to the actual result (America Mineiro)
53.06%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
3.05
+1.78
0.94
0.53
-0.41
America Mineiro dominated by xG (3.05 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
91
Bruno Brígido
G
Bruno Brígido
G
25
T. Ostchega
1 👟
D
T. Ostchega
1 👟
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
Ricardo Silva
D
15
Alex Silva
D
Alex Silva
D
55
Otávio Gonçalves
45'
M
Otávio Gonçalves
45'
M
88
Barreto
84'
M
Barreto
84'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
45'
M
Guilherme Parede
45'
M
9
Willian
1 ⚽
M
Willian
1 ⚽
M
37
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
79'
M
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
79'
M
20
Paulo Victor
71'
F
Paulo Victor
71'
F
Bench
31
Fábio
D
Fábio
D
5
F. Elizari
1 👟
45'
M
F. Elizari
1 👟
45'
M
39
G. Italo
11'
F
G. Italo
11'
F
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
13
Heitor
D
Heitor
D
93
J. Jiménez
13'
M
J. Jiménez
13'
M
30
L. Montes
D
L. Montes
D
3
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
26
Manoel
D
Manoel
D
99
Marcelo Macola
19'
F
Marcelo Macola
19'
F
14
R. Piñeiro
1 ⚽
45'
F
R. Piñeiro
1 ⚽
45'
F
19
William
G
William
G
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
13
M. Souza
D
M. Souza
D
44
Gustavo Almeida
D
Gustavo Almeida
D
4
Diego Leão
D
2
Julio
D
Julio
D
35
Gustavo Lopes
M
Gustavo Lopes
M
6
M
17
Miguel
64'
M
Miguel
64'
M
7
Nicolas Silva
68'
M
Nicolas Silva
68'
M
8
M
9
Joao Damiao
F
Joao Damiao
F
Bench
19
C. Coelho
26'
F
C. Coelho
26'
F
32
C. Vinicius
22'
M
C. Vinicius
22'
M
20
Gabriel Cicala
11'
D
Gabriel Cicala
11'
D
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
15
Kawann
D
Kawann
D
Best on the pitch
Willian
M · America
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 56 pass
R. Piñeiro
F · America
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 45 pass
F. Elizari
M · America
8.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 59 pass
Rafael Barcelos
D · America
8.00
2 shots
· 73 pass
Barreto
M · America
8.00
· 56 pass
Ricardo Silva
D · America
7.90
3 shots
· 84 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Ostchega | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 83 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 84 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Silva | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 76 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Otávio Gonçalves | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Barreto | M | 84 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Parede | M | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Willian | M | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 6 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Elizari | M | 45 | 8.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 59 | 56% | — | — | — |
| G. Italo | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Jiménez | M | 13 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Macola | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Piñeiro | F | 45 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 45 | 42% | — | — | — |
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Souza | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Almeida | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Leão | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Julio | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Lopes | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Miguel | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Silva | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joao Damiao | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Coelho | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Vinicius | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Cicala | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was America Mineiro 2–0 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 53% probability to a America Mineiro win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Ponte Preta win.