Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 5
April 18, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 41% win probability (draw 29%, America Mineiro 28%). The final result was America Mineiro 0–0 Sport Recife. In 1 previous meetings, America Mineiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sport Recife.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
0
1.17
Actual xG
0.31
0
Saves
6
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
9'
Augusto Pucci
32'
Iury Castilho
46'
Biel Fonseca
/
Ze Lucas
46'
Madson
/
Augusto
Rafael Barcelos
51'
61'
Marlon Douglas
/
Iury Castilho
62'
Habraao
/
Marcelo Ajul
Yago Santos
/ Jhonatan Lima
74'
Dalbert
/ Paulinho
74'
M. Segovia
/ Ale
84'
Gonzalo Mastriani
/ Paulo Victor
84'
Felipe Amaral
/ Leo Alaba
84'
85'
Madson
90'+3
Zé Gabriel
Pre-match prediction
28.82%
America
29.83%
X ←
41.36%
Sport
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
1.17
+0.42
2.16
0.31
-1.85
America Mineiro dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.31).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
Dalbert
74'
D
Dalbert
74'
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
3
Nathan Cardoso
D
Nathan Cardoso
D
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
8
Felipe Amaral
84'
M
Felipe Amaral
84'
M
11
M
33
Yago Santos
74'
M
Yago Santos
74'
M
97
Val Soares
M
Val Soares
M
77
M. Segovia
84'
M
M. Segovia
84'
M
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
84'
F
Gonzalo Mastriani
84'
F
Bench
16
Alê
12'
M
Alê
12'
M
23
Éverton Brito
F
Éverton Brito
F
6
Paulinho
22'
D
Paulinho
22'
D
9
Willian
F
Willian
F
26
G
60
Felipinho
D
Felipinho
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
62'
D
Marcelo Ajul
62'
D
5
D
68
Augusto
45'
D
Augusto
45'
D
10
C. de Pena
M
C. de Pena
M
23
Zé Gabriel
M
Zé Gabriel
M
58
Zé Lucas
45'
M
Zé Lucas
45'
M
95
Iury Castilho
61'
F
Iury Castilho
61'
F
9
Perotti
F
Perotti
F
30
Chrystian Barletta
F
Chrystian Barletta
F
Bench
6
Biel
51'
M
Biel
51'
M
25
Clayson
M
Clayson
M
11
Gustavo Maia
F
Gustavo Maia
F
28
Habraão
34'
D
Habraão
34'
D
13
Madson
51'
D
Madson
51'
D
31
Marlon
35'
F
Marlon
35'
F
7
Yago Felipe
M
Yago Felipe
M
Best on the pitch
G · Sport
8.20
· 32 pass
Val Soares
M · America
7.60
1 shots
· 46 pass
Nathan Cardoso
D · America
7.50
· 36 pass
M. Segovia
M · America
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Felipinho
D · Sport
7.30
· 39 pass
Madson
D · Sport
7.20
· 16 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Dalbert | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nathan Cardoso | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jhonny | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Yago Santos | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Val Soares | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Mastriani | F | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Alê | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sport Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Felipinho | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Ajul | D | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Augusto | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. de Pena | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Gabriel | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Iury Castilho | F | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Perotti | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Chrystian Barletta | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Biel | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Habraão | D | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Madson | D | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marlon | F | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Sport Recife?
The final score was America Mineiro 0–0 Sport Recife.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Sport Recife?
The model assigned 28% probability to a America Mineiro win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Sport Recife win.