Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 10
May 24, 2026 23:30
Nathan Pelae
(ast. M. Segovia)
22'
67'
(ast. Janderson)
Ryan
76'
(ast. Marquinhos Gabriel)
Janderson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 39% win probability (draw 33%, America Mineiro 27%). The final result was America Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova. In 1 previous meetings, America Mineiro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vila Nova.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.64
Actual xG
0.79
2
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
4
18
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Nathan Pelae
· ast. M. Segovia
22'
Nathan Pelae
35'
Felipe Amaral
/ Val Soares
55'
Val Soares
58'
61'
Nathan Camargo
/
Dudu
61'
Andre Luis
/
Gustavo Puskas
66'
Anderson Jesus
67'
ast. Janderson ·
Ryan⚽
M. Segovia
/ Gabriel Barros
71'
F. Elizari
/ Jhonatan Lima
72'
76'
ast. Marquinhos Gabriel ·
Janderson⚽
78'
Elias
/
Joao Vieira
Everton Brito
/ Willian Bigode
82'
Ale
/ Thauan
82'
86'
Hayner
/
Ryan
86'
Willian Formiga
/
Marquinhos Gabriel
90'+2
Andre Luis
Leo Alaba
90'+2
90'+3
Elias
Pre-match prediction
27.39%
America
33.03%
X
39.58%
Vila ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
39.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
1.64
+0.9
1.33
0.79
-0.54
America Mineiro dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
96
Artur
D
Artur
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
3
Nathan Cardoso
1 ⚽
D
Nathan Cardoso
1 ⚽
D
22
Léo Alabá
D
8
Felipe Amaral
55'
M
Felipe Amaral
55'
M
16
Alê
82'
M
Alê
82'
M
23
Éverton Brito
82'
M
Éverton Brito
82'
M
5
F. Elizari
72'
M
F. Elizari
72'
M
77
M. Segovia
1 👟
71'
M
M. Segovia
1 👟
71'
M
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
Bench
29
Dalbert
D
Dalbert
D
2
Emerson Santos
D
Emerson Santos
D
7
Gabriel Barros
19'
F
Gabriel Barros
19'
F
88
Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima
18'
F
Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima
18'
F
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
55
Otávio Gonçalves
M
Otávio Gonçalves
M
11
Thauan Willians
8'
M
Thauan Willians
8'
M
97
Val Soares
35'
M
Val Soares
35'
M
19
William
G
William
G
9
Willian
8'
F
Willian
8'
F
10
Yago Santana
M
Yago Santana
M
67
Yarlen
F
Yarlen
F
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
14
Anderson
D
Anderson
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
15
Dudu
61'
D
Dudu
61'
D
8
Willian Maranhão
M
Willian Maranhão
M
5
João Vieira
78'
M
João Vieira
78'
M
99
Janderson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Janderson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
86'
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
86'
M
11
Ryan Lima
86'
M
Ryan Lima
86'
M
9
Puskas Gustavo
61'
F
Puskas Gustavo
61'
F
Bench
7
André Luís
29'
F
André Luís
29'
F
33
Bruno Xavier
M
Bruno Xavier
M
38
Caio Marcelo
D
Caio Marcelo
D
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
2
Elias
12'
D
Elias
12'
D
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
22
Hayner
10'
D
Hayner
10'
D
20
Nathan Camargo
29'
M
Nathan Camargo
29'
M
4
Samuel Lucas
D
Samuel Lucas
D
13
Willian Formiga
10'
D
Willian Formiga
10'
D
Best on the pitch
Ryan Lima
M · Vila
8.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
M. Segovia
M · America
8.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Helton Leite
G · Vila
7.60
· 30 pass
Nathan Cardoso
D · America
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 66 pass
Éverton Brito
M · America
7.20
· 21 pass
Marquinhos Gabriel
M · Vila
7.00
1 👟
3 shots
· 39 pass
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Cardoso | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Alabá | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Alê | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Éverton Brito | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Elizari | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 71 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Mastriani | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barros | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Thauan Willians | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Val Soares | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willian | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Anderson | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Dudu | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| João Vieira | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 3 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 86 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Puskas Gustavo | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elias | D | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hayner | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Vila Nova?
The final score was America Mineiro 1–2 Vila Nova.
What did the model predict before America Mineiro vs Vila Nova?
The model assigned 27% probability to a America Mineiro win, 33% to a draw, and 39% to an Vila Nova win.