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Amiens - Thionville Lusitanos

National 1 October 29, 2026 20:45
Amiens
#7 · 16 pts
vs
Thionville Lusitanos
#12 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.31%
Win
Amiens
19.27%
Draw
17.42%
Win
Thionville Lusitanos
3.02
Expected xG
0.79
Most likely outcome
Amiens
63.31%
Probability
0.0%
1X2 accuracy · 1 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.73%)
1X2 Result
1 63%
X 19%
2 17%
Double Chance
1X 83%
X2 37%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Amiens a 63% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Thionville Lusitanos. Expected goals are 3.0 for Amiens and 0.8 for Thionville Lusitanos (total 3.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.73% probability.

Season Stats

Amiens
4W 4D 2L
Thionville Lusitanos
3W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
0.4
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
90%
30%
O 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in National 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
Amiens
3W 0D 1L · at home
Thionville Lusitanos
2W 2D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.6
0.2
Conceded
0.8
75%
Win %
40%
75%
Win or Draw
80%
75%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
0%
BTTS
40%
75%
Clean Sht
40%
25%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Amiens Thionville Lusitanos →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% — —
1 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% —
2 10.1% 8.0% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 10.2% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% —
5 4.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Amiens Amiens
D Valenciennes 1–1
W Villefranche 3–0
D Quevilly 1–1
W Orleans 2–0
D Cannes 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
L Versailles 1–2
L Le Puy Foot 1–0
L La Roche VF 1–2
D Fleury 91 1–1
L Rouen 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Amiens Amiens
Attack
41
Defence
90
Form
67
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
Attack
24
Defence
59
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 La Roche VF La Roche VF 10 21
2 Rouen Rouen 10 20
3 Versailles Versailles 10 19
4 Caen Caen 10 18
5 Concarneau Concarneau 10 17
6 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 10 16
7 Amiens Amiens 10 16
8 Cannes Cannes 10 15
9 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 10 15
10 Gobelins Gobelins 10 15
11 Quevilly Quevilly 10 13
12 Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 10 12
13 Bastia Bastia 10 12
14 Valenciennes Valenciennes 10 9
15 Orleans Orleans 10 9
16 Aubagne Aubagne 10 7
17 Villefranche Villefranche 10 7
18 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 10 5
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
The model gives Amiens a 63% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 17% for an Thionville Lusitanos win.
How many goals are expected in Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Expected goals: Amiens 3.0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.8 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.73%.