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Anaitasuna - Alaves

Copa del Rey October 28, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.68%
Win
Anaitasuna
27.75%
Draw
34.57%
Win
Alaves
4.5
Expected xG
1.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.86%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 28%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 62%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Anaitasuna a 37% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Alaves. Expected goals are 4.5 for Anaitasuna and 1.1 for Alaves (total 5.6), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.86% probability.

Season Stats

Anaitasuna
2W 0D 0L
Alaves
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
5.0
Goals
3.0
1.0
Conceded
0.6
—
Shots OT
5.5
—
Corners
5.3
—
Poss.
52%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
80%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Copa del Rey. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Anaitasuna
1W 0D 0L · at home
Alaves
2W 0D 0L · away
5.0
gls/g
5.0
0.0
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Anaitasuna Alaves →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
1 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 3.7% 4.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.6% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Tedeón 2–5
W Tedeón 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
L Real Sociedad 2–3
W Rayo Vallecano 2–0
W Sevilla 1–0
W Portugalete 0–3
W Deportivo Getxo 0–7
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Anaitasuna Anaitasuna
Attack
100
Defence
74
Form
86
Alaves Alaves
Attack
37
Defence
62
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
The model gives Anaitasuna a 37% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 34% for an Alaves win.
How many goals are expected in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Expected goals: Anaitasuna 4.5, Alaves 1.1 (total 5.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.86%.