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#4 · 29 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#5 · 27 pts
Y. Verschaeren 79'
T. Degreef 90'
A. Bertaccini 90'
(pen.) 22' W. Kanga

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Gent 33%). The final result was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent. In 4 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gent.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
6
1.53
Actual xG
2.13
5
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
22'
(pen.) W. Kanga
37'
Michał Skóraś
N. De Cat / Y. Verschaeren
43'
59'
A. Kadri / Hong Hyun-Seok
M. Stroeykens / T. Degreef
67'
E. Llansana / C. da Costa
68'
78'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
Y. Verschaeren
79'
80'
H. Goore / M. Dean
88'
J. Duverne / M. Skoras
88'
I. Cisse / W. Kanga
M. Cvetkovic / A. Bertaccini
89'
Adriano Bertaccini
90'+7
T. Degreef
90'
A. Bertaccini
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.98%
Anderlecht ←
24.48%
X
33.54%
Gent
we assigned to the actual result (Anderlecht) 41.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Anderlecht
1.52
1.53
+0.01
Gent
1.59
2.13
+0.54
Gent dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
32
G 7.50
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson D 6.90
93
M. Diarra D 6.60
55 Marco Kana Marco Kana D 6.60
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar D 6.60
24
E. Llansana 68' M 7.00
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 7.50
11 Thorgan Hazard Thorgan Hazard M 6.30
74 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat 43' M 6.30
29
Mario Stroeykens 67' M 6.20
9
M. Cvetkovic
Bench
91 Adriano Bertaccini Adriano Bertaccini 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.90
77 Coba Coba 29' F 6.60
54
K. Sardella D
83 Tristan Degreef Tristan Degreef 1 ⚽ 30' M 7.30
10 Yari Verschaeren Yari Verschaeren 1 ⚽ 54' M 7.60
Gent Gent 3-4-1-2
33
G 6.20
44 Siebe Van Der Heyden Siebe Van Der Heyden D 5.90
57
4 Daiki Hashioka Daiki Hashioka D 4.50
20 Tiago Araújo Tiago Araújo M 6.70
22 Leonardo Lopes Leonardo Lopes M 6.30
27 Tibe De Vlieger Tibe De Vlieger M 7.20
8 Michał Skóraś Michał Skóraś 88' M 7.50
24 Hong Hyun-seok Hong Hyun-seok 59' F 7.20
7 W. Kanga W. Kanga 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.20
21 Max Dean Max Dean 80' F 5.90
Bench
37 Abdelkahar Kadri Abdelkahar Kadri 38' M 6.70
10 Aimé Omgba Aimé Omgba M
45 Hyllarion Goore Hyllarion Goore 17' F 6.70
29 J. Duverne J. Duverne 9' D 6.00
Best on the pitch
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini
F · Anderlecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren
M · Anderlecht
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
G · Anderlecht
7.50
· 43 pass
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
M · Anderlecht
7.50
1 shots · 61 pass
Michał Skóraś
Michał Skóraś
M · Gent
7.50
1 shots · 30 pass
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef
M · Anderlecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.50 43 32%
Ludwig Augustinsson D 97 6.90 1 54 41% 3
M. Diarra D 97 6.60 86 78% 1
Marco Kana D 97 6.60 81 75%
Ali Maamar D 97 6.60 55 42% 2
E. Llansana M 68 7.00 43 40% 2
N. Saliba M 97 7.50 1 61 45% 3
Thorgan Hazard M 97 6.30 1 56 45%
Nathan De Cat M 43 6.30 1 10 7% 1
Mario Stroeykens M 67 6.20 34 29%
M. Cvetkovic
Adriano Bertaccini F 8 7.90 1 1 1 1% 1 1
Coba F 29 6.60 1 8 5%
Tristan Degreef M 30 7.30 1 1 9 7%
Yari Verschaeren M 54 7.60 1 1 39 38%
Gent Gent — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.20 33 18%
Siebe Van Der Heyden D 97 5.90 30 22% 2 1
Daiki Hashioka D 97 4.50 34 20%
Tiago Araújo M 97 6.70 36 22% 1
Leonardo Lopes M 97 6.30 21 16%
Tibe De Vlieger M 97 7.20 41 33% 3
Michał Skóraś M 88 7.50 1 30 24% 2 1
Hong Hyun-seok F 59 7.20 17 15% 4
W. Kanga F 88 7.20 1 5 19 13%
Max Dean F 80 5.90 3 11 6% 1
Abdelkahar Kadri M 38 6.70 16 12% 1
Hyllarion Goore F 17 6.70 1 2 2%
J. Duverne D 9 6.00 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Gent?
The final score was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs Gent?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Anderlecht win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Gent win.