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#5 · 16 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#1 · 25 pts
Y. Verschaeren 79'
T. Degreef 90'
A. Bertaccini 90'
(pen.) 22' W. Kanga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Gent 33%). The final result was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent. In 5 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Gent.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
6
1.53
Actual xG
2.13
5
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
22'
(pen.) W. Kanga⚽
37'
Michał Skóraś
↕ N. De Cat / Y. Verschaeren
43'
59'
A. Kadri / Hong Hyun-Seok ↕
↕ M. Stroeykens / T. Degreef
67'
↕ E. Llansana / C. da Costa
68'
78'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
⚽Y. Verschaeren
79'
80'
H. Goore / M. Dean ↕
88'
J. Duverne / M. Skoras ↕
88'
I. Cisse / W. Kanga ↕
↕ M. Cvetkovic / A. Bertaccini
89'
Adriano Bertaccini
90'+7
⚽T. Degreef
90'
⚽A. Bertaccini
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.98%
Anderlecht ←
24.48%
X
33.54%
Gent
we assigned to the actual result (Anderlecht) 41.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Anderlecht
1.52
1.53
+0.01
Gent
1.59
2.13
+0.54
Gent dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 9 25
2 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 9 24
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 9 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
32
G 7.50
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson D 6.90
93 M. Diarra M. Diarra D 6.60
55 M. Kana M. Kana D 6.60
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar D 6.60
24 Enric Llansana Enric Llansana 68' M 7.00
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 7.50
11 T. Hazard T. Hazard M 6.30
74 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat 43' M 6.30
29 Mario Stroeykens Mario Stroeykens 67' M 6.20
9
M. Cvetkovic
Bench
91 Adriano Bertaccini Adriano Bertaccini 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.90
77 Coba Coba 29' F 6.60
54 Killian Sardella Killian Sardella D
83 Tristan Degreef Tristan Degreef 1 ⚽ 30' M 7.30
10 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren 1 ⚽ 54' M 7.60
Gent Gent 3-4-1-2
33
G 6.20
44 S. Van der Heyden S. Van der Heyden D 5.90
57
4 D. Hashioka D. Hashioka D 4.50
20 Tiago Araújo Tiago Araújo M 6.70
22 Leonardo Lopes Leonardo Lopes M 6.30
27 Tibe De Vlieger Tibe De Vlieger M 7.20
8 M. Skóraś M. Skóraś 88' M 7.50
24 Hong Hyun-Seok Hong Hyun-Seok 59' F 7.20
7 W. Kanga W. Kanga 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.20
21 Max Dean Max Dean 80' F 5.90
Bench
37 Abdelkahar Kadri Abdelkahar Kadri 38' M 6.70
10 Aimé Omgba Aimé Omgba M
45 Hyllarion Goore Hyllarion Goore 17' F 6.70
29 J. Duverne J. Duverne 9' D 6.00
Best on the pitch
Adriano Bertaccini
Adriano Bertaccini
F · Anderlecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Y. Verschaeren
Y. Verschaeren
M · Anderlecht
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
G · Anderlecht
7.50
· 43 pass
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
M · Anderlecht
7.50
1 shots · 61 pass
M. Skóraś
M. Skóraś
M · Gent
7.50
1 shots · 30 pass
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef
M · Anderlecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.50 — — — 43 32% — — —
Ludwig Augustinsson D 97 6.90 — — 1 54 41% 3 — —
M. Diarra D 97 6.60 — — — 86 78% 1 — —
M. Kana D 97 6.60 — — — 81 75% — — —
Ali Maamar D 97 6.60 — — — 55 42% 2 — —
Enric Llansana M 68 7.00 — — — 43 40% 2 — —
N. Saliba M 97 7.50 — — 1 61 45% 3 — —
T. Hazard M 97 6.30 — — 1 56 45% — — —
Nathan De Cat M 43 6.30 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
Mario Stroeykens M 67 6.20 — — — 34 29% — — —
M. Cvetkovic — — — — — — — — — —
Adriano Bertaccini F 8 7.90 1 — 1 1 1% 1 1 —
Coba F 29 6.60 — — 1 8 5% — — —
Tristan Degreef M 30 7.30 1 — 1 9 7% — — —
Y. Verschaeren M 54 7.60 1 — 1 39 38% — — —
Gent Gent — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.20 — — — 33 18% — — —
S. Van der Heyden D 97 5.90 — — — 30 22% 2 1 —
— — — — — — — — — —
D. Hashioka D 97 4.50 — — — 34 20% — — —
Tiago Araújo M 97 6.70 — — — 36 22% 1 — —
Leonardo Lopes M 97 6.30 — — — 21 16% — — —
Tibe De Vlieger M 97 7.20 — — — 41 33% 3 — —
M. Skóraś M 88 7.50 — — 1 30 24% 2 1 —
Hong Hyun-Seok F 59 7.20 — — — 17 15% 4 — —
W. Kanga F 88 7.20 1 — 5 19 13% — — —
Max Dean F 80 5.90 — — 3 11 6% 1 — —
Abdelkahar Kadri M 38 6.70 — — — 16 12% 1 — —
Hyllarion Goore F 17 6.70 — — 1 2 2% — — —
J. Duverne D 9 6.00 — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Gent?
The final score was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs Gent?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Anderlecht win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Gent win.