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#7 · 10 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#2 · 16 pts
Y. Verschaeren 79'
T. Degreef 90'
A. Bertaccini 90'
(pen.) 22' W. Kanga
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Gent 33%). The final result was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent. In 4 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gent.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
6
1.53
Actual xG
2.13
5
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
22'
(pen.) W. Kanga
37'
Michał Skóraś
N. De Cat / Y. Verschaeren
43'
59'
A. Kadri / Hong Hyun-Seok
M. Stroeykens / T. Degreef
67'
E. Llansana / C. da Costa
68'
78'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
Y. Verschaeren
79'
80'
H. Goore / M. Dean
88'
J. Duverne / M. Skoras
88'
I. Cisse / W. Kanga
M. Cvetkovic / A. Bertaccini
89'
Adriano Bertaccini
90'+7
T. Degreef
90'
A. Bertaccini
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.98%
Anderlecht ←
24.48%
X
33.54%
Gent
we assigned to the actual result (Anderlecht) 41.98% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Anderlecht
1.52
1.53
+0.01
Gent
1.59
2.13
+0.54
Gent dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 6 16
2 Gent Gent 6 16
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 6 15
4 Charleroi Charleroi 6 15
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 6 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 6 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 6 9
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Antwerp Antwerp 6 7
12 Lommel United Lommel United 6 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 6 7
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 6 3
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 6 1
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
32
G 7.50
6 L. Augustinsson L. Augustinsson D 6.90
93 Moussa Diarra Moussa Diarra D 6.60
55 M. Kana M. Kana D 6.60
79 A. Maamar A. Maamar D 6.60
24 E. Llansana E. Llansana 68' M 7.00
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba M 7.50
11 T. Hazard T. Hazard M 6.30
74 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat 43' M 6.30
29
Mario Stroeykens 67' M 6.20
9
M. Cvetkovic
Bench
91
Adriano Bertaccini 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.90
77 Coba Coba 29' F 6.60
54 Killian Sardella Killian Sardella D
83 T. Degreef T. Degreef 1 ⚽ 30' M 7.30
10 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren 1 ⚽ 54' M 7.60
Gent Gent 3-4-1-2
33
G 6.20
44 S. Van der Heyden S. Van der Heyden D 5.90
57
4 D. Hashioka D. Hashioka D 4.50
20 Tiago Araújo Tiago Araújo M 6.70
22 Leonardo Lopes Leonardo Lopes M 6.30
27 T. De Vlieger T. De Vlieger M 7.20
8 M. Skóraś M. Skóraś 88' M 7.50
24 Hong Hyun-Seok Hong Hyun-Seok 59' F 7.20
7 W. Kanga W. Kanga 1 ⚽ 88' F 7.20
21
Max Dean 80' F 5.90
Bench
37 A. Kadri A. Kadri 38' M 6.70
10 A. Omgba A. Omgba M
45 B. Goore B. Goore 17' F 6.70
29
Jean-Kévin Duverne 9' D 6.00
Best on the pitch
Adriano Bertaccini
F · Anderlecht
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Y. Verschaeren
Y. Verschaeren
M · Anderlecht
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
G · Anderlecht
7.50
· 43 pass
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
M · Anderlecht
7.50
1 shots · 61 pass
M. Skóraś
M. Skóraś
M · Gent
7.50
1 shots · 30 pass
T. Degreef
T. Degreef
M · Anderlecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 7.50 43 32%
L. Augustinsson D 97 6.90 1 54 41% 3
Moussa Diarra D 97 6.60 86 78% 1
M. Kana D 97 6.60 81 75%
A. Maamar D 97 6.60 55 42% 2
E. Llansana M 68 7.00 43 40% 2
N. Saliba M 97 7.50 1 61 45% 3
T. Hazard M 97 6.30 1 56 45%
Nathan De Cat M 43 6.30 1 10 7% 1
Mario Stroeykens M 67 6.20 34 29%
M. Cvetkovic
Adriano Bertaccini F 8 7.90 1 1 1 1% 1 1
Coba F 29 6.60 1 8 5%
T. Degreef M 30 7.30 1 1 9 7%
Y. Verschaeren M 54 7.60 1 1 39 38%
Gent Gent — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.20 33 18%
S. Van der Heyden D 97 5.90 30 22% 2 1
D. Hashioka D 97 4.50 34 20%
Tiago Araújo M 97 6.70 36 22% 1
Leonardo Lopes M 97 6.30 21 16%
T. De Vlieger M 97 7.20 41 33% 3
M. Skóraś M 88 7.50 1 30 24% 2 1
Hong Hyun-Seok F 59 7.20 17 15% 4
W. Kanga F 88 7.20 1 5 19 13%
Max Dean F 80 5.90 3 11 6% 1
A. Kadri M 38 6.70 16 12% 1
B. Goore F 17 6.70 1 2 2%
Jean-Kévin Duverne D 9 6.00 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Gent?
The final score was Anderlecht 3–1 Gent.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs Gent?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Anderlecht win, 24% to a draw, and 33% to an Gent win.