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Pro League · Championship Group - 38 May 17, 2026 13:30
Anderlecht
#4 · 33 pts
2 – 2
Final score
KV Mechelen
#6 · 29 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Anderlecht, result Draw
N. Saliba (ast. D. Sikan) 17'
I. Camara (ast. A. Maamar) 90'+1
15' M. van Brederode
60' (ast. M. van Brederode) T. Koudou
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 66% win probability (draw 16%, KV Mechelen 16%). The final result was Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen. In 3 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for KV Mechelen.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
1.16
1
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
15'
M. van Brederode⚽
⚽N. Saliba · ast. D. Sikan
17'
39'
R. Halhal
42'
D. Salifou
46'
O. De Wolf / N. Miras ↕
60'
ast. M. van Brederode · T. Koudou⚽
↕ C. S. Huerta Valera / A. Bertaccini
61'
69'
M. Konate / D. Salifou ↕
↕ M. Diarra / K. Sardella
72'
↕ D. Sikan / T. Hazard
72'
↕ E. Llansana / M. Kana
73'
79'
B. Antonio / K. Mrabti ↕
↕ N. Saliba / A. Maamar
83'
85'
B. Raman / B. Boersma ↕
85'
M. Decoene / T. Koudou ↕
88'
M. Decoene
⚽I. Camara · ast. A. Maamar
90'+1
90'
M. Konate
Pre-match prediction
66.6%
Anderlecht
16.75%
X ←
16.65%
KV
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 16.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Anderlecht
2.79
0.94
-1.85
KV
1.23
1.16
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 1.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 40 57
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 40 53
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 40 43
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 40 33
5 Gent Gent 40 29
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 40 29
Lineups
Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2-3-1
26 Colin Coosemans Colin Coosemans G 6.30
6 Ludwig Augustinsson Ludwig Augustinsson D 6.90
93 Moussa Diarra Moussa Diarra 72' D 6.60
3 Lucas Hey Lucas Hey D 7.30
7 Ilay Camara Ilay Camara 1 ⚽ D 7.90
24 Enric Llansana Enric Llansana 73' M 6.20
13 N. Saliba N. Saliba 1 ⚽ 83' M 7.60
83 T. Degreef T. Degreef M 6.30
74 Nathan De Cat Nathan De Cat M 6.70
21 César Huerta César Huerta 61' M 5.90
14 D. Sikan D. Sikan 1 👟 72' F 7.20
Bench
91 Adriano Bertaccini Adriano Bertaccini 34' F 6.50
79 Ali Maamar Ali Maamar 1 👟 12' D 6.90
99 Ibrahim Kanate Ibrahim Kanate M
61 Joshua Nga Kana Joshua Nga Kana M
32 Justin Heekeren Justin Heekeren G
54 Killian Sardella Killian Sardella 23' D 6.90
55 Marco Kana Marco Kana 22' D 6.70
4 Mathys Angely Mathys Angely D
23 Mats Rits Mats Rits M
11 T. Hazard T. Hazard 23' M 6.50
10 Yari Verschaeren Yari Verschaeren M
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 3-4-2-1
13 Nacho Miras Nacho Miras 45' G 7.30
3 José Marsà José Marsà D 6.20
2 R. Halhal R. Halhal D 6.30
33 Tommy St Jago Tommy St Jago D 7.30
17 Mathis Servais Mathis Servais M 6.60
29 Dikeni Salifou Dikeni Salifou 69' M 6.50
6 F. Hammar F. Hammar M 6.30
7 Thérence Koudou Thérence Koudou 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
9 M. van Brederode M. van Brederode 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.50
19 Kerim Mrabti Kerim Mrabti 79' F 6.30
28 Bouke Boersma Bouke Boersma 85' F 6.00
Bench
11 Bilal Bafdili Bilal Bafdili M
38 Bill Antonio Bill Antonio 16' F 6.30
14 B. Raman B. Raman 10' F 6.50
4 G. Diouf G. Diouf D
27 Keano Vanrafelghem Keano Vanrafelghem F
39 Massimo Decoene Massimo Decoene 10' M 6.30
34 Mauro Lenaerts Mauro Lenaerts F
8 Mory Konate Mory Konate 26' M 6.20
1 Ortwin De Wolf Ortwin De Wolf 50' G 6.70
Best on the pitch
M. van Brederode
M. van Brederode
F · KV
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
Thérence Koudou
Thérence Koudou
M · KV
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara
D · Anderlecht
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
N. Saliba
N. Saliba
M · Anderlecht
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Lucas Hey
Lucas Hey
D · Anderlecht
7.30
· 83 pass
Tommy St Jago
Tommy St Jago
D · KV
7.30
· 54 pass
Anderlecht Anderlecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Colin Coosemans G 95 6.30 — — — 30 23% — — —
Ludwig Augustinsson D 95 6.90 — — — 59 50% 6 — —
Moussa Diarra D 72 6.60 — — — 58 51% 2 — —
Lucas Hey D 95 7.30 — — — 83 78% — — —
Ilay Camara D 95 7.90 1 — 3 63 50% 5 — —
Enric Llansana M 73 6.20 — — 1 36 28% — — —
N. Saliba M 83 7.60 1 — 2 36 30% 1 — —
T. Degreef M 95 6.30 — — — 21 10% 1 — —
Nathan De Cat M 95 6.70 — — 1 36 27% — — —
César Huerta M 61 5.90 — — 2 19 16% 3 — —
D. Sikan F 72 7.20 — 1 3 16 10% 1 — —
Adriano Bertaccini F 34 6.50 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Ali Maamar D 12 6.90 — 1 — 6 2% — — —
Killian Sardella D 23 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Marco Kana D 22 6.70 — — — 18 16% — — —
T. Hazard M 23 6.50 — — — 12 9% — — —
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nacho Miras G 45 7.30 — — — 14 7% — — —
José Marsà D 95 6.20 — — 1 44 33% 3 — —
R. Halhal D 95 6.30 — — — 40 36% — 1 —
Tommy St Jago D 95 7.30 — — — 54 42% 4 — —
Mathis Servais M 95 6.60 — — 1 23 17% — — —
Dikeni Salifou M 69 6.50 — — — 21 15% 5 1 —
F. Hammar M 95 6.30 — — — 25 20% — — —
Thérence Koudou M 85 8.20 1 — 2 35 30% 1 — —
M. van Brederode F 95 8.50 1 1 1 38 26% 1 — —
Kerim Mrabti F 79 6.30 — — — 24 19% 2 — —
Bouke Boersma F 85 6.00 — — 1 13 6% — — —
Bill Antonio F 16 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
B. Raman F 10 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Massimo Decoene M 10 6.30 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
Mory Konate M 26 6.20 — — — 5 3% — 1 —
Ortwin De Wolf G 50 6.70 — — — 15 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Anderlecht win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an KV Mechelen win.