Pro League
· Championship Group - 38
May 17, 2026 13:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Anderlecht, result Draw
N. Saliba
(ast. D. Sikan)
17'
I. Camara
(ast. A. Maamar)
90'+1
15'
M. van Brederode
60'
(ast. M. van Brederode)
T. Koudou
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Anderlecht a 66% win probability (draw 16%, KV Mechelen 16%). The final result was Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen. In 4 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for KV Mechelen.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
1.16
1
Saves
7
59%
Possession
41%
2
Corners
2
19
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
15'
M. van Brederode⚽
⚽N. Saliba
· ast. D. Sikan
17'
39'
R. Halhal
42'
D. Salifou
46'
O. De Wolf
/
N. Miras
60'
ast. M. van Brederode ·
T. Koudou⚽
C. S. Huerta Valera
/ A. Bertaccini
61'
69'
M. Konate
/
D. Salifou
M. Diarra
/ K. Sardella
72'
D. Sikan
/ T. Hazard
72'
E. Llansana
/ M. Kana
73'
79'
B. Antonio
/
K. Mrabti
N. Saliba
/ A. Maamar
83'
85'
B. Raman
/
B. Boersma
85'
M. Decoene
/
T. Koudou
88'
M. Decoene
⚽I. Camara
· ast. A. Maamar
90'+1
90'
M. Konate
Pre-match prediction
66.6%
Anderlecht
16.75%
X ←
16.65%
KV
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.79
0.94
-1.85
1.23
1.16
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.94 – 1.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
C. Coosemans
G
C. Coosemans
G
6
L. Augustinsson
D
L. Augustinsson
D
93
Moussa Diarra
72'
D
Moussa Diarra
72'
D
3
Lucas Hey
D
Lucas Hey
D
7
Ilay Camara
1 ⚽
D
Ilay Camara
1 ⚽
D
24
E. Llansana
73'
M
E. Llansana
73'
M
13
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
83'
M
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
83'
M
83
Tristan Degreef
M
Tristan Degreef
M
74
Nathan De Cat
M
Nathan De Cat
M
21
C. Huerta
61'
M
C. Huerta
61'
M
14
D. Sikan
1 👟
72'
F
D. Sikan
1 👟
72'
F
Bench
91
Adriano Bertaccini
34'
F
79
A. Maamar
1 👟
12'
D
A. Maamar
1 👟
12'
D
99
I. Kanate
M
I. Kanate
M
32
J. Heekeren
G
J. Heekeren
G
61
Joshua Nga Kana
M
Joshua Nga Kana
M
54
Killian Sardella
23'
D
Killian Sardella
23'
D
4
M. Angely
D
M. Angely
D
23
Mats Rits
M
Mats Rits
M
55
M. Kana
22'
D
M. Kana
22'
D
11
T. Hazard
23'
M
T. Hazard
23'
M
10
Y. Verschaeren
M
Y. Verschaeren
M
13
Nacho Mirás
45'
G
Nacho Mirás
45'
G
3
José Marsà
D
José Marsà
D
2
R. Halhal
D
R. Halhal
D
33
Tommy St Jago
D
Tommy St Jago
D
17
M. Servais
M
M. Servais
M
29
Dikeni Salifou
69'
M
Dikeni Salifou
69'
M
6
F. Hammar
M
F. Hammar
M
7
T. Koudou
1 ⚽
85'
M
T. Koudou
1 ⚽
85'
M
9
M. van Brederode
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
M. van Brederode
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
19
Kerim Mrabti
79'
F
28
Bouke Boersma
85'
F
Bouke Boersma
85'
F
Bench
38
B. Antonio
16'
F
B. Antonio
16'
F
11
B. Bafdili
M
B. Bafdili
M
14
B. Raman
10'
F
B. Raman
10'
F
4
Gora Diouf
D
Gora Diouf
D
27
K. Van Rafelghem
F
K. Van Rafelghem
F
34
Mauro Lenaerts
F
Mauro Lenaerts
F
39
M. Decoene
10'
M
M. Decoene
10'
M
8
M. Konaté
26'
M
M. Konaté
26'
M
1
O. De Wolf
50'
G
O. De Wolf
50'
G
Best on the pitch
M. van Brederode
F · KV
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
T. Koudou
M · KV
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 35 pass
Ilay Camara
D · Anderlecht
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
N. Saliba
M · Anderlecht
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 36 pass
Lucas Hey
D · Anderlecht
7.30
· 83 pass
Tommy St Jago
D · KV
7.30
· 54 pass
Anderlecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Coosemans | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Augustinsson | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 6 | — | — |
| Moussa Diarra | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Hey | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Ilay Camara | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 63 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Llansana | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 83 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Tristan Degreef | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan De Cat | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Huerta | M | 61 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Sikan | F | 72 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Bertaccini | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Maamar | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Killian Sardella | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Kana | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Hazard | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
KV Mechelen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacho Mirás | G | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| José Marsà | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Halhal | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| Tommy St Jago | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Servais | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Dikeni Salifou | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 5 | 1 | — |
| F. Hammar | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Koudou | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van Brederode | F | 95 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Kerim Mrabti | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Bouke Boersma | F | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Antonio | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Raman | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Decoene | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Konaté | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| O. De Wolf | G | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
The final score was Anderlecht 2–2 KV Mechelen.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Anderlecht win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an KV Mechelen win.