Skip to main content
← Europa League

Anderlecht - Lyon

Europa League September 16, 2026 21:00
Anderlecht
#1 · 0 pts
vs
Lyon
#21 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.22%
Win
Anderlecht
20.21%
Draw
23.58%
Win
Lyon
2.42
Expected xG
1.4
Most likely outcome
Anderlecht
56.22%
Probability
50.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.22%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 20%
2 24%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 76%
X2 44%
12 80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 75%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Anderlecht a 56% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Lyon. Expected goals are 2.4 for Anderlecht and 1.4 for Lyon (total 3.8), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.22% probability.

Season Stats

Anderlecht
6W 1D 1L
Lyon
7W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.9
0.8
Conceded
0.8
5.0
Shots OT
5.2
6.5
Corners
4.1
54%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
80%
63%
O 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
Anderlecht
4W 0D 0L · at home
Lyon
3W 1D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.8
0.8
Conceded
0.6
100%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
75%
O 1.5
60%
75%
O 2.5
20%
50%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Anderlecht Lyon →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.5% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Anderlecht Anderlecht
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
W PAOK 3–2
W PAOK 0–1
W Hammarby FF 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Lyon Lyon
L Celta Vigo 0–2
D Celta Vigo 1–1
W PAOK 4–2
W BSC Young Boys 0–1
W GO Ahead Eagles 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
43
Defence
75
Form
66
Lyon Lyon
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs Lyon?
The model gives Anderlecht a 56% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 23% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Expected goals: Anderlecht 2.4, Lyon 1.4 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.22%.