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Anderlecht - PAOK

Europa League August 13, 2026 20:30
Anderlecht
vs
PAOK
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.27%
Win
Anderlecht
33.44%
Draw
35.29%
Win
PAOK
1.0
Expected xG
1.19

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.32%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 69%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 43%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives PAOK a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Anderlecht. Expected goals are 1.0 for Anderlecht and 1.2 for PAOK (total 2.2), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.32% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PAOK.

Season Stats

Anderlecht
3W 1D 1L
PAOK
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.9
0.8
Conceded
1.4
4.0
Shots OT
5.1
5.5
Corners
3.9
36%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
47%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
57%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
Anderlecht
2W 0D 0L · at home
PAOK
3W 1D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.8
0.5
Conceded
2.1
100%
Win %
38%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
63%
50%
O 2.5
63%
50%
O 3.5
63%
50%
BTTS
63%
50%
Clean Sht
13%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Anderlecht PAOK →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 13.4% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Anderlecht Anderlecht
W PAOK 0–1
W Hammarby FF 3–1
D Hammarby FF 1–1
L BK Hacken 2–1
W BK Hacken 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
PAOK PAOK
L Anderlecht 0–1
W Dynamo Kyiv 2–0
W Dynamo Kyiv 2–3
L Celta Vigo 1–0
L Celta Vigo 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
37
Defence
74
Form
68
PAOK PAOK
Attack
64
Defence
63
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Anderlecht
0
Draw
0
PAOK
6 Aug 2026 Europa League 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs PAOK?
The model gives Anderlecht a 31% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an PAOK win.
How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Expected goals: Anderlecht 1.0, PAOK 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Anderlecht vs PAOK?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.32%.