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Anderlecht - Red Bull Salzburg

Europa League November 05, 2026 18:45
Anderlecht
#23 · 0 pts
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
#14 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.8%
Win
Anderlecht
22.2%
Draw
39.0%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
1.72
Expected xG
1.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.02%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 22%
2 39%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 61%
X2 61%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 39% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Anderlecht. Expected goals are 1.7 for Anderlecht and 1.8 for Red Bull Salzburg (total 3.5), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.02% probability.

Season Stats

Anderlecht
6W 1D 2L
Red Bull Salzburg
6W 1D 6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
1.4
5.0
Shots OT
5.7
6.4
Corners
4.5
55%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
62%
67%
O 2.5
46%
56%
BTTS
38%
44%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
52%
BTTS
Anderlecht
4W 0D 1L · at home
Red Bull Salzburg
2W 1D 4L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.9
80%
Win %
29%
80%
Win or Draw
43%
80%
O 1.5
57%
80%
O 2.5
43%
40%
O 3.5
43%
60%
BTTS
43%
40%
Clean Sht
29%
0%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Anderlecht Red Bull Salzburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 5.4% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Anderlecht Anderlecht
L Lyon 1–2
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
W PAOK 3–2
W PAOK 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
W Levski Sofia 0–1
W Mjallby AIF 3–0
W Mjallby AIF 0–1
D Pafos 3–3
W Pafos 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 44%

Playing profile

Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
45
Defence
73
Form
53
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model gives Anderlecht a 38% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 39% for an Red Bull Salzburg win.
How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Expected goals: Anderlecht 1.7, Red Bull Salzburg 1.8 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.02%.