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Anderlecht - Sunderland

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
Anderlecht
#22 · 3 pts
vs
Sunderland
#9 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.06%
Win
Anderlecht
30.02%
Draw
31.92%
Win
Sunderland
1.61
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.24%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 38%
X 30%
2 32%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 68%
X2 62%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Anderlecht a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Sunderland. Expected goals are 1.6 for Anderlecht and 1.2 for Sunderland (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.24% probability.

Season Stats

Anderlecht
7W 1D 3L
Sunderland
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
0.7
5.6
Shots OT
7.0
5.4
Corners
8.7
56%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
67%
64%
O 2.5
33%
45%
BTTS
67%
45%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
Anderlecht
4W 0D 1L · at home
Sunderland
1W 1D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
80%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
0%
60%
BTTS
100%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Anderlecht Sunderland →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Anderlecht Anderlecht
W Jagiellonia 0–3
L Dinamo Zagreb 1–0
L Lyon 1–2
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Sunderland Sunderland
D Lech Poznan 1–1
W Torreense 1–2
W AZ Alkmaar 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
46
Defence
64
Form
43
Sunderland Sunderland
Attack
40
Defence
56
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Anderlecht vs Sunderland?
The model gives Anderlecht a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Sunderland win.
How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs Sunderland?
Expected goals: Anderlecht 1.6, Sunderland 1.2 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Anderlecht vs Sunderland?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.24%.