Pro League · Championship Group - 35 April 26, 2026 18:30

Anderlecht

#5 · 16 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Union St. Gilloise

#3 · 23 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Union St. Gilloise

M. Cvetkovic (ast. A. Maamar) 32'

17' (ast. A. Khalaili) A. Zorgane

25' (ast. A. Ait El Hadj) A. Zorgane

65' Guilherme Smith

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Anderlecht 21%). The final result was Anderlecht 1–3 Union St. Gilloise. In 5 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for Union St. Gilloise.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

10

3

Shots on target

4

1.12

Actual xG

0.48

1

Saves

2

56%

Possession

44%

4

Corners

3

16

Tackles

20

1

🟨 Yellow cards

3

1

🟥 Red cards

0

Match Events

17'

ast. A. Khalaili · A. Zorgane⚽

19'

R. Sykes

25'

ast. A. Ait El Hadj · A. Zorgane⚽

⚽M. Cvetkovic · ast. A. Maamar

32'

M. Cvetkovic

42'

45'+6

K. Rodriguez

K. Sardella

45'+7

↕ I. Camara / L. Hey

46'

↕ M. Cvetkovic / A. Bertaccini

61'

65'

Guilherme Smith⚽

66'

O. Niang / R. Florucz ↕

68'

K. Mac Allister

↕ Y. Verschaeren / I. Kanate

70'

76'

L. Patris / A. Khalaili ↕

76'

R. Schoofs / A. Zorgane ↕

81'

I. Pavlic / Guilherme Smith ↕

81'

M. Fuseini / K. Rodriguez ↕

↕ N. Saliba / K. Nga

81'

↕ M. Diarra / M. Angely

81'

J. Taravel

90'+2

I. Kanate

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

21.69%

Anderlecht

21.12%

X

57.19%

Union ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Union St. Gilloise) 57.19% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Anderlecht

1.13

1.12

-0.01

Union

2.29

0.48

-1.81

Anderlecht dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.48). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gent	9	25
2	Club Brugge KV	9	24
3	Union St. Gilloise	9	23
4	Charleroi	9	21
5	Anderlecht	9	16
6	Genk	9	15
7	KVC Westerlo	9	14
8	Lommel United	9	12
9	Standard Liege	9	11
10	Zulte Waregem	9	11
11	Antwerp	9	10
12	SK Beveren	9	10
13	St. Truiden	9	8
14	RAAL La Louvière	9	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	6
16	OH Leuven	9	6
17	Kortrijk	8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	3

Lineups

Anderlecht 4-2-3-1

26

G 5.70

79 Ali Maamar 1 👟 D 6.60

93 M. Diarra 81' D 6.50

54 Killian Sardella 52' D 5.90

7 Ilay Camara 45' D 6.20

13 N. Saliba 81' M 6.20

55 M. Kana M 6.90

83 Tristan Degreef M 6.00

10 Y. Verschaeren 70' M 6.50

9 Mihajlo Cvetković 61' M 7.30

11 T. Hazard F 6.30

Bench

91 Adriano Bertaccini 29' F 6.20

77 Coba F

99 I. Kanate 20' M 6.30

6 Ludwig Augustinsson D

4 M. Angely 9' D 6.70

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1

37

G 6.60

26 Ross Sykes D 6.90

16 Christian Burgess D 6.70

5 K. Mac Allister D 7.00

11 Guilherme Smith 1 ⚽ 81' M 8.20

6 Kamiel Van de Perre M 6.50

8 Adem Zorgane 2 ⚽ 76' M 9.20

25 A. Khalaili 1 👟 76' M 6.90

10 Anouar Ait El Hadj 1 👟 F 7.20

30 R. Florucz 66' F 6.00

13 Kevin Rodriguez 81' F 6.50

Bench

14 Ivan Pavlić 9' M 6.70

29 Massire Sylla D

22 Ousseynou Niang 24' M 6.60

17 R. Schoofs 14' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

Adem Zorgane

M · Union

9.20

2 ⚽

2 shots · 32 pass

Guilherme Smith

M · Union

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

Mihajlo Cvetković

M · Anderlecht

7.30

1 shots · 12 pass

Anouar Ait El Hadj

F · Union

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 29 pass

K. Mac Allister

D · Union

7.00

· 42 pass

A. Khalaili

M · Union

6.90

1 👟

1 shots · 36 pass

Anderlecht — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.70	—	—	—	45	35%	—	—	—
Ali Maamar	D	90	6.60	—	1	—	54	42%	4	—	—
M. Diarra	D	81	6.50	—	—	2	49	39%	1	—	—
Killian Sardella	D	52	5.90	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	1
Ilay Camara	D	45	6.20	—	—	1	34	29%	2	—	—
N. Saliba	M	81	6.20	—	—	—	36	26%	—	—	—
M. Kana	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	54	46%	4	—	—
Tristan Degreef	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	24	16%	1	—	—
Y. Verschaeren	M	70	6.50	—	—	1	28	27%	1	—	—
Mihajlo Cvetković	M	61	7.30	—	—	1	12	12%	—	1	—
T. Hazard	F	90	6.30	—	—	2	35	30%	1	—	—
Adriano Bertaccini	F	29	6.20	—	—	1	3	2%	—	—	—
I. Kanate	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
M. Angely	D	9	6.70	—	—	—	13	11%	1	—	—

Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	28	17%	—	—	—
Ross Sykes	D	90	6.90	—	—	3	49	43%	3	1	—
Christian Burgess	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	36	29%	2	—	—
K. Mac Allister	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	42	35%	5	1	—
Guilherme Smith	M	81	8.20	1	—	1	22	21%	1	—	—
Kamiel Van de Perre	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	44	37%	3	—	—
Adem Zorgane	M	76	9.20	2	—	2	32	30%	1	—	—
A. Khalaili	M	76	6.90	—	1	1	36	25%	2	—	—
Anouar Ait El Hadj	F	90	7.20	—	1	1	29	27%	2	—	—
R. Florucz	F	66	6.00	—	—	1	15	10%	1	—	—
Kevin Rodriguez	F	81	6.50	—	—	—	10	6%	—	1	—
Ivan Pavlić	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Ousseynou Niang	M	24	6.60	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
R. Schoofs	M	14	6.70	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—