Pro League
· Championship Group - 35
April 26, 2026 18:30
✓Model correct — prediction Union St. Gilloise
M. Cvetkovic
(ast. A. Maamar)
32'
17'
(ast. A. Khalaili)
A. Zorgane
25'
(ast. A. Ait El Hadj)
A. Zorgane
65'
Guilherme Smith
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Union St. Gilloise a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Anderlecht 21%). The final result was Anderlecht 1–3 Union St. Gilloise. In 4 previous meetings, Anderlecht have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Union St. Gilloise.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
1.12
Actual xG
0.48
1
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
3
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
ast. A. Khalaili ·
A. Zorgane⚽
19'
R. Sykes
25'
ast. A. Ait El Hadj ·
A. Zorgane⚽
⚽M. Cvetkovic
· ast. A. Maamar
32'
M. Cvetkovic
42'
45'+6
K. Rodriguez
K. Sardella
45'+7
I. Camara
/ L. Hey
46'
M. Cvetkovic
/ A. Bertaccini
61'
65'
Guilherme Smith⚽
66'
O. Niang
/
R. Florucz
68'
K. Mac Allister
Y. Verschaeren
/ I. Kanate
70'
76'
L. Patris
/
A. Khalaili
76'
R. Schoofs
/
A. Zorgane
81'
I. Pavlic
/
Guilherme Smith
81'
M. Fuseini
/
K. Rodriguez
N. Saliba
/ K. Nga
81'
M. Diarra
/ M. Angely
81'
J. Taravel
90'+2
I. Kanate
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
21.69%
Anderlecht
21.12%
X
57.19%
Union ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Union St. Gilloise)
57.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
1.12
-0.01
2.29
0.48
-1.81
Anderlecht dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
26
G
79
Ali Maamar
1 👟
D
93
Moussa Diarra
81'
D
Moussa Diarra
81'
D
54
Killian Sardella
52'
D
Killian Sardella
52'
D
7
Ilay Camara
45'
D
Ilay Camara
45'
D
13
N. Saliba
81'
M
N. Saliba
81'
M
55
Marco Kana
M
83
Tristan Degreef
M
10
Yari Verschaeren
70'
M
Yari Verschaeren
70'
M
9
Mihajlo Cvetković
61'
M
11
T. Hazard
F
T. Hazard
F
Bench
91
Adriano Bertaccini
29'
F
77
Coba
F
Coba
F
99
Ibrahim Kanate
20'
M
Ibrahim Kanate
20'
M
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
D
4
Mathys Angely
9'
D
Mathys Angely
9'
D
37
G
26
R. Sykes
D
R. Sykes
D
16
Christian Burgess
D
5
K. Mac Allister
D
K. Mac Allister
D
11
Guilherme Smith
1 ⚽
81'
M
Guilherme Smith
1 ⚽
81'
M
6
K. Van de Perre
M
K. Van de Perre
M
8
A. Zorgane
2 ⚽
76'
M
A. Zorgane
2 ⚽
76'
M
25
Anan Khalaili
1 👟
76'
M
Anan Khalaili
1 👟
76'
M
10
Anouar Ait El Hadj
1 👟
F
Anouar Ait El Hadj
1 👟
F
30
Raul Florucz
66'
F
Raul Florucz
66'
F
13
K. Rodríguez
81'
F
K. Rodríguez
81'
F
Bench
14
Ivan Pavlić
9'
M
Ivan Pavlić
9'
M
29
Massire Sylla
D
Massire Sylla
D
22
Ousseynou Niang
24'
M
Ousseynou Niang
24'
M
17
Rob Schoofs
14'
M
Rob Schoofs
14'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Zorgane
M · Union
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Guilherme Smith
M · Union
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Mihajlo Cvetković
M · Anderlecht
7.30
1 shots
· 12 pass
Anouar Ait El Hadj
F · Union
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
K. Mac Allister
D · Union
7.00
· 42 pass
Anan Khalaili
M · Union
6.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 36 pass
Anderlecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| Ali Maamar | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Moussa Diarra | D | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Killian Sardella | D | 52 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Ilay Camara | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Marco Kana | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 46% | 4 | — | — |
| Tristan Degreef | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Yari Verschaeren | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Mihajlo Cvetković | M | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Hazard | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Bertaccini | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Kanate | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mathys Angely | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Union St. Gilloise — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| R. Sykes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Christian Burgess | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mac Allister | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Smith | M | 81 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Van de Perre | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Zorgane | M | 76 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Anan Khalaili | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Raul Florucz | F | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Rodríguez | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Ivan Pavlić | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ousseynou Niang | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rob Schoofs | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
The final score was Anderlecht 1–3 Union St. Gilloise.
What did the model predict before Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Anderlecht win, 21% to a draw, and 57% to an Union St. Gilloise win.