Guillaume Sylvain Lopez
17'
36'
(ast. Teddy Teuma)
Irvin Cardona
81'
(ast. Irvin Cardona)
Teddy Teuma
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Malta a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Andorra 28%). The final result was Andorra 1–2 Malta. In 3 previous meetings, Andorra have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Malta.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
0.76
Actual xG
3.03
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
2
Match Events
Ian Olivera
4'
Moisés San Nicolás
14'
⚽Guillaume Sylvain Lopez
17'
34'
Alexander·Satariano
36'
ast. Teddy Teuma ·
Irvin Cardona⚽
45'
Juan Corbalan
/
Zach Muscat
Gerard Garcia
54'
Eric·Izquierdo
62'
Guillaume Sylvain Lopez
/ Albert Rosas Ubach
67'
Eric·Izquierdo
/ jordi alaez
67'
74'
Paiber Brandon Diego
/
Alexander·Satariano
75'
Keyon Ewurum
/
Paul Mbong
Gerard Garcia
/ Alexandre Martínez
76'
81'
ast. Irvin Cardona ·
Teddy Teuma⚽
85'
(missed pen.)
Ylyas Chouaref⚽
Moisés San Nicolás
/ Alex Cornella Molins
87'
Ot Planes
/ Eric Vales
87'
89'
Jake Grech
/
Teddy Teuma
90'+2
Kurt Shaw
Albert Rosas Ubach
90'
Pre-match prediction
28.16%
Andorra
27.71%
X
44.13%
Malta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Malta)
44.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
0.76
-0.22
1.39
3.03
+1.64
Malta dominated by xG (3.03 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Andorra vs Malta?
The final score was Andorra 1–2 Malta.
What did the model predict before Andorra vs Malta?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Andorra win, 27% to a draw, and 44% to an Malta win.