Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
October 06, 2026 21:00
Milson
(ast. Junior Sambu Mansoni)
2'
Mabululu
(ast. Pedro Bondo Francisco)
38'
Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
(ast. Pedro Bondo Francisco)
70'
(og)
45'+2
Kialonda Gaspar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Angola a 39% win probability (draw 34%, Malawi 26%). The final result was Angola 3–1 Malawi.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
0
9
Shots on target
2
72%
Possession
28%
13
Corners
2
12
Tackles
1
Match Events
⚽Milson
· ast. Junior Sambu Mansoni
2'
6'
M. Lameck
⚽Mabululu
· ast. Pedro Bondo Francisco
38'
45'+2
(og)
Kialonda Gaspar⚽
45'
Yankho Singo
/
B. Singini
45'
Mayele Malango
/
M. Lameck
Zito Luvumbo
/ Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
68'
Mabululu
/ Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
68'
⚽Valdemiro Pinto Domingos
· ast. Pedro Bondo Francisco
70'
Show
/ Mario Balburdia
76'
78'
Francisco Madinga
/
Gaddie Chirwa
78'
Richard Mbulu
/
Patrick Mwaungulu
Pedro Bondo Francisco
/ Fernando Inácio da Costa
84'
Milson
/ Deivi Miguel Vieira
84'
Pre-match prediction
39.17%
Angola ←
34.71%
X
26.13%
Malawi
we assigned to the actual result (Angola)
39.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
—
—
0.56
—
—
Lineups
1
G
13
Pedro Francisco
2 👟
84'
D
Pedro Francisco
2 👟
84'
D
3
Jonathan Buatu
D
Jonathan Buatu
D
6
Kialonda Gaspar
1 ⚽
D
Kialonda Gaspar
1 ⚽
D
4
M. Sambu
1 👟
D
M. Sambu
1 👟
D
16
David Carmo
M
David Carmo
M
20
Manuel Keliano
M
Manuel Keliano
M
23
Show
76'
M
Show
76'
M
19
Mabululu
1 ⚽
68'
F
Mabululu
1 ⚽
68'
F
18
Zito Luvumbo
68'
F
Zito Luvumbo
68'
F
11
Milson
1 ⚽
84'
F
Milson
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
2
Alexandre Fernando
D
Alexandre Fernando
D
10
Chico Banza
F
Chico Banza
F
17
Depú
F
Depú
F
8
Mário Balbúrdia
14'
M
Mário Balbúrdia
14'
M
15
Miro
1 ⚽
22'
F
Miro
1 ⚽
22'
F
9
Zini
22'
F
Zini
22'
F
Best on the pitch
Milson
F · Angola
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Pedro Francisco
D · Angola
8.01
2 👟
1 shots
· 47 pass
Mabululu
F · Angola
7.95
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
Miro
F · Angola
7.41
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
M. Sambu
D · Angola
7.40
1 👟
1 shots
· 79 pass
David Carmo
M · Angola
7.20
1 shots
· 113 pass
Angola — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Pedro Francisco | D | 84 | 8.01 | — | 2 | 1 | 47 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 90 | 6.22 | 1 | — | 1 | 108 | 100% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sambu | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | 1 | 1 | 79 | 68% | 0 | — | — |
| David Carmo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 113 | 100% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Keliano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 87 | 82% | 4 | — | — |
| Show | M | 76 | 7.01 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Mabululu | F | 68 | 7.95 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | F | 68 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Milson | F | 84 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Mário Balbúrdia | M | 14 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Miro | F | 22 | 7.41 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 22 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
Malawi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| C. Petro | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| M. Malango | F | 45 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Angola vs Malawi?
The final score was Angola 3–1 Malawi.
What did the model predict before Angola vs Malawi?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Angola win, 34% to a draw, and 26% to an Malawi win.