Angola - Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
October 06, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.83%
Win
Angola
30.46%
Draw
25.71%
Win
Malawi
1.58
0.81
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.01%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
30%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
56%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Angola a 43% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Malawi. Expected goals are 1.6 for Angola and 0.8 for Malawi (total 2.4), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.01% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Angola
Malawi →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 11.5% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Angola
Attack
38
Defence
78
Form
61
Malawi
Attack
8
Defence
80
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Angola vs Malawi?
The model gives Angola a 43% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 25% for an Malawi win.
How many goals are expected in Angola vs Malawi?
Expected goals: Angola 1.6, Malawi 0.8 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Angola vs Malawi?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.01%.