Angola - South Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.29%
Win
Angola
29.66%
Draw
23.05%
Win
South Sudan
1.42
0.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.07%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
30%
2
23%
Double Chance
1X
77%
X2
53%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Angola a 47% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 23% for South Sudan. Expected goals are 1.4 for Angola and 0.5 for South Sudan (total 1.9), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.07% probability.
Season Stats
1W
1D
0L
1W
0D
3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
0.5
Conceded
2.0
5.5
Shots OT
0.5
8.0
Corners
1.5
53%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
25%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
3.0
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Angola
South Sudan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 15.3% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Angola
Attack
44
Defence
81
Form
48
South Sudan
Attack
18
Defence
43
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Egypt
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Angola
|
2 | 4 |
| 3 |
Malawi
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
South Sudan
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #4 |
| → Angola | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #4 |
| → South Sudan | #2 | #4 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Angola vs South Sudan?
The model gives Angola a 47% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 23% for an South Sudan win.
How many goals are expected in Angola vs South Sudan?
Expected goals: Angola 1.4, South Sudan 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Angola vs South Sudan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.07%.