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← Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.

Angola - South Sudan

Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. November 14, 2026 20:00
Angola
#2 · 4 pts
vs
South Sudan
#4 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
77.51%
Win
Angola
14.66%
Draw
7.83%
Win
South Sudan
1.42
Expected xG
0.46
Most likely outcome
Angola
77.51%
Probability
81.8%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.1%)
1X2 Result
1 78%
X 15%
2 8%
Double Chance
1X 92%
X2 23%
12 85%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Angola a 77% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 7% for South Sudan. Expected goals are 1.4 for Angola and 0.5 for South Sudan (total 1.9), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.1% probability.

Season Stats

Angola
1W 1D 0L
South Sudan
1W 0D 3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
0.5
Conceded
2.0
5.5
Shots OT
0.5
8.0
Corners
1.5
53%
Poss.
41%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
25%
50%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Angola
1W 0D 0L · at home
South Sudan
1W 0D 1L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Angola South Sudan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.3% — —
1 21.6% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% — —
2 15.3% 7.1% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 7.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% — — —
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Angola Angola
W Malawi 3–1
D Egypt 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
South Sudan South Sudan
L Egypt 0–5
L Malawi 2–1
L Djibouti 0–1
W Djibouti 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Angola Angola
Attack
44
Defence
81
Form
49
South Sudan South Sudan
Attack
18
Defence
43
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group B

# Team G Pts
1 Egypt Egypt 3 7
2 Angola Angola 2 4
3 Malawi Malawi 3 3
4 South Sudan South Sudan 2 0

What's at stake · Group B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Angola South Sudan
Current #2 #4
→ Angola #2 #4
→ Draw #2 #4
→ South Sudan #2 #4

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Angola vs South Sudan?
The model gives Angola a 77% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 7% for an South Sudan win.
How many goals are expected in Angola vs South Sudan?
Expected goals: Angola 1.4, South Sudan 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Angola vs South Sudan?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.1%.