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Antigua GFC - Municipal

Liga Nacional October 09, 2026 03:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.85%
Win
Antigua GFC
24.93%
Draw
23.22%
Win
Municipal
2.2
Expected xG
0.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.52%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 25%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 48%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Antigua GFC a 51% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Municipal. Expected goals are 2.2 for Antigua GFC and 0.8 for Municipal (total 3.0), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.52% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Antigua GFC have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Municipal.

Season Stats

Antigua GFC
10W 1D 4L
Municipal
12W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.1
1.5
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
47%
47%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Antigua GFC
10W 0D 0L · at home
Municipal
8W 0D 2L · away
2.7
gls/g
1.5
0.9
Conceded
0.7
100%
Win %
80%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
50%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Antigua GFC Municipal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 10.9% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 8.8% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 4.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% — —

Recent form

L Xelajú 4–0
W Suchitepéquez 3–2
W Malacateco 0–2
W Aurora 2–1
L Deportivo San Pedro 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Suchitepéquez 3–0
D Malacateco 2–2
W Aurora 1–2
D Deportivo San Pedro 0–0
W Comunicaciones 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
Attack
59
Defence
74
Form
74
Municipal Municipal
Attack
34
Defence
84
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Municipal?
The model gives Antigua GFC a 51% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 23% for an Municipal win.
How many goals are expected in Antigua GFC vs Municipal?
Expected goals: Antigua GFC 2.2, Municipal 0.8 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Antigua GFC vs Municipal?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.52%.