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← Primera B

Antofagasta - Curico Unido

Primera B October 25, 2026 21:30
Antofagasta
#5 · 45 pts
vs
Curico Unido
#13 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
77.16%
Win
Antofagasta
12.54%
Draw
10.3%
Win
Curico Unido
3.36
Expected xG
0.95
Most likely outcome
Antofagasta
77.16%
Probability
63.6%
1X2 accuracy · 33 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–0 (8.7%)
1X2 Result ✓ 63.6% hit rate (33 picks)
1 77%
X 13%
2 10%
Double Chance ✓ 93.9% hit rate (33 picks)
1X 90%
X2 23%
12 88%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Antofagasta a 77% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 10% for Curico Unido. Expected goals are 3.4 for Antofagasta and 0.9 for Curico Unido (total 4.3), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 8.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Antofagasta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Curico Unido.

Season Stats

Antofagasta
6W 5D 4L
Curico Unido
5W 4D 6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.8
0.7
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
53%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
33%
53%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Antofagasta
5W 4D 1L · at home
Curico Unido
2W 3D 5L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.6
0.6
Conceded
1.6
50%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
70%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Antofagasta Curico Unido →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% — —
1 4.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% —
2 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% —
3 8.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% —
5 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% —

Recent form

Antofagasta Antofagasta
D Deportes Santa Cruz 0–0
W San Marcos de Arica 3–0
W Rangers de Talca 2–0
L San Luis 2–1
D Cobreloa 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Curico Unido Curico Unido
D Deportes Iquique 2–2
W Santiago Wanderers 1–2
L Magallanes 1–0
L San Marcos de Arica 3–0
W Union Espanola 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Antofagasta Antofagasta
Attack
42
Defence
86
Form
63
Curico Unido Curico Unido
Attack
26
Defence
68
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Antofagasta
0
Draw
1
Curico Unido
2 Jun 2026 Primera B 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Cobreloa Cobreloa 29 54
2 San Luis San Luis 29 54
3 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 29 50
4 Magallanes Magallanes 29 46
5 Antofagasta Antofagasta 28 45
6 Recoleta Recoleta 29 42
7 Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo 29 41
8 San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 28 40
9 Union Espanola Union Espanola 29 39
10 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 29 38
11 D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 29 38
12 Deportes Temuco Deportes Temuco 28 36
13 Curico Unido Curico Unido 28 31
14 Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 29 24
15 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 29 23
16 Rangers de Talca Rangers de Talca 29 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
The model gives Antofagasta a 77% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 10% for an Curico Unido win.
How many goals are expected in Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
Expected goals: Antofagasta 3.4, Curico Unido 0.9 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Antofagasta vs Curico Unido?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.