✗Model wrong — prediction Charleroi, result Antwerp wins
T. Somers
(ast. S. Renders)
8'
S. Porozo
27'
(pen.)
R. Van Helden
(ast. I. Salah)
47'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charleroi a 55% win probability (draw 21%, Antwerp 23%). The final result was Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi. In 4 previous meetings, Antwerp have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Charleroi.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
5
1.45
Actual xG
1.06
4
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
5
17
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽T. Somers
· ast. S. Renders
8'
11'
A. Ousou
⚽S. Porozo
(pen.)
27'
C. Mejia
30'
⚽R. Van Helden
· ast. I. Salah
47'
57'
G. Nawata
/
F. Mbemba
57'
I. Cisse
/
A. Boukamir
S. Porozo
/ M. Frey
60'
B. Deuff
/ C. Scott
60'
C. Mejia
/ M. Fofana
66'
70'
T. Rowe
/
K. Van Den Kerkhof
70'
A. Bojang
/
Y. Khalifi
77'
A. Colassin
/
P. Pflucke
S. Renders
/ M. Busi
79'
I. Salah
/ X. Dierckx
79'
80'
M. Nzita
85'
G. Nawata
C. Scott
88'
Pre-match prediction
23.48%
Antwerp ←
21.51%
X
55.01%
Charleroi
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Antwerp)
23.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.45
-0.46
4.46
1.06
-3.4
Antwerp dominated by xG (1.45 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
85'
G
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
85'
G
5
Daam Foulon
85'
D
Daam Foulon
85'
D
3
Álvaro Cortés
85'
D
Álvaro Cortés
85'
D
20
Rein Van Helden
1 ⚽
85'
D
Rein Van Helden
1 ⚽
85'
D
17
Semm Renders
1 👟
79'
D
Semm Renders
1 👟
79'
D
48
A. Vermeeren
85'
M
A. Vermeeren
85'
M
6
B. Deuff
60'
M
B. Deuff
60'
M
7
Ibrahim Salah
1 👟
79'
M
Ibrahim Salah
1 👟
79'
M
24
Thibo Somers
1 ⚽
85'
M
Thibo Somers
1 ⚽
85'
M
80
Carlos Mejia
66'
M
Carlos Mejia
66'
M
33
Snayder Porozo
1 ⚽
60'
F
Snayder Porozo
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
10
Christopher Scott
25'
M
Christopher Scott
25'
M
28
Luca Schelfhout
D
Luca Schelfhout
D
44
Maxime Busi
6'
D
Maxime Busi
6'
D
9
M. Frey
25'
F
M. Frey
25'
F
25
Modibo Fofana
19'
M
Modibo Fofana
19'
M
81
Niels Devalckeneer
G
Niels Devalckeneer
G
14
Xander Dierckx
6'
M
Xander Dierckx
6'
M
43
Youssef Hamdaoui
M
Youssef Hamdaoui
M
4
Yuto Tsunashima
M
Yuto Tsunashima
M
30
Mohamed Koné
85'
G
Mohamed Koné
85'
G
24
Mardochee Nzita
85'
D
Mardochee Nzita
85'
D
95
Cheick Keita
85'
D
Cheick Keita
85'
D
4
A. Ousou
85'
D
A. Ousou
85'
D
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
70'
D
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
70'
D
18
Yassine Khalifi
70'
M
Yassine Khalifi
70'
M
6
Amine Boukamir
57'
M
Amine Boukamir
57'
M
20
F. Situmona Mbemba
57'
M
F. Situmona Mbemba
57'
M
8
J. Romsaas
85'
M
J. Romsaas
85'
M
14
P. Pflücke
77'
M
P. Pflücke
77'
M
21
Aurélien Scheidler
85'
F
Aurélien Scheidler
85'
F
Bench
9
Adama Bojang
15'
F
Adama Bojang
15'
F
25
Antoine Colassin
8'
F
Antoine Colassin
8'
F
23
Boubakar Dembaga
M
Boubakar Dembaga
M
13
Gaku Nawata
28'
M
Gaku Nawata
28'
M
19
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
28'
M
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
28'
M
1
Martin Delavallée
G
Martin Delavallée
G
65
Mory Kera
M
Mory Kera
M
33
Noah Solheid
D
Noah Solheid
D
2
Triston Rowe
15'
D
Triston Rowe
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Rein Van Helden
D · Antwerp
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
G · Antwerp
8.00
· 29 pass
Semm Renders
D · Antwerp
7.70
1 👟
· 32 pass
P. Pflücke
M · Charleroi
7.60
2 shots
· 31 pass
Thibo Somers
M · Antwerp
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Modibo Fofana
M · Antwerp
7.50
1 shots
· 7 pass
Antwerp — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taishi Brandon Nozawa | G | 85 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Daam Foulon | D | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Cortés | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Rein Van Helden | D | 85 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Semm Renders | D | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Vermeeren | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Deuff | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Salah | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Thibo Somers | M | 85 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Mejia | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Snayder Porozo | F | 60 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Christopher Scott | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Maxime Busi | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Frey | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Modibo Fofana | M | 19 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Xander Dierckx | M | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Charleroi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Koné | G | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Mardochee Nzita | D | 85 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Cheick Keita | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 56% | — | — | — |
| A. Ousou | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Van Den Kerkhof | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Yassine Khalifi | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 46% | 6 | — | — |
| Amine Boukamir | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| F. Situmona Mbemba | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Romsaas | M | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Pflücke | M | 77 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Aurélien Scheidler | F | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Adama Bojang | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Colassin | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Gaku Nawata | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Isaac Ismaël Cissé | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Triston Rowe | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Antwerp vs Charleroi?
The final score was Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi.
What did the model predict before Antwerp vs Charleroi?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Antwerp win, 21% to a draw, and 55% to an Charleroi win.